Skip to main content

Peggy Noonan on Meet The Press
Peggy Noonan, being wrong again. And again.
Peggy Noonan, as wrong as the rest of her ilk, on how President Barack Obama didn't seem "genuine" back in July:
Maybe Mr. Obama is living proof of the political maxim that they don't care what you know unless they know that you care. But the idea that he is aloof and so inspires aloofness may be too pat. No one was colder than FDR, deep down. But he loved the game and did a wonderful daily impersonation of jut-jawed joy. And people loved him.

The secret of Mr. Obama is that he isn't really very good at politics, and he isn't good at politics because he doesn't really get people. The other day a Republican political veteran forwarded me a hiring notice from the Obama 2012 campaign. It read like politics as done by Martians. The "Analytics Department" is looking for "predictive Modeling/Data Mining" specialists to join the campaign's "multi-disciplinary team of statisticians," which will use "predictive modeling" to anticipate the behavior of the electorate. "We will analyze millions of interactions a day, learning from terabytes of historical data, running thousands of experiments, to inform campaign strategy and critical decisions."

This wasn't the passionate, take-no-prisoners Clinton War Room of '92, it was high-tech and bloodless. Is that what politics is now? Or does the Obama re-election effort reflect the candidate and his flaws?

Of course, this was a calculated effort to combat the notion that Mitt Romney was cold and aloof and didn't give a shit about people who weren't members of his country club (and maybe not even them). You think Romney is aloof, well what about Obama? He hired statisticians to employ gay math!

So a group of those data nerds set up shop in Florida, posted that Noonan column on the door with a photo of the Mars landscape, and set about to win.

Among its many decisions driven by data, the campaign chose to stick it out in Florida, even though polls and conventional wisdom raised doubts about Obama's odds in the GOP-tilted battleground.

Just weeks before the election, the analytics team's assessment suggested a 30% to 40% chance of winning the state, Wagner said. But after the team added information about roughly 250,000 new voter registrations, the projection shifted, showing that 80% of the new registrants would vote and they would heavily support Obama.

When the computers spat out this data, indicating that Obama was likely to win in Florida, a howl went up from the Cave. A mathematician from the University of Alabama started it off with the 'Bama fighting words, "Roll Tide!"

Remember, this was the same Peggy Noonan who said Romney would win because—get ready for this—
All the vibrations are right.
So yeah, ha ha ha ha! They pay her for that drivel!

But that's fine. Let conservatives listen to people with "gut feelings" and vibration sensibilities. We'll stick to the arithmetic.

Originally posted to kos on Tue Nov 13, 2012 at 03:37 PM PST.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

grytpype, SME in Seattle, GainesT1958, Alumbrados, paradox, Sylv, jo fish, Garrett, dwellscho, PrahaPartizan, scribeboy, Ray Radlein, filkertom, lapin, AaronInSanDiego, glitterscale, Gooserock, Rolfyboy6, madmsf, greenbird, bosdcla14, karlpk, krwada, TheGreatLeapForward, Shockwave, Wintermute, OLinda, Vico, Oracle2021, celdd, eeff, Pompatus, red moon dog, HarlemUSA, frisco, Bryce in Seattle, MarkInSanFran, jancw, VickiStein, cvannatta, expatjourno, Creosote, dweb8231, regis, Heart of the Rockies, dpc, agoldnyc, missLotus, susans, cyberKosFan, kalihikane, SamSinister, ellefarr, ask, CoolOnion, peace voter, highacidity, boadicea, stevej, Dont Just Stand There, boilerman10, mrblifil, farmerhunt, taonow, Clues, retLT, sngmama, itskevin, PeteZerria, librarianman, fumie, revsue, jdmorg, Lilyvt, Texknight, SneakySnu, tomephil, hopesprings, psnyder, Joe Bacon, annan, TexDem, NYC Sophia, mrkvica, pat bunny, virginislandsguy, Eyesbright, johanus, cosette, potatohead, wdrath, mnguitar, niteskolar, Jujuree, Steven Payne, betson08, renaissance grrrl, raster44, beachmom, Liberaljentaps, riverlover, exlrrp, ybruti, Sembtex, mungley, Vicky, tomjones, poemworld, lyvwyr101, AlwaysDemocrat, vivadissent, rmx2630, Sybil Liberty, sebastianguy99, murrayewv, Armand451, My Philosophy, sawgrass727, Gowrie Gal, Julie Gulden, Dirk McQuigley, vcmvo2, Skennet Boch, A Citizen, ExStr8, maybeeso in michigan, historys mysteries, Bluesee, pacplate, Progressive Witness, Auntie Neo Kawn, Ckntfld, el dorado gal, blueyedace2, caul, Freakinout daily, SherwoodB, Tonedevil, democracy inaction, Geronimo, elkhunter, basquebob, MT Spaces, dewtx, stagemom, EJP in Maine, Dobber, Kevskos, eru, dansk47, Little Lulu, Steve in Urbana, jane123, sunbro, laviolet, Shotput8, coolbreeze, peacestpete, chiefsjen, Alan Arizona, kathny, Jim R, debedb, Born in NOLA, Showman, sideboth, gwilson, snazzzybird, WB Reeves, keeplaughing, 417els, Mr Bojangles, edwardssl, MeMeMeMeMe, BlueInARedState, profundo, dopper0189, Gorette, Yellow Canary, kestrel9000, jpw, Wary, fou, raincrow, NBBooks, triv33, MJ via Chicago, StrayCat, gpoutney, Rosaura, LibChicAZ, real world chick, FatPath, PapaChach, JVolvo, el cid, Zwoof, myrealname, ER Doc, middleagedhousewife, CA Nana, Clive all hat no horse Rodeo, fiddlingnero, chapel hill guy, Bernie68, Eikyu Saha, Nulwee, bmcphail, Pandoras Box, Thinking Fella, FlamingoGrrl, pgm 01, FoundingFatherDAR, Cronesense, Loudoun County Dem, camlbacker, moodyinsavannah, Debs2, Dartagnan, gloriana, puakev, edsbrooklyn, blue71340, Duccio, la urracca, flumptytail, suejazz, rantsposition, mbh1023, GMFORD, snowshoeblue, tcdup, SeaTurtle, Fireshadow, millwood, Wreck Smurfy, christianlsv, uciguy30, Sarea, GeorgeXVIII, JML9999, cloudbustingkid, Assaf, shmuelman, Empower Ink, gizmo59, rmonroe, W T F, rogerdaddy, Erik W, mconvente, TruthFreedomKindness, TX Freethinker, wayoutinthestix, Sixty Something, Youffraita, Involuntary Exile, bythesea, Ronald England, brooklynbadboy, skohayes, Akonitum, DCBlue, KJG52, VL Baker, lavorare, jamess, tofumagoo, royce, pamelabrown, hwmnbn, icebergslim, pademocrat, Jeff Y, noddem, Rolling, elpacifico66, Notreadytobenice, shigeru, TexanJane, luckylizard, OrdinaryIowan, Keninoakland, Karl Rover, Ellinorianne, billybam, shortgirl, RWN, JBL55, clent, MrsTarquinBiscuitbarrel, McGahee220, litoralis, juca, Discipline28, ewmorr, Donkey Hotey, zephyr108, Mislead, Sarge in Seattle, maryabein, ScientistSteve, Zotz, Remediator, prgsvmama26, geebeebee, elziax, zizi, TheOpinionGuy, mksutherland, MySobriquet, papahaha, johnosahon, jazzence, paintitblue, kevinpdx, Keith Pickering, histOries Marko, guyeda, stevenwag, archidem, haremoor, Tortmaster, ayjaymay, nancat357, Former Chicagoan Now Angeleno, Larsstephens, Clyde the Cat, Railfan, brentbent, brooklyns finest, coppercelt, Laurilei, p gorden lippy, sbbonerad, breathe67, gramofsam1, Tea and Strumpets, Susan Grigsby, jethrock, piers, Orlaine, CS in AZ, LOrion, BenderRodriguez, Kilspi, 2questions, JohnAdams999, JoanMar, gulfgal98, CayceP, samanthab, pixxer, ItsSimpleSimon, Anne933, xhale, DiegoUK, ThirtyFiveUp, sharonsz, BlueFranco, kenwards, ericlewis0, petesmom, Oh Mary Oh, wrpereir, Actbriniel, slice, Quantumlogic, no way lack of brain, Onomastic, Jane Lew, annieli, kerflooey, jtb583, MidwestTreeHugger, agrenadier, Acktiv, Quite Contrary, spooks51, Bob Duck, slowbutsure, implicate order, Buckeye Nation, donaurora, OldGrammy, Boris49, ardyess, Zutroy, OhioNatureMom, FightingRegistrar, SoCaliana, Outraged Mom, mrsgoo, PorridgeGun, sethtriggs, Cinnamon Rollover, thomask, Muskegon Critic, tfs1150, RfrancisR, merrily1000, MRA NY, voicemail, jgnyc, Fire bad tree pretty, n8rboy, bluedust, Imhotepsings, Caddis Fly, bloomin, cactusgal, Badjuh, ratcityreprobate, Book of Hearts, MikeBoyScout, Chitown Kev, Mentatmark, Rashaverak, Auriandra, DEMonrat ankle biter, ParkRanger, I C Mainer, Madrig, Sister Inspired Revolver of Freedom, daysey, Liberal Granny, OldDragon, Pixietrixter, anodnhajo, DeadHead, StonyB, cwsmoke, angry marmot, Siri, seethruit, nellgwen, Deep Texan, AreDeutz, deanarms, This old man, Lh1695, TexDemAtty, mapamp, peachcreek, belinda ridgewood, willrob, hardart, Nztorg, ClutchCargo, burnt out, doroma, parakeet, Buckeye54, Noddy, avsp, Kenneth Thomas, Denver11, Anton Bursch, artmanfromcanuckistan, Kayjay, Robynhood too, CalBearMom, Candide08, KingTag, Sue B, BobTheHappyDinosaur, Ray Pensador, Lily O Lady, MishaBrewer, Dallas L, ebailey, Sam Sara, remembrance, merrywidow, weck, motherlu, Southcoast Luna, aresea, topazOR, leeleedee, D minor, helpImdrowning, LaraJones, Smoh, nice marmot, caseylaw, ET3117, tampaedski, Ishmaelbychoice, MBishop1, ConfusedSkyes, sparkysgal, OregonWetDog, lagunabeach, amity75, iLDemfromPA, Dodgerdog1

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site