In short it looks like we have no clue.
The bad:
One study leans R.
The very good:
A study of ACTUAL votes cast show Obama nicely up.
Crazy.
http://www.miamiherald.com/...
November 04, 2012
The swing voters of the swing state. What do independents think?
They are the swing voters of the ultimate swing state.
Florida’s independent voters are either too conservative for the Republican Party, too liberal for the Democrats — or too, well, independent for either. They are all over the political map — an apt reflection of Florida, a state with a little bit of everywhere else.
But ultimately, they’ll cast the deciding votes that guarantee President Barack Obama a second term or help Mitt Romney unseat him.
Public-opinion surveys have swung left and right with the mood of independents. But they’re starting to settle on Romney.
A Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald/Tampa Bay Times survey found Romney winning 49-43 among independents.
An unscientific Miami Herald email survey of 2,051 registered no-party-affiliation voters who cast absentee ballots found they favored Obama 51-44 percent.
Read more here: http://miamiherald.typepad.com/...