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As I noted in a previous post, I keep seeing similarities between 2004 and 2012.

On October 29, 2004, Al Jazeera broadcasted portions of a speech by Osama Bin Ladin in which he claimed responsibility for the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks.  Shortly after the video aired, President George W. Bush's standing in the national polls jumped dramatically.

The conventional wisdom is that the center was reminded that they trusted Bush on issues of terrorism, and were not prepared to throw him out of office.  Until that point, the race had grown very close, and while challenger John Kerry had not managed to take any meaningful lead before October 29, this event decisively delivered the election to President Bush.

Fast forward to 2012, challenger Mitt Romney significantly closed the gap in October, and near the end of the month, many believed that he had a solid chance of unseating the incumbent, President Obama.  On October 29, 2012, an epic natural disaster occurred, and the nation remembered that while it has had its disagreements with President Obama, he is a solid leader in times of crisis.  

October 29 will also be remembered as the day the election definitively fell into the President's favor in 2012.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Please be a little more sensitive (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Quicklund, CookyMonzta, ranger995

    This is not just directed at you, but at a lot of Kossacks. I think President Obama has done a great job so far handling the crisis. But it has been a little disappointing to see Kossacks giddy over the storm. I hope it helps Obama in the election too, but I live in Lower Manhattan and while I am lucky enough to be st my boyfriend's place in North Jersey where we got power back last night, many of my friends are trapped in the dark zone with no electricity or running water for several days. I still don't know whether my apartment has been flooded, and I currently have no way to get home. People are having to commute three hours to get to work because the transit system is completely paralyzed in parts of the city. People in coastal parts of NYC and at the Jersey Shore had their homes destroyed, and over 50 people died. I hope I don't sound too preachy, but more sensitivity on this site (and maybe a thread about how Kossacks can help) would be nice.

    •  We pray for you and all affected by this tragedy (0+ / 0-)

      To be fair to the diarist, I don't think they were being "giddy" about this disaster, merely drawing a parallel between it and another serious issue that may have affected an election. Perhaps they could have waited some time to look back on it, but I think the lack of sensitivity is better viewed on the right, where party leaders have determined this a great time for fake food drives and photo ops.

  •  The value of government. (0+ / 0-)

    I agree that Hurricane Sandy, and Obama's presidential response (not to mention the flattery from Governor Christie), may be this election's "October surprise" (albeit an unfortunate, tragic way to have one).  In addition to showcasing Obama's ability to handle the emergency, it has reminded Americans about the value of a meaningful Federal government.  The contrast with Romney, who recently proposed privatizing FEMA or leaving it up to the states alone, is stark.  

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