A very important thing to keep in mind, and be prepared for. I heard a rumour (in conservative media) that this POLITICO poll tomorrow will show Romney up 5. Don't know if it is true, but they had Romney +2 last Monday. Here is the kicker: White: 78%, Hispanic 5%!!!!
White ........................................................................ 78%
Black/African-American ......................................... 12%
Hispanic/Latino (TO D14) ........................................ 5%
Asian/Pacific American............................................. 1%
Native American ........................................................ 1%
UNSURE/REFUSED (DNR) ................................... 2%
Last week's internals: http://images.politico.com/...
More below.
Just adjusting Latino vote from 5% to 9% and African American from 12% to 13%, both conservative estimates, gives a minimum 4 point swing in popular vote, if not 5.
So please keep an eye out early and be ready to take them down if Hispanic share is anything like 5%. The narrative on this will be very important if it shows Romney up 5 to back up Ras and Gallup (however flawed their model.
Gallup has a very similar 78% white LV model which throws out lots of minorities, so in that sense, Politico and Gallup would actually line up perfectly in their flawed models that are 78% white and show Romney up 5. It is almost a confirmation of a mistake through an identical mistake.
So keep that in mind. If you are not active, just keep that in mind when you read the poll. And please, no bedwetting like after the first debate. We are going to win this if we just be calm, clinical and yes, ruthless where required.