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Ok, social conservatism is done in the USA IMO. As a mainstream force.  

This is not a lazy argument about demographics--it's reality, I mean legislation is being passed legalizing gay marriage and weed!  

It will become something with a small dedicated following like the Libertarians, but I don't think we'll see it in a mainstream candidate again.

GOP will have to go all in on fiscal conservatism and probably outflank the Democratic Party and move towards isolationism on Foreign Policy.

I don't see anywhere else that they can maneuver to honestly. They've been extremely short sighted actually, because really if you think about it there's some things in the DREAM Act, cap'n'trade and even Obamacare that a traditional mainstream conservative should have been able to identify with.  The DREAM Act (as proposed), Obamas "grand bargain", cap'n'trade....those are already compromise positions, and relatively corporate friendly. Their problem is short-term thinking.  Now they'll be shut out of any meaningful legacy type legislation.

And sticking a token minority on the ticket won't work.  I'm already hearing a lot of chatter about Rubio. Well, having Palin on the ticket in 2008 did f*ck all for the gender gap. The policies still matter. Rubio is a neocon, and a warmonger, he's basically John Bolton on foreign policy.

They should've nominated Huntsman, but then again, Obama is a historically good and a transformational candidate so it might not have made a difference. Still someone like Huntsman is the direction they need to go.  Their problem though is that they've ceded the entire center to the Democratic party.  

Anyway, their problem.  I'm hardly shedding any tears for their predicament.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Weed and gay marriage are libertarian (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    both are personal freedom of choice, boundary of government issues.

    The libertarians tend to think Republicans represent them, but I think that is because libertarians are just wrong when they extend "freedom of choice" analysis to economic issues. Regulations on business are like referees in sports--they make the game fair

    •  I've been thinking for some time that (0+ / 0-)

      A lot of the money behind the libertarian media machine is Republican money using 'libertarian' as a funnel to capture a younger demographic. Once you are in the funnel you are halfway there.

      Libertarians seemed like a different breed 30 years ago.

  •  Best-case: religious conservatives fade away (0+ / 0-)

    This election is the beginning of the end of the culture wars - and our side is going to win.

    - Gay marriage is almost certain to become a national reality under Obama's second term
    - Drug legalization is finally on the political agenda
    - Religious exemptions for contraceptives? LOL
    - Extreme views on abortion have directly contributed to 2 Senate losses for the GOP

    Finally, President Obama at worst can solidify the liberal 4 on the Supreme Court, and we are one Kennedy, Scalia or Thomas from shifting the Court in our favor.

    The GOP could double down on craziness, but I think it will only be on economic issues; social issues are no longer a winner for them. When the RR sees that the GOP is abandoning them, there is a real possibility that they will simply pick up their ball and go home.

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