A new Quinnipiac poll has Murphy surging to a six point lead over McMahon, up from a one point deficit in their poll from two weeks ago:
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/...
"It's deja vu all over again in the Connecticut Senate race. As we hit the final stretch of the campaign, Linda McMahon is beginning to fade, as she did in her 2010 run against Richard Blumenthal," said Douglas Schwartz, PhD, director of the Quinnipiac University poll.
"Has she hit her ceiling? She took 43 percent of the vote in 2010, losing by 12 points to Blumenthal. Two weeks before the election, she is back at 43 percent."
Quinnipiac is on their home turf with this one, and the 12 point lead they gave Blumenthal at this point in 2010 was right on the money (Blumenthal won by 11.8 points).
This is further evidence that McMahon's transparently cynical pro-Obama ad is backfiring, and it matches the internal DSCC poll from yesterday that also has Murphy up by 6.
Also interesting is that while the MSM continues to drive the Romney-surge story, Obama is improving in CT:
President Barack Obama buries Gov. Mitt Romney in the run for the White House, leading 55 - 41 percent, compared to 54 - 42 percent October 4.
"President Barack Obama is running stronger than Murphy in Connecticut, holding steady with a 14 point lead over Gov. Mitt Romney. The President's coattails are helping Murphy," Schwartz said.
Finally, note the quality of this poll. Most state polls are robo-polls and/or have tiny sample sizes of ~600 likely voters. Quinnipiac goes all out in their home state:
From October 19 - 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,412 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.
Here's the prior poll:
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/...