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The reason has nothing to do with his own flip-flop-flip-flopping position on abortion rights.  I believe he has, for decades, said whatever he felt he must to garner the support of the greatest possible number of voters.  If he truly believed abandoning Mourdock two weeks before the election would bring a meaningful number of voters into his camp, he wouldn’t hesitate.

It is because he understands a reality about the forthcoming election, which I believe we should realize and take to heart ourselves: The election’s outcome will not be determined by undecideds (who no longer exist in any significant proportion, most having undoubtedly made up their minds weeks ago).  It will be a function of the success of the two parties in compelling their supporters to go to the polls November 6th.

Romney and his handlers know this, and they know that virtually no one will switch their support from Romney to Obama because of Mourdock’s idiotic and indefensible position calling pregnancy "God's will" in cases of rape.  But, he knows that many of his supporters (who swear their allegiance to the GOP and declare themselves likely voters when asked by robopolls, despite having never had any fondness whatsoever for Romney) would rather stay at work and bitch with their coworkers about how terrible things will be over the next four years, or spend the week in the woods hunting and drinking cheap beer, than actually get off their undoubtedly fat asses and go to the polls.  So, Romney’s managers know that they must give their intended voters no reason to lose motivation, or to passive-aggressively avoid voting.

Standing by Mourdock will raise levels of alienation and discouragement among certain GOP voters, especially women, and this will undoubtedly hurt Romney to some degree Tuesday after next.  But for him to forsake Mourdock would be seen by a broader base of GOP supporters as last-minute abandonment, and in doing so, he would be modeling turning his back on someone with whom he had made a previous commitment.  This is what he does not want his own supporters to do, even passively by staying home or finding something better to do November 6th.  It would cost him a much larger share of his current supporters.

We - from Obama and his campaign staff right down to the left-leaning citizen on the street - would do well to follow Romney’s example.  We should realize that the battle for the presidency no longer involves recruiting people to our side; it is now a question of getting them to show up and fight.

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Comment Preferences

  •  So true (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    nannyboz, DocChap

    nice diary but give it some time. He may still change his position. McCain has already denounced Murdock and withdrew support until he apologizes.  Anything can happen.  

    •  yup.... (0+ / 0-)
      He may still change his position
      Mitttens?  Change his position?
      Almost guaranteed.
      Stay tuned.

      I think, therefore I am........................... Plus ca change, plus c'est la meme chose....AKA Engine Nighthawk - don't even ask!

      by Lilyvt on Thu Oct 25, 2012 at 04:39:11 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I'd like to hear a good journalist -- (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    nannyboz, DocChap, Rashaverak, Buckeye54

    if there are any left -- ask Mitt Romney why someone with the huge fortune he has wants a job that pays almost nothing by comparison.

    Romney will say something about "renewing this great country's promise," or some other such Hallmark drivel.  

    A follow-up might then be, "Is it connected to your relationship with the Mormon Church?"  And:

    "Your detractors perceive you as a soulless, lizard-like beast, darting around a dark cave, sucking insects in with your barbed toxic corporate tongue.  Is that a fair assessment?"

    The same journalist might also ask, if he goes on to lose to President Obama in a couple weeks, what Romney will do with the remainder of his life, having wasted so much of it so far.

    I have a hunch Romney hasn't thought that much about that last question.  I wouldn't know what to tell him myself.  He appears ill-suited to public service and the examples he's given us of his life experiences are occasionally neutral but mostly negative.   He's been at this game for over 6 years and, if polling is fairly reliable, it's a lost cause.  It's about to rain on Romney's picnic.  The pancakes will be soaked.

    I acknowledge that the President may win by a narrower margin than I think he deserves, so it follows that after 6 years of desperate, money-driven ego politics, I believe Romney does not deserve the support he's likely to get.

    Let's get out the vote for the President.  We'll let the Republicans figure out what to do about their pancakes.  

  •  he's a changed man (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    nannyboz, DocChap, Remediator

    He's moderate Mitt now.  Btw just heard he's giving a major economic speech tomorrow... Don't laugh.

    "In the depth of winter I finally learned that there was in me an invincible summer."- Albert Camus

    by valadon on Thu Oct 25, 2012 at 04:34:57 AM PDT

  •  The woman (women) I'm pulling for. . . (5+ / 0-)

    are those of working families who may listen to their husband fulminate about Obama's socialism etc, hear Fox News' slant.  And quietly close the curtain on the voting booth and vote to support her and her sisters' freedom of choice.

  •  Because he's an invertebrate (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DocChap, a2nite

    The back room boys know he's lost. They are hoping for a Senate take-over (LOL) or at the very least, holding on to their Tea bagging sheep for another election. Having Romney bale on the baggers right now isn't in their interest. And of course, they are really grooming Ryan for the next election.

  •  Spot on. Phone banking today at OFA to GOTV! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DocChap, Remediator

    Andy's two-timin' tail run off wiff mah sig line!

    by nannyboz on Thu Oct 25, 2012 at 04:41:49 AM PDT

  •  New Gender Gap + Stays a Nat'l Story = He will (0+ / 0-)

    If anyone can flip-flop with a straight face and without laboring about it whatsoever, he can.

    If a gender gap widens, or if this stays a national story (thanks McCain!!), he'll withdraw his support, say he never supported him, etc etc.  With a straight face, and that'll be that.

  •  I disagree (0+ / 0-)

    There are many partisans, and they won't change their votes based on this issue, that is true.  However, Mitt Romney was somewhat successful peeling off women voters (especially low-info types) from Obama, which was a major reason for his post-debate 1 surge.   Those were women who were previously with Obama, but after debate 1 switched their allegiance to Romney.  They bought into the theme that it is all about jobs, "worry about other things later, as long as we have jobs again."  Mourdock serves as a reminder to them why they were with Obama in the first place.  The GOP is absolutely dangerous for women's health and well being, if given the chance.  

    I think some of the women who switched to Romney will come back to Obama, realizing that it is not ALL about jobs,  there are many other issues to consider and mull over (especially if you are a woman) as well.  

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