I never really thought too much of Dick Morris. After all he is always so incredibly wrong with his predictions, especially when it comes to Presidential Elections. But then again, maybe he is just the top Politicall satirist going. What other conclusion can I reach after reading Here Comes The Landslide. And by Landslide he means a Romney landslide. His math is hilarious:
Then, in October, Obama lost the Southern swing states of Florida (29) and Virginia (13). He also lost Colorado (10), bringing his total to 255 votes.
And now, he faces the erosion of the northern swing states: Ohio (18), New Hampshire (4) and Iowa (6). Only in the union-anchored state of Nevada (9) does Obama still cling to a lead.
In the next few days, the battle will move to Pennsylvania (20), Michigan (15), Wisconsin (10) and Minnesota (16). Ahead in Pennsylvania, tied in Michigan and Wisconsin, and slightly behind in Minnesota, these new swing states look to be the battleground.
I'll add all that up for you. That's 353 EV for Romney, leaving just 205 for Obama.
LANDSLIDE!! Wow that is COMEDY GOLD JERRY! GOLD!!
Of course Morris relies not on polls but on, you know, stuff he just knows, like:
Once everyone discovers that the emperor has no clothes (or that Obama has no argument after the negative ads stopped working), the vote shift could be of historic proportions.
or...
But once we all met Mitt Romney for three 90-minute debates, we got to know him — and to like him. He was not the monster Obama depicted, but a reasonable person for whom we could vote.
Note he does not discuss a single solitary poll, just likes to say They are "tied" or Romnney "leads".
It doesn't stop at the Presdiency, he also has this prediction...I'm sorry punchline...for the Senate:
The most likely outcome? Eight GOP takeaways and two giveaways for a net gain of six. A 53-47 Senate, just like we have now, only opposite.
How does he know come to this conclusion? With indisputable arguments such as:
Wisconsin has been a roller coaster. Once an easy win for Republican Tommy Thompson, then a likely loss as Democrat Tammy Baldwin caught up, and now Republican again, it will probably be a third pickup.
Nope.
Romney’s surge in Virginia is propelling George Allen to a good lead for the first time all campaign.
Wrong, so wrong.
In Montana, Republican Denny Rehberg holds and has held for some time a small lead over Democrat incumbent Jon Tester. And, in Pennsylvania, Smith has powered his campaign to a small lead over Democrat Bob Casey Jr
.
So wrong. Just so so wrong.
The GOP now leads in these six takeaways. But it is also within easy striking distance in Ohio and Florida, where incumbents are under 50 percent and Republican challengers Connie Mack (Fla.) and Josh Mandel (Ohio) are only a few points behind. It may even be possible to entertain daydreams of Rhode Island (Barry Hinckley) and New Jersey (Joe Kyrillos) going Republican.
Wrong about Florida
Wrong about Ohio
Stupefyingly wrong about Rhode Island
And New Jersey
So I have just conclusion, Dick Morris is either mentally challenged or he is a troll.
ACtually Nate Silver, in his new book The Signal and the Noise have a name for folks like Dick Morris, he calls them hedgehogs (Disclaimer: Nate actually got the term from some other researcher, but I cannot remember the name). Folks who unable to use more than their narrow vision of how the world should be to try and make prediction. They are not adaptable, they believe in "soft" things, like what they "know to be true". In other words, they hate facts and science and numbers....hmm, I think I know a whole group, nay a party, of people like that....