Skip to main content

Ten days after the election and votes are still being tallied in California and other states. The morning after the election AP said President won by 1.3 million votes nationally, about a two percent margin. The electoral vote was then 303-206 with Florida still undeclared.

We know the electoral college ended up a cushy 332-206, a 126 vote margin. Now we have an idea what the scope of the popular vote margin will be. After updates this afternoon, the race stands and at:

Obama   50.7%
Romney  47.7%

It's a 3% margin and still growing. What about raw votes? Right now:

Obama  63.2 million
Romney 59.5 million

The margin is 3.7 million and could expand to nearly 4 before it's over. Now, I've heard some Republicans say the 2012 race was closer than 2004. Silly, but math is not always their strong suit. Here are the 2004 margins for George Bush over John Kerry :

Bush + 2.4%
Bush +3 million votes
Bush +35 electoral college

And, of course, Bush had only Ohio as his margin of victory. Obama carried every contested state except NC (and the fact Republicans spent $43 million to hold NC tells you something as well).

Historically speaking, this will not be regarded as a particularly close race. Then again, if the media goes on and on for months saying "tie" then people might still think so a week after the election:

Ha, ha. Whatever.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

skybluewater, GainesT1958, JekyllnHyde, Joe Bob, democrattotheend, Sylv, RF, teacherken, Gooserock, alkatt, surfbird007, dengre, krwada, Dave B, donna in evanston, Wintermute, chuco35, SanJoseLady, Oracle2021, eeff, Mnemosyne, rubyr, frisco, MarkInSanFran, missLotus, Davidsfr, litho, cyberKosFan, wonkydonkey, sharman, ivote2004, badlands, MazeDancer, SneakySnu, psnyder, annan, Lawrence, wdrath, dwahzon, never forget 2000, RebeccaG, Brian82, Sophie Amrain, walkshills, outragedinSF, FlyingToaster, ybruti, Sembtex, vacantlook, sawgrass727, davidkc, rapala, humphrey, maybeeso in michigan, ichibon, v2aggie2, el dorado gal, YucatanMan, Gary Norton, eru, majcmb1, where4art, Drdemocrat, Overseas, markdd, Blu Gal in DE, Shotput8, turdraker, DaveVH, mightymouse, bently, Mother Mags, HoundDog, FunkyMonkey, blueoasis, Rosaura, JVolvo, el cid, middleagedhousewife, CA Nana, Tamar, Sapere aude, bear83, Loudoun County Dem, tgypsy, gloriana, edsbrooklyn, noofsh, Pengu1n, GMFORD, Newzie, carpunder, Librarianmom, Wreck Smurfy, uciguy30, skod, janatallow, mathGuyNTulsa, TomP, Empower Ink, chicago minx, JDWolverton, mconvente, TruthFreedomKindness, TX Freethinker, ScottyUrb, OleHippieChick, elwior, Akonitum, tofumagoo, royce, Jeff Y, catly, Gemina13, petulans, True Independent, oldliberal, maggiejean, WhizKid331, no fear, BlueBeaumontBoyz, Kansas Born, litoralis, greengemini, cantelow, Methinks They Lie, pvlb, notrouble, earicicle, DefendOurConstitution, elziax, MKSinSA, lastman, johnosahon, Keith Pickering, stevenwag, sfarkash, haremoor, astral66, Larsstephens, Canuckoo, NJpeach, brunoboy, eb23, ATFILLINOIS, Eddie L, kacemo, anonevent, rja, nirbama, roystah, wwjjd, stevenaxelrod, cany, slice, Onomastic, gobears2000, Maximilien Robespierre, Bluefin, Buckeye Nation, Wolf Of Aquarius, La Gitane, FightingRegistrar, PorridgeGun, MysteriousEast, Cinnamon Rollover, IllanoyGal, FistJab, BarackStarObama, SueM1121, MRA NY, RMForbes, peregrine kate, VTCC73, PDX, Chitown Kev, Mentatmark, CoyoteMarti, Auriandra, Nena20409, OldDragon, cwsmoke, TheLizardKing, Siri, nellgwen, tb92, jan4insight, doroma, avsp, scilicet, George3, Chaddiwicker, aresea, nice marmot, WFBMM, shinobi9, thatpj, Replace cant with Kant, TimG831

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site