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It appears that Florida is finally settled and the President won.

But even before the final battleground state votes were counted, assessments have been coming in fast and furiously (h/t Darrell Issa) as to why President Obama won and why Mitt Romney lost.

These early guesses have a tendency of becoming the narrative which determines how we wage battles and view the electorate in future contests.

Well before those guesses become elevated to conventional wisdom, I would like some empirical data to back up these assumptions.

I would like exit pollsters to ask the following questions, to determine why voters chose the President over Mitt Romney:

How influential was the President's handling of Hurricane Sandy in your final decision to vote for President Obama?

How influential was Bill Clinton's convention speech in your final decision to vote for President Obama?

How influential was Vice-President Biden's debate performance in your final decision to vote for President Obama?

Exit polls for states:

Ohio

How influential was Mitt Romney's Jeep-to-China ad in your final decision not vote for him?
Florida
Mitt Romney 49% Really, Florida, really?
Undecideds
Honestly, what is your deal? Every election? Every. Single. One? How much data did you need to know Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan sucked?

On Election Day, when we vote, we instantly become the most important and influential pollsters in the entire nation.

So I invite you, my fellow distinguished pollsters, to ask the exit poll questions you'd like answered. Because we can never have enough polls, right?

Poll

Why do you think President Obama won?

57%19 votes
6%2 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
36%12 votes

| 33 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    eXtina, ladybug53

    The choice of our lifetime: Mitt Romney, It Takes A Pillage or President Barack Obama, Forward Together.

    by FiredUpInCA on Thu Nov 08, 2012 at 04:52:22 PM PST

  •  I saw this question in the exit polls (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    FiredUpInCA
    How influential was the President's handling of Hurricane Sandy in your final decision to vote for President Obama?
    I don't remember the exact number but it wasn't that significant, maybe 35% said t mattered.

    As to FL I totally agree. Just SMH. I was very concerned that Obama wasn't hitting the Medicare lie harder but I guess he figured it wasn't going to matter?

    Mitt Romney 49% Really, Florida, really?
    either that, or it's setting up the grand bargain.

    "I'm sculpting now. Landscapes mostly." ~ Yogi Bear

    by eXtina on Thu Nov 08, 2012 at 05:11:06 PM PST

  •  You're assuming it's all conscious. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    FiredUpInCA

    People don't sit around and analyze this stuff. It adds up bit by bit.

    If you ask people "how much influence did X have on your decision?" they're usually not going to gauge it all that well. They don't think they are easily swayed by one speech or one event. They are, but we all like to think we're these rational creatures who thought it through in great detail.

    So, you don't want to say, "Yeah, that one speech by Bill Clinton entirely made clear stuff I wasn't clear on." It didn't. They sort of had that feeling, and Clinton made it simple and confirmed niggling ideas. They won't see the speech as the influential moment necessarily.

    www.stacysmusings.wordpress.com

    by Magenta on Thu Nov 08, 2012 at 05:53:56 PM PST

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