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To all Kossacks:  Please take note that these Congressional District Information Diaries are not meant to evaluate whether or not the districts are beatable.  They are meant for Kossacks and others to share information on any knowledge they have on the districts.  

There have been recent Congressional District Information diaries where Kos user comments are talking about "how this person will never be beaten," or "even a scandal wouldn't change anyone's minds."  To be frank, we're not looking for this kind of feedback.  We want real, inside information about the Congressional Districts we cover in our diaries.

We'd like to reach out to any of you Kossacks from California's 45th Congressional District for information.  Feel free to add your understanding of the communities, issues, etc.  

This isn't going to be much of a diary.  You can add anything you want about California's 45 Congressional District.  Keep in mind this diary is just for information purposes.  Let's not get too carried away with whether or not any of these Knowledge Democrats information gathering diaries mean the Congressional districts in questions are winnable by Democrats or not.  Were here to assess districts across the country, no matter how "deep reed" or "red" or Republican-occupied they are.

What issues directly affect people in California's 45th Congressional District?  My colleague Augustin and I are working on the Knowledge Democrats project and I've started working on a wiki page for the 45th Congressional congressional district in order to assist in our long term efforts to promote progressive candidates in that district, whether at the local, state or federal level.  We understand this district may in fact have a bit conservative constituency but we're looking to reach out to any Kossacks, Democrats or progressives in the state anyway.  It helps for long-term planning.

We also know that the current representative of the district is John Campbell.


U.S. House, California, District 45 General Election, 2012
        Party            Candidate            Vote %    Votes
        Republican    John Campbell     58.5%    171,417
        Democratic     Sukhee Kang    41.5%    121,814

Total Votes:  293,231

Source: California Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"
http://www.sos.ca.gov/...

Also, taking politics out of the equation, let others know if you've been to California's 45th Congressional District and can point out some good restaurants, venues and places to spend time in there.

So far, we only have the basic information.  What issues should be documented? What important links / articles / information should be added to the wiki page?

Poll

Should John Campbell be challenged in 2014?

41%5 votes
25%3 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
33%4 votes

| 12 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Primarily rich suburban district, a lot of planned (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Lujane, algebrateacher

    communities. Great Park mess is an issue but mostly in Irvine. I don't think it has any effect in other parts of the district. Of course, it was hit hard by the real estate crash but real estate prices are doing somewhat better now. I'm sure there other issues there that I missed.

    •  Rich Warren's Saddleback Church and (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      FG

      a Mormon ward that was bitch-slapped into line by Utah thugs when Prop 8 was on the ballot.

      The only way Campbell is ever going to lose his job is if he slips up and gets primaried from the right.

      It would be better for local progressives to get behind people for community college trustee, or school board positions, or city council positions. Small cuts into the conservative flesh, so to speak.

  •  Heh. I live in this district. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Lujane

    What can you say when all of my neighbors, in a small area next to El Toro High, are either conservative or f***g nut conservative?  My wife and daughter receive the only Democratic ballots in the neighborhood except for some old lady a couple of streets over, and I'm not sure she's still alive.

    John Campbell's only worry, ever, is that some crazy will find an issue the he wasn't "conservative" enough on.  Then he might be primaried out of a job. The Democratic Party opposition? Oh, please. They barely approach Democratic Jews in the area and if you're a Democrat and can't find the time to hit up the Jews for money and support, you're not serious.  What the hell are you doing?

    •  Well, Sukhee Kang got 41.5% of the votes (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      algebrateacher

      I don't think that John Campbell's district is that conservative if say a Democratic challenger received 41.5% of the votes.  Maybe it could be that Barack Obama ran for re-election that a number of folks voted for him and Kang at the same time.  Or maybe Kang was a really good candidate who didn't get any support from the national Democratic party.  Often times the national Democratic Party committees will only support campaigns where the races are bound to be hot.

      We'll see.

      •  Or look at it this way: (0+ / 0-)

        Almost 6 out of 10 voters took the time to vote for Campbell, and probably Romney, when they already knew that there was no chance that California was in play. The Democratic Party candidate in this district has never been considered a threat.

        That Democrats can win the mayoralty of Irvine is a blessing from the University community and young couples/families there. Once you get into "above the tunnels" Lake Forest and the rest...uh...no.  Just no.  It's about Rick Warren's Saddleback Church and a large Mormon stake.

        •  Possibly but keep this in mind (0+ / 0-)

          If Kang did in fact get 41%, how was 41% achieved?  There were other Congressional races in the state, including a Democratic candidate who ran against House Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy and got less than 38% of the vote.

          I ended up posting diaries and increasing awareness for Jerry Tetalman's campaign against Darrell Issa in the CA-49 district and here's what I observed:  Tetalman got less than $50,000 in campaign cash yet he won roughly 42% of the votes in the CA-49 district.  Polling experts label the CA-49 as Safe Republican but if Tetalman is able to get 42% of the votes, assuming most of them are Democratic and Independent, then the district really is Lean Republican, contrary to what polling experts have pointed out.

          I think the bottom line is this:  California is growing blue and will only continue to do so in the months and years to come.  If more awareness is brought to everyone's attention early on, we might get more competitive races in the districts Republicans currently occupy where there wasn't competition before.

  •  By the way, if anybody actually reads this: (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Lujane

    If you're a kossack who wanders into the 45th District, message me through Daily Kos. I'll tell you what's what and where's where.

    Fair warning: There ain't much that's not Big Corporate and worth your money. Some nice Mexican restaurants have recently died.

    Ah, f**k me and my negative attitude. Geez, if you're a Daily Kos reader and are in Campbell's District, let's meet up for drinks.

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