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T-Minus 4 Days and Counting - TGIF and GOTV!



Samples of Today's 52 Diary Collection:

[IN-Sen] IN-Sen: First independent poll shows Donnelly (D) up ELEVEN over Mourdock (R) now! by BruinKid - Another diary about the Howey7/DePauw independent poll showing Joe Donnelly (D) over Richard Mourdock (R) by eleven percentage points.

[CA-49] Fed Up Postal Workers and Jerry Tetalman Rally at Rep. Darrell Issa's Vista, CA Office! (VIDEO) by pipsorcle - Tetalman (D) and employees of the USPS demonstrate outside the office of Issa (R).

[CA-Props] Bogus California mailer I received by MrPlow - Diarist describes a deceptive mailer he received that pretends to be from Public Safety unions, but in reality is from the Policy Issues Institute - a wingnut outfit headed by Floyd Brown (with revealing links).


Today's EDR covers rescued down-ticket election diaries published between noon on November 1st till noon on November 2nd. This edition of Election Diary Rescue includes the following gems dug up by our miners.

Diaries: (52)
Senate: (11) posts, (6) states plus various
House: (13) posts, (6) states, (10) districts plus various
State: (2)
Ballot Initiatives: (10)
Various: (2)
General: (14)


More diaries and information about this project beneath the
Orange Squiggle of Down-Ticket Power

EDR compiles, describes and links election related diaries for down-ticket races through the closing months of election seasons. Down-ticket means any non-Presidential race.

This group was formed by the producers of a front page diary series that rescued election related diaries in 2006, 2008 and 2010. 2012 marks the first election since Daily Kos was born that there is blog devoted to election coverage - Daily Kos Elections.
Election Diary Rescue is proud to be a part of this project.

EDR chronicles the passion, power and effectiveness of political engagement and shines a light on candidates and issues that might be missed during an action-packed election cycle. It gives quick access to races, hopefully inspires people to write about contests that interest them, and has become an archive for thousands of election related diaries over the years.
The Diary List
for this project, founded by sidinny, links all the rescued diaries since 2006.

Format, Tag, Schedule


Diarists can help the EDR mining team by identifying the race in the diary title, for example: (FL-14) or (GA-Gov) or (NY-Sen). Using the "Elections" tag is also helpful. New this year, you can write your first sentence or two as the synopsis you would like to see in the EDR description.

EDR's schedule for mining diaries is noon to noon. Our publishing schedule is in the evening. That means for example if you post your diary at 12:00 pm (noon) on Wednesday, we will include it in the EDR list in Thursday evening's post. If you publish your diary at 11:59 am on Thursday, it will be in the diary collection for Thursday evening as well.


Senate

[IN-Sen] IN-Sen: First independent poll shows Donnelly (D) up ELEVEN over Mourdock (R) now! by BruinKid - Another diary about the Howey7/DePauw independent poll showing Joe Donnelly (D) over Richard Mourdock (R) by eleven percentage points.

[IN-Sen] IN Senate Howey-Depauw Poll: Mourdock Craters! by Obama Amabo - This poll has Democratic candidate Joe Donnelly at 46 over Richard "Rape Pregnancy is God's Will" Mourdock's 36. Heh.

[IN-Sen] IN-Sen: Independent Poll has Donnelly up by urbanindy - New independent Howey Political Report poll has Joe Donnelly (D) at 47 over Richard Mourdock's 36.

[MA-Sen] Elizabeth Warren is About to Become a US Senator by jpmassar - Diarist posts Elizabeth Warren's final campaign video and points out that it all began 14 months ago with an amateur video.

[MT-Sen] Rasmussen! Tester leads in MT Senate race 49-48! by jpollster - When even Ras is showing Jon Tester (D) over Denny Rehberg (R), we should be singing!

[NE-Sen] NE-Senate:  Chuck Hagel to Endorse Bob Kerrey by Omahan - The Omaha World-Herald is reporting huge news in Nebraska tonight.  Former Nebraska Republican Senator Chuck Hagel is said to be endorsing Bob Kerrey over Republican Deb Fischer in the Nebraska Senate race.

[NV-Sen] NV-Sen:  PCCC Backs Shelley Berkley (D), Won't Support Cuts To Medicare & S.S. In Grand Bargain by poopdogcomedy - Good news!  The Progressive Change Campaign Committee has endorsed and will campaign for Democratic Congresswoman Shelley Berkley in her tight race against incumbent Senator Dean Heller (R).

[PA-Sen] PA-Sen- GOP sends pro-gun mailer by pasuburbdem1 - Apparently Tom Smith (R) likes guns a lot. Bob Casey Jr. (D) is his opponent.

[Var-Sen] My 2012 POTUS and Senate Prediction by InfiniteThoughts - Diarist makes predictions regarding tight Senate races.

[Var-Sen] Once again traditional values fail to include honor, compassion, fair play by rserven - Diarist reports on a news release from the Traditional Values Coalition attacking Democratic candidates for the Senate: Tim Kaine of VA, Bob Casey of PA, Joe Donnelly of IN, Tammy Baldwin of WI, Sherrod Brown of OH, Jon Tester of MT, and Claire McCaskill of MO.

[Var-Sen] Senate Races: How America Looks Without Rasmussen. Optimized GOTV. A Slim Chance for a 60-Seat Slam by bontemps2012 - Diarist introduces a new web site called 'Electoral Vote'. Polling margins are available with 100% of Rasmussen pollution washed away. GOTV will make all the difference, but there is a chance to reach the magic number of 60.


House

[CA-24 and CA-36] Coast and Desert: Analysis and benchmark double feature for CA-24 and CA-36 by DrPhillips - Diarist gives their analysis of these two House races in CA.

[CA-49] Fed Up Postal Workers and Jerry Tetalman Rally at Rep. Darrell Issa's Vista, CA Office! (VIDEO) by pipsorcle - Tetalman (D) and employees of the USPS demonstrate outside the office of Issa (R).

[CA-49] *Fundraising Bomb - Help Jerry Tetalman Unseat Darrell Issa in CA's 49th Congressional District!* by pipsorcle - Something to keep in mind for this red-red district - Darrell Issa has been getting a LOT of bad press lately and that is not working to his advantage...

[IL-13] Rodney Davis makes wacky claim that climate change stopped 16 years ago (IL-13) by Willinois - Davis (R) is a scientific illiterate. David Gill (D) is his opponent.

[MN-06] Bachmann update MN-06: loses second debate, too by Bill Prendergast - Yes, she lost this one too, broadcast on Minnesota Public Radio. The kind of voter who listens to MPR already knows Bachmann's nuts. Jim Graves (D) came off well by actually responding to the moderator's questions about details.

[NY-18] Tea Partier Nan Hayworth desperately self-funds final push against Orange-to-Blue candiate Maloney by outside - Diarist has a request for getting Sean Patrick Maloney (D) elected in his race in New York’s 18th District against incumbent Nan Hayworth (R).

[NY-21] NY-21: Congressman Bill Owens Receives Two Key Newspaper Endorsements by Upstate Blue - Diarist has news of 2 newspaper endorsements in New York’s 21st district race between Bill Owen (D) and incumbent Matthew Doheny (R).

[NY-24] Ann Marie Buerkle and The Rape Hall of Shame by Blueskygirl - Diarist points out that incumbent Rep. Ann Marie Buerkle (R) stands with a list of prominent Republicans who pontificate about rape and abortion: no abortion in the case of rape. The Democratic challenger for this seat is Rep. Louise Slaughter, whose 28th congressional district was eliminated during redistricting.

[PA-08] PA-8: Mike Fitzpatrick (R), GOP Rubber Stamper by poopdogcomedy - Fitzpatrick is in hock to the Tea Party, says his opponent Kathy Boockvar (D).

[VA-07] Wayne Powell's newest anti-Cantor ad: creepy cardboard cut-out by Rolandz - Diarist has Wayne Powell’s (D) Latest ad video in his Virginia 07 district race against incumbent Eric cantor (R).

[Var-House] My US House Preview: Midwest/Northeast by JGibson - Diarist's 2nd edition previews the US House races to watch in the Midwest, New England, and the Mid-Atlantic.

[Var-House] My US House Preview: South/West by JGibson - Diarist offers predictions for hotly contested House races in the south and west.

[WI-Var] Wisconsin Congressional Benchmarks by fearlessfred14 - While Wisconsin is far less competitive in this year's House races than for Senate and President, it does have three races that have been considered competitive, namely the seats held by Paul Ryan, Sean Duffy, and Reid Ribble. In addition, there is a vacancy left by Tammy Baldwin's Senate run.


State:

[CT-St.Sen-04] Connecticut's "Citizens United Bonus Baby" Steps In It by UTBlogger - A SuperPAC is throwing a lot of money into this race between Cheri Pelletier (R) and Stephen Cassano (D).

[MN-StHouse] Minnesota: Final Predictions, Part II by OGGoldy - The diarist's final projections for all 201 legislative districts in Minnesota.


Ballot Initiatives:

[CA-Props] Bogus California mailer I received by MrPlow - Diarist describes a deceptive mailer he received that pretends to be from Public Safety unions, but in reality is from the Policy Issues Institute - a wingnut outfit headed by Floyd Brown (with revealing links).

[CA-Prop 30] Field Poll Sticks A Knife In Media Narrative About Prop 30 by Attorney at Arms - Diarist reports that CA's Prop 30 was already leading by a minimum of 4 points in every poll ever conducted and has now scored a huge win, showing itself up 48-38 in the premier in-state poll, the The Field Poll, just 5 days out from the election.

[CA-Prop 32] California's Death Penalty is Dying. Along With Prop 32. by jpmassar - The latest Field Poll has encouraging news for those wanting to see the death penalty in California go the way of the US Navy (at least according to Mitt Romney).

[CA-Prop 33] Jim Crow Insurance: CA Prop 33 Turns Back The Clock To Price Discrimination In Auto Insurance by Consumer Watchdog - Proposition 33 will discriminate against new car owners in the form of surcharges.

[CA-Prop 35] California's Prop 35: A Misguided Ballot Initiative Targeting the Wrong People for the Wrong Reasons by RH Reality Check - California voters hold the power this Election Day to decide if many thousands of people convicted of prostitution-related offenses in their state must now register as sex offenders.

[MI-Prop 3] Clean Energy on the Ballot: Fossil Fuel Companies Spending Big to Defeat Michigan Initiative by Mary Anne Hitt - Proposal 3 calls for 25% of Michigan's electricity to come from renewable sources by 2025. King Coal and Big Oil (NG) are spending big to stand in the way.

[MN-Marriage Amendment] Minnesota Senate Republicans Are Out Of Control by TwoPuttTommy - Diarist takes the state senate to task for attacks on state representative John Kriesel (R) for saying on the House floor that he supports a NO vote on the constitutional amendment enshrining marriage restriction.

[WA-Ref 74] Washington marriage campaign launches groundbreaking Facebook GOTV tool by Scott Wooledge - Diarist reports that the folks working to get the Washington electorate to approve Referendum 74, affirming the right of LGBT couples to marry, have found a unique and groundbreaking way to harness Facebook to power their Get Out The Vote operation.

[WA-Ref 74] WA-Ref. 74 Marriage Equality Winning by madeja76 - Marriage equality is ahead in the polls in Washington State.

[WA-Ref 74] Seattle Times: Anti-marriage commercial is 'shameless' and 'blatantly false' 'scare tactics' by Scott Wooledge - An ad attacking marriage equality is blasted by a leading publication.


Various:

[Var-Polling] Another Excellent Polling Aggregator by According to Fish - Diarist introduces yet another excellent poll aggregator and analysis source, votamatic.org.

[Var-Polling] Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Is all the talk of a popular vote/electoral vote split legitimate? by Steve Singiser - On a very light polling day and a day when a raft of GOP-inspired polling served to muddle the message a bit, we turn attention to an oft-debated topic in the past several days. Is a 2000 redux, with one candidate being declared the winner in the electoral college, and the other winning the national popular vote, really as plausible as a number of pundits now insist?


General:

538: Dem Majority in Senate Probability Over 90% by Gangster Octopus - While Nate's Presidential Forecast gets most of the notice, he also has a Senate Forecast and for the first time (actually updated a few days ago), the probabiliy of a Dem Senate Majority is over 90%.

Daily Kos, Michigan needs your help - UPDATED by Eclectablog - MI voters pay attention to this one. It contains important information with regards to the election of three MI Supreme Court candidates.

Every Vote Counts by idbecrazyif - Indiana blue in a sea of red resident talks about how vitally important it is to GOTV, even if not all races can be won by Democrats.

GOP protest forces Congressional Research Service to withdraw tax report by Jon Perr - Diarist discusses a development that the New York Times reported on Thursday: "The Congressional Research Service has withdrawn an economic report that found no correlation between top tax rates and economic growth, a central tenet of conservative economy theory, after Senate Republicans raised concerns about the paper's findings and wording."

GOTV: Iowa Same Day Registration & Marriage Equality by Melanie in IA - Diarist explains the Iowa voter ID requirements - which are NONE - for GOTV volunteers who need to explain it to those they contact. Also clarifies other requirements.

Iowa Early Voting Update, 11/2/12 by FightingRegistrar - Latest figures on early voting out of Iowa.

Just Early Voted in South Florida by ThomasBThomas - Early voting in Florida compared to 2008.

Michael's Senate Ratings, 10/31/12 by Michael NY - Diarist provides their prediction of various Senate races.

My predictions - by how much Obama wins, and more - if anyone cares by teacherken - Long time politics teacher gives us his predictions, which includes Dems holding the Senate and gaining some seats in the House.

Nevada Early Voting Update, 11/1/12 by FightingRegistrar - Our early voting stats person offers the latest figures from Nevada's two biggest counties as of yesterday.

NJ Provides Alternative Voting Places for Displaced Voters by tmservo433 - New Jersey state officials say they are extending the deadline for mail-in ballots and will deploy military trucks to serve as polling places on Election Day in storm-battered communities.

Quick update, battleground state by kid oakland - A plea to make a quality impact in a battleground state, by actually going there.

Some suggestions for GOTV volunteers by Jonathan Hoag - Diarist offers a nice list of suggestions for how to make your GOTV efforts as effective as they can be.

Why I Vote For Democrats: "I'm from the government and I'm here to help." by JanF - Diarist discusses the history of FEMA and points out Congressional Republicans' pattern of taking disaster relief hostage in extortion attempts to cut funding of other federal programs that help the poor.


* A big THANKS! to all our dedicated EDR volunteers (in alphabetical order): Alma, eeff, Joieau, nomandates, Oke, randallt, restondem, Spedwybabs, Sylv, TruthOfAngels and turbonerd.

EDR has rescued 1,639 Election Diaries since September 1, 2012.

Archive links: Election Diary Rescue 2012 - Daily Diaries
2010 Rescues
2008 Rescues
2006 Rescues

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Fri Nov 02, 2012 at 03:03 PM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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