http://www.nytimes.com/...
Interesting article....
Yes, Gary Johnson IS on the Ohio ballot.
Yes, Republican attempts to remove him from the ballot have failed.
Will Johnson have an impact? The possibility is high....
Gravis Marketing Poll from September 21.
http://www.scribd.com/...
Yes, it's a bit old, and before the first debate, but their latest polls do not ask about 3rd party candidates, so this is the best we've got.
But look at the dramatic difference it makes:
Poll without Johnson:
Obama: 45.2%
Romney: 44.3%
Poll with Johnson:
Obama: 44.5%
Romney: 37.8%
Johnson: 10.6%
Wow!
Keep in mind that 3rd party candidates usually underperform greatly in the final results, often 50% or lower. But if Johnson can siphon off 5% from Romney (even 2.5% would be nice), Ohio looks damn near impossible for him to win despite how close the polls are today.