In a Politico piece published this afternoon, Dylan Byers misses the point of Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight prediction model by a mile. In the piece, he reveals that Politico asked Silver whether Romney could still win (which, of course, you could answer by looking at his model). Silver's response, obviously, was "Romney, clearly, could still win." Byers thinks this is big news.
Of course, it hardly matters what Brooks, Scarborough, or any of Silver's critics or supporters think. What matters for Silver is that the president wins and that he ends up with a total number of electoral votes somewhere in the ballpark of whatever Silver predicts on the afternoon of Nov. 6. And even then, you won't know if he actually had a 50.1 percent chance or a 74.6 percent chance of getting there.These are political pundits saying Nate Silver will be discredited if Obama loses. They say this with, somehow, no irony.