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In 2008 I read far to much here on Daily Kos and elsewhere proclaiming that Progressives were moving into an age of a permanent majority.  That was nothing more than hubris.  The wake up call came quickly and harshly in 2010 with the loss of control of the House and a majority we kept in the Senate only by the mistakes of our opponents.  

We and Barack Obama just won an historic election.  In some ways, this election was a bigger deal and more improbable than the first time. We probably have a few more days where we can unabashedly celebrate.  Let's enjoy these day, but remember we have hard work ahead.  This election does not mean we have a permanent majority.  Don't fall into the trap of a self-defeating overreach with boasts and bluster of our ruling permanence.  

Four specific points below the fold.

1. The opposition has not given up.  The Conservative movement has faced set backs before.  They have never let losses stop them. They often come back stronger.  They are as determined as ever to work on their agenda. Check out this video created after the election by the Heritage Foundation if you have any doubts about the determination of the oppostion.

2. The opposition will come around on immigration issues.  They already are.  In the same way the left largely abandoned gun control, Republicans are ripe to abandon opposition to immigration.  If you don't think that's true, listen of Hannity's back flip on immigration.

The immigration issue will likely be resolved this cycle.  When that happens, Republican's will have new opportunities to win Latino votes.  We will not get 70% of the Latino vote the next time around.

3. Voters are more fluid than in times past.  We have captured new voters in the last two or three election cycles.  There is some evidence that new voters will keep their allegiance to the party where they first voted.  I don't think in the age of twitter, the continuous news cycle and generally instant reactions, that maxim will hold true.

4. Most importantly, we have to govern well.  If we fail to deliver peace, prosperity, jobs and growth we will lose.  Period.


One more jolt of freudenschade: Which Republican melt down was your favorite?

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| 26 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Obama's victory was also the result of his (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    enormous personal charisma and political organization on a scale never before seen.  Whether this performance can be repeated by a future democrat remains a question unanswered.

    If democrats retire to their couches and slip back into a coma the way they did in 2010, there could still be trouble ahead.  

  •  Shame on you for thinking woman and Latinos (0+ / 0-)

    are as shallow and swayable as the GOP thinks they are. You think immigration and abortion are the only issues that matter to these folks? How dare you promote GOP crap thinking like that.

    Ds see human suffering and wonder what they can do to relieve it. Rs see human suffering and wonder how they can profit from it.

    by JTinDC on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 08:37:23 AM PST

    •  seeing as how I did not mention women (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Andrew F Cockburn, JTinDC, FrankRose

      in my diary, your response is just bizarre.  We do not have a permanent majority despite the hubris I've seen, particularly after the 2008 election.  My post was a reminder that there is hard work to come.  

      Furthermore, that you say that I "think immigration and abortion are the only issues that matter to these folks."  Nothing could be further from the truth.  Shame on you for making stuff up about me and then taking me to task for it.  A Republican play, if I have ever seen one.

  •  Very well said. (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ebb, Andrew F Cockburn, Odysseus

    Progressives cannot help but to be ecstatic following the election, but personally I am very uncomfortable with that component of the ectasy that comes from freundenschade.  Deriving pleasure from the failure and discomfiture of others is a very human emotion, but it is not one a worthy one.  Further, it too easily facilitates the behaviors that ebb cautions us to avoid.  In his book The Limits of Power Andrew Bacevich advises that the US should realism and humility in its foreign policy.  I think that progressives and the democratic party should follow this advice.  To quote Bacevich "Realism implies an obligation to see the world as it actually is, not as we might like to see it.  The enemy of realism is hubris --".  The GOP failure in this election is related to its inability to be realistic.  Ebb is telling us not to err along these lines.  "Humility imposes an obligation of a different sort.  It summons Americans (substitute progressives) to see themselves without blinders.  The enemy of humility is sanctimony, which gives rise to the conviction that American (substitute progressive) values and beliefs are universal and that the nation (substitute party) itself serves providentially assigned purposes."   I think we need to consider these comments.

    Any Jackass can kick down a barn. It takes a carpenter to build one. - Sam Rayburn

    by Old Gray Dog on Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 08:52:24 AM PST

  •  Seeing as progressives (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Andrew F Cockburn

    aren't even a majority within the Democratic Party, I'd have to agree that of course we/they do not have a permanent majority of any kind.

  •  I remember the "permanent Democratic majority" (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ebb, corvo

    we got after Watergate. The Republican party was in a shambles that would take generations to recover from. How long did that last?

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