I'll keep this short, but I just checked out Nate's FiveThirty-Eight blog and he currently has an Obama win at 80.8%! Also, while Nate still has Florida leaning to Romney, the probability of Romney taking the state has been steadily declining the past few days. It now stands at 55.2% probability of a Romney win. Not a sure thing for Romney at all, and surely not something to gladden the hearts of Republicans, especially since for them, the trend is in the wrong direction, with Romney getting weaker rather than stronger.