Here's a Twitter exchange from last night between Nate Silver and David Wasserman:
@redistrict: Any sense for how many votes still outstanding in NY?— Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) December 4, 2012
And the response:
@fivethirtyeight I'd estimate between 800k-1 million in NY (mostly NYC), up to 100k elsewhere (mostly CA, NJ & OH). Obama will hit 51%.— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) December 4, 2012
When those New York votes are added President Obama will have reached or exceeded 51.0 percent of all votes cast in two Presidential elections. He will join a club currently occupied by only 8 other Presidents.
Here's a list of the 8 Presidents to accomplish 51+ twice (or more):
Washington ran unopposed in both his races. Officially he won 100 percent of the vote each time but most states' voters did not directly vote for presidential electors at this time.
Jefferson won with 61% in 1800 and 73% in 1804.
Monroe won both contests (1816 and 1820) easily with percentages of 68 and 81 respectively.
Jackson, on his second bid for President, won in 1828 with 56%. He was reelected in 1832 with 54%.
Ulysses S. Grant
Grant won the first term (1868) with 53% and the second term (1872) with 56%.
William McKinley won his first term with exactly 51.0% in 1896. He was reelected with 51.6%.
Franklin D. Roosevelt
The Muhammad Ali of Presidents won the title four times beginning in 1932 with margins of 57%, 61%, 55% and 53%. In a post-living race, Zombie FDR would kick Zombie Reagan's butt.
Eisenhower won in 1952 with 55% and was reelected with 57%.
President Obama joins this list with 53% in 2008 and (soon) 51% in 2012.
Now, what else do the first 8 Presidents on this list have in common. I'll list them again and see if you can figure it out: