There have been only minor changes to the data this afternoon, so I will merely list the changes below and provide a link to the actual data and tables (for those who want to see them all.)
NOTE: Please do NOT fret over TPM's movement of OHIO. It was done because, for reasons that passeth understanding, they take seriously the poll from the Citizens United 'pollster" that found Obama 5 points behind Romney and Romney with a 22-point advantage in the 'favorability' numbers. (I know - I still can;t stop laughing.)
TPS even published an embarrassed explanation for the move:
TPM's Justification For Obvious Silliness
MORNING UPDATE DETAIL
And just to save some of you a trip, here is the tabular data:
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I have shifted NORTH CAROLINA from TIED back to ROMNEY to assuage the complaints of a few of you over the seeming unfairness of moving it to TIED while leaving VIRGINIA as it is, despite the fact that most of the 'ROMNEY" calls of NC are one week or more old, while 5 of the TIEDs are within the past 48 hours - indicating a clear shift in favor of Obama.
So I will keep NORTH CAROLINA in the ROMNEY camp until and unless at least 3 of the TIEDS move to OBAMA - just to keep the epistemological peace. :D
I am leaving FLORIDA as TIED because, while the same set of conditions holds as in NORTH CAROLINA, EVERY recent poll has been in Obama's favor and the poll averages from both Nate and Sam indicate a tie.
UPDATE #2: Sam Wang at the Princeton Consortium has moved OBAMA to 315 EVS from 309 and ROMNEY down to 223 from 229. And he has Obama at a 99%+ chance of prevailing next Tuesday!