Well, someone is wrong...
Obama approval 50 (+1)/44 (-1)
RV: R 48 (-) O 47 (+1)
LV: R 52 (+1) O 45 (-)
In other news: Princeton has EC at O 286, R 252, Meta-Margin of +1.32%
(above paragraph edited to correct)
In other news, Obama up in VA +1 (PPP) and +1 in Ohio (Ras).
10:09 AM PT: Rand American Life tracker has Obama up 50 to 44.3% this morning.
10:14 AM PT: I will add this Nate Silver caveat: "The first rule of poll analysis is that if a poll looks like an outlier, it usually is."
10:47 AM PT: This just in from Nate:
Gallup poll real bad for Obama. Marquette poll (WI) pretty bad for Obama. Other polls pretty good for Obama. Canceled out in forecast.— Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) October 18, 2012