Skip to main content

Along with other good news in today's Pew Poll (LV:O50, R47; RV: O49, R42!) there is a revealing question about voter intent:

If the presidential election were being held TODAY, would you vote for for the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, for the Libertarian Party ticket headed by Gary Johnson or the Green Party ticket headed by Jill Stein?

ASK IF CHOOSE ROMNEY: Would you say that your choice is more a vote FOR Mitt Romney or more a vote AGAINST Barack Obama?

ASK IF CHOOSE OBAMA:Would you say that your choice is more a vote FOR Barack Obama or more a vote AGAINST Mitt Romney?

The answers are a perfect response to the question Romeny poses in recent ads condemning Obama's "revenge" remarks: What is your reason for voting?

Turns out, we've got the positive edge by a wide margin:

78% of Obama supporters said they are voting more for him, than against Romney; 20% say the reverse.

On the other hand, just 60% of Romney supporters said they were voting more for him; 38% say their vote is more against Obama.

But it's even more interesting ...

The Pew Poll also lists results for similar questions for the past six elections. In five out of the past six elections-- (I'm not counting the 2000 abomination)-- the winning candidate was the one whose supporters were more "for him" than "agin' the other guy", just before the election. Here are the %s:

          D        R
2008   77%    63%
2004   43%    76%
2000   64%    66%
1996   65%    47%
1992   57%    56%
1988   55%    62%

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site