Here are the latest figures out of Nevada. I have a feeling you are going to like them. :)
For these reports, I will only be tracking Clark County and Washoe County. Together, they account for just shy of 90% of all registered voters in Nevada.
First let's start with the numbers from Clark County:
Here are the cumulative early voting figures:
Dems 187,043 (48.15%)
Reps 126,970 (32.69%)
Inds 74,443 (19.16%)
Here are the additional early ballots cast since the last daily report:
Our awesome trend continues! Three reports ago, Republicans were behind Democrats only 1,618 in the early vote count on Monday. Two reports ago, we led Republicans by about 3,000 ballots. Yesterday, we led by over 4,000. And in today's report, we lead by over 5,700 ballots! In fact, this is the first day in a long time that the Democratic percentage stayed the same among cumulative early votes and the Republican percentage went down. Yay!!!
Now, here are the cumulative figures, including mail-in ballots:
Dems 206,532 (47.65%)
Reps 145,392 (33.54%)
Inds 81,499 (18.80%)
As of this report, 50.88% of the 851,803 active voters in Clark County have voted. 2012 turnout among early voters is still running higher than in 2008. According to the Nevada sos site, there were 391,785 early voters in Clark County by the end of the early voting period in 2008. I don't know if that includes the mail-in absentee ballots or not. Even if it doesn't, we're still running ahead because 388,456 people have voted early in person and we still have one day of early voting left in Nevada.
As I stated before, our registration advantage among active voters in Clark County is roughly 46% to 31% and the cumulative figures are close to those proportions thus far. And in the cumulative totals for all early ballots, including mail-in, the Democratic percentage stayed about the same, while the Republican percentage went down. We really, really kicked ass in Clark County today.
Now, let's take a look at Washoe County.
Here are the cumulative early voting numbers:
Dems 39,700 (41.31%)
Reps 39,054 (40.37%)
Inds 18,202 (18.32%)
Here are the new early votes since the last report:
Overall turnout was better than yesterday, and we got bested by a smaller margin than yesterday. Overall, I'm pleased because we seem to be battling to a draw.
Here are the cumulative figures, including mail-in ballots:
Well we finally lost our lead in Washoe County, but Republicans outnumber us among active voters by about 1,200. I'm not terribly concerned about it.
As of now, this constitutes 46.86% of the 241,459 active voters in Washoe County. We are still in a solid position in Nevada thus far.
I will do an update on the statewide numbers tomorrow. I believe that we are going to take Clark County by at least 10 points and that Obama will win Nevada by 5-6 points and that should be just enough to pull Berkley over Heller. But we will see.
I went way more in-depth in my diary yesterday, so by all means go check it out.
And by the way, the latest Survey USA poll which showed us ahead in Nevada by 4 points had us losing Indies by 7 points so take that for what it's worth.