Ok take a look at 4 things here- 1. ARG is assuming a white electorate of 77% which is not realistic in my view and yet they're still tied! 2. Obama wins 39% of white voters in this poll which if it holds on election day is good enough to put him over the top. 3. Obama wins women by 14 (to be fair he's losing men by 15). 4. A 2 point swing towards Obama since their last poll. Mittmentum baby it's catching! Can't you tell?
http://americanresearchgroup.com/...