Skip to main content

I count just 10 states that are even remotely competitive. In order of electoral votes we have:

FL  29
PA  20
OH  18
NC  15
VA  13
WI  10
CO  9
IA  6
NV  6
NH  4

Actually, I rate only 7 of these as really competitive. YMMV.

Your mission, if you choose to accept it, is to pick the exact states that Obama will win. (Please ignore the possibility of splitting either Maine or Nebraska.) The earliest correct submission is the winner. You may submit more than one entry, but only the last one counts. If nobody picks the exact winner, well, that's just too bad. The winner will receive an all-expense paid one week tour of Mississippi with Rush Limbaugh. (This is contingent on my convincing Rush to pick up the tab.) Second prize is, well, you know.  

Just submit your entry in the comments. List the states Obama will win, and give the EV totals for both. For the arithmetic challenged (i.e., Republicans), you might wish to use an interactive electoral map. All entries must be timestamped before November 6. You might also want to visit Nate Silver's blog. If you don't already have that bookmarked, you probably don't belong in this contest.

I'll start the ball rolling with my own entry:  PA, OH, VA, WI, IA, NV, NH. 294-244, Obama winning. (I would appreciate it if you don't ridicule my entry. I am very sensitive about these things.)

I will announce the winner in the community diary "New Day" which will be published at 10:30 AM EST on Wednesday, November 7. If the electoral vote of any state is undecided at that point, the winner might be announced in a later edition of "New Day".

Note: The contest is null and void in the event Rmoney wins. Heaven forbid.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site