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Whether it is Romney's bounce receding or numbers driven by the two great debate performances by Biden and Obama, on the aggregate, clearly the race is moving in our direction:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

Obama gained 4.9% in the future cast from 65.7% to 70.4%.  In the now cast he gained a rather large 8.7% from 62.9 to 71.6%.

He's over 70% again in both.  I imagine this has a lot to do with the great polls from NBC, but everyone needs to chill out about those single bad polls like Gallup's tracking poll.

Edit: Thanks for the rec!

Let's make this bounce permanent.  If you aren't already involved find out how to contact swing state voters or voters near you here:

https://dashboard.barackobama.com/

10:39 AM PT: Nate Silver this morning confirms that the swing states are what accounts for Obama's improved numbers.  It appears that the NBC polls might not be as responsible for it as some other less noticed gains Obama made in states like Michigan.  Regardless, the Obama electoral college advantage remains clear.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/...


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