Democratic fortunes for the Senate just keep getting better and better. Nebraska was left for dead a while ago, but a new poll from the Omaha World Herald shows Kerrey only 3 points behind. Before this the Dem ceiling was 57 seats, now it is 58. Unfortunately, we won't be able to plausibly crack 60 unless we become competitive in...Wyoming, Utah, Texas, Mississippi, or Tennessee. Yeah, not happening. Although there were many polls out today, these were the only two changes.
Nebraska's 2nd District: Toss Up -> Lean R
NE-Sen: Solid R -> Lean R
Maps are below.
Safe D: ME(R)^
Likely D: MA(R)^ NM(D), OH(D), PA(D), FL(D)
Lean D: AZ(R)^ CT(D), MO(D), VA(D), WI(D)
Toss Up: IN(R), MT(D), ND(D), NV(R)
Lean R: NE(D)^
Senate without Toss Ups, Angus King as Dem: 53-43-4.
Senate assuming candidate with tiny leads wins: 55-45. (GOP picks up NE and MT, Dems pick up ME, MA, AZ, IN).