Okay, Gallup reeeeeeally sucks.
For their final swing state poll, Gallup showed Obama and Romney tied among likely voters across the battleground.
Voters in the nation's key battlegrounds have become as enthusiastic and engaged in the 2012 presidential election as they were in the historic contest four years ago, and they finally have made up their minds about President Obama and Mitt Romney.I hate to break this to you Gallup, but no, it wasn't "a tie" as you put it.
It's a tie: 48%-48%.
The poll was taken in the dozen battlegrounds most likely to determine the outcome in the Electoral College: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.A tie? In those states?
Here are the actual results, taking into account the fact that hundreds of thousands of provisional, absentee, and overseas ballots (the sum total of which should benefit our side) are still being counted across battleground states:
Colorado - Obama +5
Florida - Obama +1
Iowa - Obama +5.5
Michigan - Obama +9.5
Nevada - Obama +6.5
New Hampshire - Obama +5.5
New Mexico - Obama +10
North Carolina - Romney +2
Ohio - Obama +2
Pennsylvania - Obama +5
Virginia - Obama +3
Wisconsin - Obama +7
So as we can clearly see, the battleground was not anywhere close to "a tie." And Romney was never really ahead by 7 points nationally, as Gallup claimed. That was absurd. The last time a Republican won an election by 7 points nationally was in 1988, when George Bush won states like California, Illinois, and Pennsylvania.
I wonder if the collective brains over at Gallup melted on Tuesday night as the election returns came in. Either that, or just exploded.