Ever since Richard Mourdock made his infamous comment, we have been seeing a good deal of released internal polls, but nothing from a credible, independent source. Howey Political Report released their poll today, with good news for Democrats:
The biggest issue I have with these polls is that they don't seem to push undecideds very heavily. That said, this post by Democratic Pollster Fred Yang mentions that Donnelly has an even larger lead in the state than Gubernatorial candidate Mike Pence. The poll pegs that race as:
Also, much to my chagrin, but to no one's surprise, Indiana will return to being a red state on the presidential level.
I'd like to see Obama get to within a 10 percent final margin in the state. Early voting lines in Indianapolis have been huge, which is good news.
Regardless of the other polls in the survey, it appears that the Tea Party has been successful in replacing a reasonable Republican statesman with a Centrist Democrat at the Senate level. Indiana is a conservative state, but it's not so conservative that an idealogue such as Mourdock can just skate by, insulting a high percentage of the population along his way.