BREAKING: New CNN-ORC Ohio poll of likely voters. Obama 50%, Romney 46%. +/- 3.5%. Party ID: D-35%, I-33%, R-32%.— Sam Feist (@SamFeistCNN) October 26, 2012
According to the survey, the gender gap has tightened a bit, but the basic storyline remains the same. Obama holds a 56%-42% advantage among female voters, with the GOP challenger up 50%-44% among men.Edit #2:
The poll indicates Obama maintains a small but critical advantage among independent voters. In early October, he had a 50%-46% margin among independents - virtually identical to the 49%-44% edge he has today
Among those who have voted early or plan to vote before Election Day, Obama holds a 59%-38% lead, with Romney up 51%-44% among those who say they'll vote on Election Day. Ninety-two percent of likely voters say they've made up their minds, with 4% saying they could change their minds.
Fancy chart from TPM showing the difference in Ohio between automated and live polls:
Source: Talking Points Memo, "Live Polls Show Obama With Bigger Leads In Ohio"