as you can read in Democrats end with 71,000-voter lead in Clark, near dead heat in Washoe
some snips:
bottom line: The credible polls on both sides would have to be wrong -- i.e. Romney would have to win independents by a large margin -- for him to win Nevada.
No rural updates from Friday, but Democrats were losing by about 20,000 voters there. Some Republicans hope Romney can win the cow counties by 40,000 votes. I think that's optimistic (Obama lost there by 25,000 votes four years ago), but possible.
But even if he does, that means the GOP has to hold Obama to a less than 40,000-vote victory in urban Nevada. These early numbers indicate that is unlikely.
Possible. But unlikely.
So far looking at turnout and margins in the two largest counties, Romney is in real trouble, if for no other reason than he is not getting a margin in Washoe (Reno) - his margin is only .3%.
I think both campaigns now know this.
That means 6 EVs off the table for Romney.