Skip to main content

If Obama takes Florida, it will be an early night:

"If you want to watch Florida, just look at Hillsborough. Whatever trend you see in the state you see it right here,'' said Pam Iorio, the Democratic former Tampa mayor and elections supervisor. "I think we're more important than the whole concept of the I-4 corridor."

"If the African-American vote comes out and the Hispanic vote comes out, then Obama will win again," Iorio said. "If he can bring out that minority vote in substantial numbers then he can afford to lose some of the swing voters."

Any discussion of Hillsborough County is really a discussion of Florida as a whole because it is a near-perfect microcosm of the state, which in turn is a microcosm of America. Be it age, ethnicity, race, suburban, urban, rural, southern, northern, gay, straight, blue-collar, white-collar, military — you name it, Hillsborough has it.

A trusted Democratic operative sent us some data on the early and absentee ballot vote in Florida so far to make the point that Barack Obama is crushing Mitt Romney when it comes to banking the votes of sporadic and infrequent voters before election day. So far more than 3 million Floridians have cast a ballot by absentee, mail-in ballot or in-person early vote ballot. Democrats lead by more than 60,000 votes...

Bonus 2.0:

Duval early voting: Dems up by 14k votes

Florida 2008 Presidential election by county

Pay attention to turn out in these counties Obama won in 2008: Monroe, Miami-Dade, Broward, Palm Beach, St. Lucie, Osceola, Orange, Volusia, Flagler, Aluchua, Leon, Jefferson, Gasden, Hillsborough, and Pinellas.  This is where Obama's strongest support is.

Interactive Map/CNN 2008 Results:

Originally posted to 904Dem on Fri Nov 02, 2012 at 07:13 AM PDT.

Also republished by DKos Florida.


Who Will Win Florida on Tuesday Night?

86%1082 votes
12%154 votes
1%15 votes

| 1252 votes | Vote | Results

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

deminva, Mimikatz, RF, vlajos, askew, glitterscale, Gooserock, BrooklynRaider, PeterHug, Sherri in TX, Wintermute, SanJoseLady, Vico, etatauri, TX Unmuzzled, Woody, missLotus, EricS, wonkydonkey, annrose, whenwego, Alden, ellefarr, bws, itskevin, Cedwyn, ammaloy, psnyder, Nag, sockpuppet, johanus, laughingriver, wdrath, FlyingToaster, ybruti, Sembtex, tomjones, sebastianguy99, sawgrass727, weelzup, davidincleveland, Los Diablo, ExStr8, maybeeso in michigan, Ckntfld, kitchen sink think tank, kefauver, stagemom, Brooke In Seattle, Dobber, Pam from Calif, Ice Blue, sunbro, DaveVH, edwardssl, MeMeMeMeMe, tobendaro, profundo, Russgirl, fou, TalkieToaster, StrayCat, Libby Shaw, real world chick, el cid, Zwoof, BlueMississippi, Nulwee, Babylon, deepeco, Wendy in FL, letsgetreal, Rumarhazzit, christianlsv, uciguy30, leonard145b, madgranny, wuod kwatch, Empower Ink, chicago minx, VA Breeze, First Amendment, Mr SeeMore, califdem, Cordwainer, Senor Unoball, Tchrldy, Involuntary Exile, elwior, Akonitum, VL Baker, mikeconwell, pamelabrown, smartdemmg, mofembot, Gemina13, BlueStateRedhead, Diogenes2008, princess k, prettygirlxoxoxo, aufklaerer, litoralis, greengemini, hummingbird4015, juca, carolyn urban, EquationDoc, elziax, papahaha, sfarkash, interdependence, haremoor, futureliveshere, Railfan, Just Bob, brentbent, marabout40, PZinOR, legalchic, appledown, pixxer, DiegoUK, rja, nirbama, Vik in FL, sostos, Possiamo, BlackQueen40, FightingRegistrar, it really is that important, thomask, dle2GA, BarackStarObama, CherryTheTart, n8rboy, VTCC73, Caddis Fly, Vatexia, joanbrooker, DEMonrat ankle biter, I C Mainer, Nashville fan, Southern Lib, joelgp, Liberal Granny, Siri, IndieGuy, AnnieR, a2nite, helenh1967, Arahahex, MartyM, BRog, avsp, arizonablue, George3, ForestLake, jusjtim35, broths, weck, howabout, pipercity1, pianogramma, thatpj, RUNDOWN, stuhunter2

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site