No grand prize like in 08 (from the Kos blog) but I wonder what the community thinks will be the outcome of the election.
(Since all I hear on right wing radio (aka radio), Fox, and nearly all of the conservative blogs/sites is that Romney will win and maybe even win big, I'd like to see some brave conservatives and independents give their predictions to compare with the typical Kos crowd.)
Me: Democrat
President EV: 303 O - 235 R; President popular: 50.1 O - 48.4 R
Senate: (51+2) D/I - 47 R; House: 240 R - 198 D
For reference (as of 6am (PST) 11/05):
Nate's FiveThirtyEight:
President EV: 307.2 (303 by state) O - 230.8 (235) R; President popular: 50.6 - 48.5
Senate: 52.5 (53 by state) D - 47.5 (47) R; House: n/a
HuffPo Pollster:
President EV: 277 O - 191 R; President popular: 47.9 D - 46.8 R
Senate: 50 + 1 D/I - 45 R (4 tossups); House: 233 R - 185 D (17 tossups)
Electoral-Vote:
President EV: 294 O - 220 R (24 tie); President popular: n/a
Senate: 51 D - 45 R (4 tie); House: n/a
RealClearPolitics:
President EV: 201 O - 191 R; President popular: 47.8 D - 47.42 R
Senate: 48 D - 44 R (8 toss ups); House: 224 R - 178 D (33 toss ups)
Princeton:
President EV: 305 O - 223 R; President popular: n/a
Senate: 53 D - 47 R; House: n/a
Election Projection:
President EV: 303 O - 235 R; President popular: n/a
Senate: 51 D/I - 47 R; House: 242 R - 193 D
And then, to be fair and balanced, I provide the truly objective for our conservative friends:
UnSkewed Polls:
President EV: 359 R - 179 O
Now if these sources, doing such great work, are correct (less of course, UnSkewed) in their predictions/projections, then we've spent six billion dollars to maintain the status quo. Anyone for public financing?