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Pavement -- "Cut Your Hair"

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Comment Preferences

  •  South Carolina U.S. House Race - SC 01 (7+ / 0-)

    That's all I'm focusing on at this point.  All fire power must be used to annihilate Mark "Colossal Dumbass" Sanford from political office.

    Elizabeth Colbert-Busch for Congress:  http://colbertbuschforcongress.com/...

    Donate:  https://secure.actblue.com/...

    Volunteer:  http://colbertbuschforcongress.ngpvanhost.com/...

  •  What are your favorite political movies? (8+ / 0-)

    My favorite fiction political movie remains Charlie Wilson's War, with In the Loop an extremely close second.  Both very funny and somewhat depressing films.

    For non-fiction my pick is Ken Burn's documentary about Huey Long.  It was made long ago enough that he was able to interview some of Long's contemporaries.  It does a very good job giving a balanced look at Long's career, and you need to watch Long in action to fully understand him.

    23, male, CA-18 (home and voting there), LA-01 (college).

    by Jeff Singer on Fri May 03, 2013 at 05:00:46 PM PDT

  •  Weekend Tune (0+ / 0-)

    In fact, the occasional victory for the GOP cannot hide the fact that this country is fast heading into another era, not of two-party democracy, but a party-and-a-half system. And the GOP is the half a party- Larry Sabato

    by lordpet8 on Fri May 03, 2013 at 05:01:06 PM PDT

  •  I'm going to diary pimp first (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen, KingofSpades

    I have a diary out for Dkos's literature group, which is the second hidden gem of this site after DKE. It's on Japanese poetry and so perhaps especially interesting for someone like sapelcovits.

    Also music stuff:

    http://youtu.be/...

    It's a surprise.

    "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

    by ArkDem14 on Fri May 03, 2013 at 05:19:38 PM PDT

  •  Markey race in MA. for the senate. He is a great (7+ / 0-)

    candidate and I will work for him and give my $.

  •  2 pieces of new in Oregon (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Swamp Cat, MichaelNY, ArkDem14

    a majority of voters are willing to reform mandatory minimum sentences which we passed in 1994.

    Also, looks like an abortion measure may be on the ballot again next year.  They try often but have not passed one either on the ballot or in the lege since Roe.

    ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

    by James Allen on Fri May 03, 2013 at 05:43:10 PM PDT

  •  Music submission. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    lordpet8

    http://www.youtube.com/...

    1996 flashback.

    Gay farm boy, 20, who hit the city to go to college, WI-03 (home, voting), WI-02 (college), -7.00, -3.13, 2012 Daily Kos Elections Pick'Em runner-up.

    by WisJohn on Fri May 03, 2013 at 05:48:21 PM PDT

  •  Thursday night, (4+ / 0-)

    I went to the Barrymore Theater here in Madison and saw Ed Schultz. This was the first stop on his "Voices of America" tour, promoting his weekend show which is starting at 5pm EST on May 11th.

    He started by talking about health care and the importance of health insurance, as his wife has been through cancer treatments since last summer, something I related to quite easily as my dad has been fighting cancer since summer 2011. He said he asked the doctor what happens to people if they get cancer and don't have insurance, and the doctor just somberly and  quietly shook his head.

    He talked about the other issues of the day, giving the Republicans hell when hell was due. John Nichols also spoke, and so did the Wisconsin congressman who lives on the corner of Johnson and Baldwin Streets, Rep. Pocan.

    I had a fun time.

    Gay farm boy, 20, who hit the city to go to college, WI-03 (home, voting), WI-02 (college), -7.00, -3.13, 2012 Daily Kos Elections Pick'Em runner-up.

    by WisJohn on Fri May 03, 2013 at 05:59:52 PM PDT

  •  AK-SEN: Parnell's event is starting (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen

    It's 5-7pm Alaska time, so I guess it has started.

    Surprised we havent heard any news leak out as it usually does.

  •  CA-36: We don't have to worry about Bonnie Garcia (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Zack from the SFV, Gygaxian

    She's running for an open State Senate district:
    http://blogs.sacbee.com/...
    It's a GOP-leaning district, so it's probably not a loss of ours: http://www.mpimaps.com/...

    "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

    by KingofSpades on Fri May 03, 2013 at 06:24:48 PM PDT

  •  Parnell will run for re-election (16+ / 0-)

    Great news for Mark Begich. And John McCain! :)

    •  Thanks, was looking for this (7+ / 0-)

      Now they need to nominate Joe Miller!!!

    •  Seriously though (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades, James Allen, MichaelNY

      I think Begich will still have a tough race, considering it's AK in a midterm year. But a PPP poll in Feb showed with leads of at least six against all potential opponents. Except for Parnell, who he was tied with 48-48.

      link.

      Parnell was clear in a different league than the other candidates so this is good news. Something we needed after that MA-SEN poll.

    •  Speaking of Alaska (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Zack from the SFV, psychicpanda

      I believe they have to redraw legislative districts before 2014 because the 2012 map had VRA violations.

      "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

      by KingofSpades on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:05:22 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Actually the opposite (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        KingofSpades, MichaelNY, ArkDem14

        The Alaska Supreme Court found that the Redistricting Board looked at the VRA first, and then applied Alaska law. They said that Alaska law should be applied first, and then have adjustments for the VRA. Alaska law requires the districts be socio-economically cohesive. The GOP map in the Fairbanks area came under the most scrutiny. Two Dem Senators lost seats there in 2012.

        "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

        by SouthernINDem on Fri May 03, 2013 at 08:50:04 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Why that's good news for McCain? (0+ / 0-)

      NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

      by BKGyptian89 on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:06:20 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  It's a 2008 election era joke (5+ / 0-)

        27, Male, CA-26, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

        by DrPhillips on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:08:49 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I know it refers to '08 (0+ / 0-)

          but I still don't get it.

          NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

          by BKGyptian89 on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:11:14 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Republican expectation-gaming (7+ / 0-)

            Basically, in 2008, any political news, no matter how good, bad or completely irrelevant, was portrayed as "GOOD NEWS FOR JOHN MCCAIN!"

            •  Other than Jermiah Wright, what else (0+ / 0-)

              was called good news for McCain?

              "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

              by KingofSpades on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:23:39 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  The media in 2008 (4+ / 0-)

                grabbed at almost any straw to elevate McCain's chances.  Mark Halperin's idiotic proclamation that he "won" the week of the financial collapse was but one example.

                There was the constant repetition of the "maverick" meme, implying he would somehow be very different from Bush; the greater length of the Democratic primary was supposedly great for him and horrible for Obama (and Hillary); the media slobbered over Palin for at least a couple of weeks (Seriously, what the fuck was up with that? That's something I'd like to ask McCain); and that's just what immediately comes to mind.

                37, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

                by Mike in MD on Fri May 03, 2013 at 08:02:49 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

          •  My understanding is it refers to (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            BKGyptian89, KingofSpades, MichaelNY

            the perception that the media would say something was good news for McCain even if it wasnt.

            I kind of noticed it with polling. Obama would be 3, 4, 5 points ahead but the media would say it was good news for McCain because Obama wasnt "where he should be" with Hispanic voters, women voters, working class voters, etc.

            •  Oh OK thanks (0+ / 0-)

              I didn't have cable in '08 so that's news to me that they would say anything is goods news for McCain. How the hell that's supposed to be good news if he's trailing? That's perplexing, cause I don't remember them saying that during the election results that night.

              NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

              by BKGyptian89 on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:25:18 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  McCain had a hell of a convention bounce. (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                MichaelNY

                I still wonder what the hell people saw in her that caused the bounce to be that high.  My first impression of her was that she was pretty vapid and dumb.

                "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

                by KingofSpades on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:32:46 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  Apparently a lot of people thought she was hot. (2+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  Stephen Wolf, Zack from the SFV

                  I don't see it.  But then, I don't find stupid people attractive.

                  •  I think you're being unfair here (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    sacman701

                    The reason McCain got the convention bounce he got was that Palin gave a GREAT speech at the RNCC. If you approach that speech while thinking about what a low-to-average information voter would take away from it, you are forced to recognize Palin's true strength as a politician: she effortlessly taps into the resentments of the declining middle class and white working poor like nobody else. In 2008, that kept McCain alive and could have got him over the finish line if McCain hadn't repeatedly gone so horribly off-message and they kept the wraps on Palin being as stupid as she is under wraps a little longer.

                    In fairness to the McCain team, they DID try to do the latter. It wasn't until well after the 2008 RNCC that most non-Alaskans realized Palin is really, really dumb. (That is, when the campaign finally ran out of rationalizations for keeping her out of spontaneous speaking engagements with the press.)

                    I think we're all just really lucky that Palin is as insecure and vindictive as she is stupid. If Palin had actually worked with and listened to the McCain team rather than taking all of their work to help her identify and obfuscate her glaring weaknesses as a candidate, I honestly think they could have won. (As we all recall, like in 2012, Obama had a crushing Electoral College victory but a very thin popular vote victory. If McCain would have kept the voters he had in the summer, when the Democratic side was panicking, he could have won.)

                    Every human being must be viewed according to what it is good for; for none of us, no, not one, is perfect; and were we to love none who had imperfections, this world would be a desert for our love.

                    by Daniel Roche on Sun May 05, 2013 at 09:08:31 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

          •  It refers to Mark Halperin's weird talk (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            jj32, MichaelNY

            about how outsiders bringing up Jeremiah Wright was somehow good news for McCain.

            "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

            by KingofSpades on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:23:12 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Why wouldn't it be? (0+ / 0-)

              I mean it didn't make a big difference, but nobody can argue with a straight face that Jeremiah Wright helped Obama.  It definitely hurt.  It just didn't hurt enough to matter.

              20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
              politicohen.com
              Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
              UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

              by jncca on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:25:21 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Because polling showed it would backfire. (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                DCCyclone, MichaelNY

                That's why McCain wouldn't touch Wright while some were begging him to.  I'm not going to argue the Wright angle helped, but I doubt it hurt.  The effect was probably neutral as Obama did a great job explaining it all in that public speech on race and his life in the latter part of the primary (remember?).

                "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

                by KingofSpades on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:31:10 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  HRC tried to use it, it backfired. (2+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  Zack from the SFV, MichaelNY

                  McCain and the national Republicans avoided it, but there was some dissidents trying to bring it up that Halperin was calling good news for McCain, because somehow a few fringe activists were "shifting" the focus for some people or something.  Frankly, William Ayers probably hurt more than Wright.

                  "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

                  by KingofSpades on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:35:35 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Ah Mark Halperin... (2+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    Darth Jeff, MichaelNY

                    If John McCain had been declared himself Emperor of the Universe and started laughing maniacally, that somehow would have been good news for John McCain (it would have focused attention on the fact that Obama is a Socialist Muslim devil worshiper or something).

                    Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 26 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

                    by NMLib on Sat May 04, 2013 at 02:53:47 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                •  Yeah, I remember the speech (0+ / 0-)

                  I can say personally that for me and my entire family, it hurt our opinion of Obama (although all my non-Israeli relatives voted for him in the end).  And I think for many Americans it hurt their opinion. There is no positive to being associated with the man.  McCain not touching Wright may or may not have been the right decision, but I don't think the effect was neutral.  I just don't think it was enough to override the huge Dem wave, Obama's generally strong campaign, and Palin hurting with swing voters.

                  20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
                  politicohen.com
                  Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
                  UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

                  by jncca on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:45:04 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  That's odd (4+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    DCCyclone, MichaelNY, askew, itskevin

                    I remember it as being a positive turning point for him and I thought it was a pretty good speech (HRC was tarring him with Wright and he needed to neutralize it as an issue).

                    "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

                    by KingofSpades on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:51:55 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  Oh, the speech was good (0+ / 0-)

                      But actions speak louder than words.

                      20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
                      politicohen.com
                      Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
                      UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

                      by jncca on Fri May 03, 2013 at 08:21:13 PM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  What actions? (1+ / 0-)
                        Recommended by:
                        MichaelNY

                        I'm still curious how you felt the speech was a negative.

                        •  It wasn't. (1+ / 0-)
                          Recommended by:
                          MichaelNY

                          Wright in general was a negative.  The speech made it a less bad negative.  It's like having a chronic illness but taking medication for it.  It helps but it doesn't make it go away.

                          His actions were his association with Wright in the first place.

                          20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
                          politicohen.com
                          Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
                          UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

                          by jncca on Sat May 04, 2013 at 09:08:10 PM PDT

                          [ Parent ]

                    •  Eye of the beholder (1+ / 0-)
                      Recommended by:
                      KingofSpades

                      Honestly, I think the speech probably was a wash.  What it did accomplish was to give Obama the honest response forever more than he addressed Wright in that long speech, and he wasn't going to parrot himself when anyone could just go read it or watch video clips of it (not that he ever did say that or actually needed to, the point is it was understood).  People understand that, that allowed the issue be put to rest and let voters decide whatever they will without further hammering of it.

                      I watched the speech and, honestly, kinda got bored.  I thought the content was fine, but the delivery seemed cerebral (which was fine but not engaging), and since I wasn't really bothered in the first place that that there was anything wrong with Obama himself, I didn't care enough to listen closely.

                      45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

                      by DCCyclone on Fri May 03, 2013 at 09:01:22 PM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

            •  I misremembered what Halperin said, here it is: (3+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              trowaman, Darth Jeff, askew

              "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

              by KingofSpades on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:39:37 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

          •  It's a reference to a specific event that year (11+ / 0-)

            In August of 2008 McCain infamously forgot how many homes he owned.  Obama jumped all over him and most saw it as a bad moment for the GOP.  Mark Halperin thought otherwise, claiming the whole thing was great for McCain: now the talk of houses would open Obama up to attacks on his mortgage with Tony Rezko.  In reality the whole incident was mostly forgotten after the conventions, Palin pick, and the September economic meltdown but Halperin's shilling for McCain turned into a meme.  Since then, bad news for the GOP has been "great news...  for John McCain!"

            Halperin outdid himself the next month.  The week Lehman collapsed and McCain unwisely said the fundementals of the economy were strong was regarded by almost everyone at the time as an awful week for the McCain campaign.  Halperin thought differently: he released his scorecard for the week's events and declared McCain won the week.  It looked stupid then and it looks even worse now.

            23, male, CA-18 (home and voting there), LA-01 (college).

            by Jeff Singer on Fri May 03, 2013 at 07:34:26 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  Big sigh of relief (4+ / 0-)

      He's the one who really worried me, I think Begich would lose to him.  I'm not one to say something like that so categorically, but I really think Begich would find himself in deep trouble and would go down.

      Anyone else, Begich has a slight edge or, in a few cases, a big edge.

      45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Fri May 03, 2013 at 09:02:49 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Steve King is not running for Senate (9+ / 0-)

    so he said in a tweet: https://twitter.com/...

    And an over the top statement: "This week, I made a simple device to put toothpaste back in the tube. But a device to put the Leftist genie back in the bottle is not so simple. The best tool we have now is the majority in the U.S. House which functions mostly to keep the Leftist genie in the bottle. I cannot, in good conscience, turn my back on the destiny decisions of Congress today in order to direct all my efforts to a Senate race for next year, while hoping to gain the leverage to put the genie back in the bottle in 2015."

    http://steveking.com/...

    •  This will probably restart the engine... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, Gygaxian

      On a potential bid by Rep. Latham. Hopefully Latham doesn't run.

      •  I imagine that's true (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        at least there's a silver lining if he does run -- not like he makes the Senate seat a slam dunk for the GOP, and he creates a huge opportunity in the House.

        •  Why do people assume this? (7+ / 0-)

          For the record, I'm pretty sure I was the first person here to comment quite a few weeks ago that If the state GOP struggled to find someone, they'd put pressure on Latham to reconsider.

          But I've never thought he really would.

          Deciding so fast you're not going to do it is pretty telling.  He could've taken his sweet damn time, he was everyone's Plan A in the GOP and they knew it was a steep drop-off behind him, so they weren't going to force him to decide fast because someone else was available who, too, was really good.  And still he just dismissed the idea fast, he wanted to stay in the House.

          Nothing has really changed for Latham.  His incentives are the same.  What more can the NRSC and Iowa GOP establishment offer him?  I guess they could put a dollar amount on promised support, and other promised campaign goodies, and maybe get McConnell and company to offer plum committee assignments.  But I doubt they'd do that last thing, and the other things address only Latham's concern about winning, not the disincentive of leaving House seniority and the relationship with Boehner for a junior role in the Senate.

          I think the GOP gets stuck with some unknown state legislator in this one who loses by 10-15 next November.  Joni Ernst might just be it.  Or, if it's really bad, Vander Plaats!...that would be delicious, he's Steve King with worse political chops.

          45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

          by DCCyclone on Fri May 03, 2013 at 08:52:39 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I mostly don't disagree. (4+ / 0-)

            SaoMagnifico's comment was that this would "restart the engine" on a Latham bid -- and that it probably will. The National Journal was reporting last week that Latham was still talking to the NRSC.

            I agree that I find it more likely than not Latham doesn't change his mind. But there is one incentive that has changed, of course: Back when he declined, it looked fairly probable that he'd have a tough primary to contend with as King sounded very interested. The possibility of having a clear route to the GOP nomination could be enticing. Of course, nothing guarantees he'd have a clear route even without King.

          •  I agree (6+ / 0-)

            It is just was I was thinking.

            The no from Latham was not all about King, also was about the conditions, about the help that the Republican Party offer him. And also the no of S King and the rest would be related with this.

            Even T Latham would not be the A Plan. I think this was approximately their line:

            Plan A: T Branstad - Failed
            Plan B: T Latham - Failed
            Plan C: S King - Failed
            Plan D: W Northey - Failed
            Plan E: D Vaudt - Failed
            Plan F: K Reynolds - Failed
            Plan G: M Schultz
            Plan H: B Vander Plaats
            Plan I: M Whitaker

          •  Braley (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            I want Braley to win.  I think Latham can beat him however and I think he would beat him.  Latham just says nothing controversial, he can weasel his way out of anything.  Braley is ready for prime time, but his past opponents are very weak except for Mike Whalen.

            I think Latham would be dumb to not consider a perfectly winnable Senate race.  It would probably be closer than ten to fifteen points unless they get some real wackadoodle.  Matt Whitaker is not a wackadoodle however.  Ernst is pretty conservative and she would probably say something outrageous however.  

          •  Although I agree on most points (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            itskevin, MichaelNY

            The rub is that you're wrong on one big one:

            His incentives are the same.  What more can the NRSC and Iowa GOP establishment offer him?
            A clean run at the nomination, as opposed to when he was first considering when King looked likely to enter and to crush Latham in a primary.

            23 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

            by wwmiv on Sat May 04, 2013 at 04:40:00 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Who says Latham thought King likely to enter? (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              ArkDem14, MichaelNY

              These people have relationships and connections to communicate their intentions with each other.

              There was talk back then that King and Latham were on good "scratch my back" terms after Latham moved and challenged Boswell rather than primary King in 2012.

              I've never thought that Latham bowed out because he was afraid of King.  I thought he bowed out because he's happy in the House, he's in a strong position there both in the chamber and caucus and at home electorally, and a Senate race would be plenty tough and risky enough against Braley, very strongly possibly a career-ender.

              So I don't know that anything has really changed for Latham.

              45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

              by DCCyclone on Sat May 04, 2013 at 01:01:49 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

          •  Latham is also 65 years old and doesn't want to go (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            DCCyclone, MichaelNY

            to the senate where there's a good chance he'll be in the minority (and a freshman at that) when he can stay in the house where he'll probably still be in the majority and can eventually become appropriations chair.

            RRH expat (known as AquarianLeft). Also known as freepcrusher on leip atlas forum

            by demographicarmageddon on Sat May 04, 2013 at 07:59:17 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  So does that mean (0+ / 0-)

      Latham reenters?

    •  I think King's posturing really the GOP here (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, jj32, MichaelNY

      Braley already got himself well establsihed by announcing as soon as Harkin announce his retirement,plus his fundraising has been stellar.

      Even though 2016 is a presidential year, and Iowa may likely go to the Dem, I think the GOP will be favored to hold Grassley's seat if Tom Vilsack doesn't run for it.

      NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

      by BKGyptian89 on Fri May 03, 2013 at 08:50:30 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  really hurt* (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

        by BKGyptian89 on Fri May 03, 2013 at 08:52:44 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Grassley might retire (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen

        You never know.  And if he does, with Iowa's natural lean, the race probably starts off at Tossup at worst.

        Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

        by MichaelNY on Fri May 03, 2013 at 11:39:51 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  If I were to guess now I'd say he does retire. (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY, Zack from the SFV

          20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
          politicohen.com
          Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
          UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

          by jncca on Sat May 04, 2013 at 02:57:18 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  I know he will likely retire (0+ / 0-)

          And that's why I said if Vilsack doesn't run, I think the GOP are slight favorites to hold this seat. This ain't like IL, PA, WI or NH where we have good quality of candidates, that can knock off those incumbent. After Vilsack who does the Dems have in Iowa, if Braley wins the other seat? Loebsack? I don't know about him

          NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

          by BKGyptian89 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 07:43:14 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Is Chet Culver still unpopular? (0+ / 0-)

            I wonder if his numbers have rebounded at all. If so, maybe he could make a go of it?

            27, male, gay, living with and loving my partner of over 4 years in downtown Indianapolis (IN-7).

            by IndyLiberal on Sat May 04, 2013 at 09:55:00 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  The guy got crushed in '10 (0+ / 0-)

              Dems should'nt even be looking to him in 2016. I don't think he was ever popular. Tom Vilsack is probably the only Dem who can flip this seat IMO.

              NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

              by BKGyptian89 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 10:24:25 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  How do you figure? (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                MichaelNY

                The quality GOP bench here starts and finishes with Branstad and Latham.  

                Any generic D starts as a tilt favorite over and generic R.  Your formulation here is entirely backwards.  Loebsack for example may not be Braley, but King and Bob VdP are still who they are, which is nothing.

                Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

                by tommypaine on Sat May 04, 2013 at 12:22:26 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  Whoa whoa whoa (0+ / 0-)

                  Im not counting King, when it comes to GOP recruits in Iowa, Im looking at the likes of Latham, and Reynolds. I should had may that clear. There was no need for saying my thinking or formulation was "entirely backwards".

                  NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

                  by BKGyptian89 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 12:39:10 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  If I'm disagreeing with you, which I am (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    MichaelNY

                    The quality GOP bench here is nonexistent after Branstad and Latham, both of whom are unlikely to be options (as Latham will either run in 2014 or he won't try to move up).

                    The "Vilsack is probably the only Dem who can flip this seat" sentence should be more along the lines of "Branstad and Latham are probably the only Reps who can hold this seat".

                    There isn't a bottomless pit of a bench on either side, but federally the state tilts D.  Any adequate Dem starts out as favored over the adequate GOPers.

                    Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

                    by tommypaine on Sat May 04, 2013 at 01:02:54 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                  •  Reynolds is weak (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    MichaelNY

                    She has baggage, Branstad plucked her out of the state legislature to be his running mate, and yes she's considered her own run for higher office, but she's got personal baggage and otherwise isn't an A-list recruit for anything.

                    tommypaine's take is exaggerated but not wrong, either.  Dems have a very slight generic advantage in the state, but emphasize "very" in that characterization.  We, too, don't have a great bench behind Braley, but somehow it feels like our people are a bit stronger than theirs, when you look at what there is.  Meanwhile, people should realize that Braley's successor in IA-01 will be a future recruit for Senate or Governor, if someone decent wins the seat.

                    45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

                    by DCCyclone on Sat May 04, 2013 at 08:50:07 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  Can you elaborate further (1+ / 0-)
                      Recommended by:
                      MichaelNY

                      on Reynolds' problems? I don't know to much about her except on first glance. Where she looks like a she has a future in the state. I'll repeat this again if Vilsack runs for this seat, I don't see who the GOP has to stop him.

                      NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

                      by BKGyptian89 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 09:13:23 PM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  Reynolds is a disaster (2+ / 0-)
                        Recommended by:
                        MichaelNY, DCCyclone

                        Off the top of my head, she has at least two drunk-driving arrests, got herself involved in a weird eminent domain case and did basically nothing in the state legislature. And this does not mention everything else on the Democratic "oppo" list.

                        •  Well thank for that (2+ / 0-)
                          Recommended by:
                          MichaelNY, DCCyclone

                          I think didn't know she had quite a laundry list. I guess it looks more and more that the GOP will be assed out when it comes to this senate race.

                          Im glad Harkin announce his retirment as early as he did, cause Braley was mulling a Gov bid, and when Harkin did, Dems were like to Braley  man f--- that bid for Governor, you bettr run for Senate instead.

                          NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

                          by BKGyptian89 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 09:59:08 PM PDT

                          [ Parent ]

                        •  Yup, and I think the alcohol is central... (2+ / 0-)
                          Recommended by:
                          MichaelNY, GradyDem

                          ...to probably all the other oppo available.

                          I'm guessing, but don't know, that she's an untreated alcoholic, and if so that probably contributes to everything else that can be put in an oppo file.

                          45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

                          by DCCyclone on Sun May 05, 2013 at 08:53:45 PM PDT

                          [ Parent ]

              •  Culver didn't really do anything (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                WisJohn

                wrong or make any big mistakes, he just got caught by a souring political environment, though he started his first two years out pretty popular. Even then, he might have won in the 2010 environment if Jim Branstad hadn't run.

                "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

                by ArkDem14 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 02:36:33 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  Well I doubt he could come back if he wanted to (1+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  MichaelNY

                  PPP last found him at a very poor 34/46 just three months ago. I don't see why that would change over the next two years. It seems like our 2016 candidate will either be Vilsack, Treasurer Michael Fitzgerald, or some state senator. I doubt Loebsack will run as he was rather an accidental congressman when first elected as nobody thought Leach was beatable.

                  •  Accidental congressman? (3+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    WisJohn, James Allen, MichaelNY

                    Maybe that was so in 2006, but Loebsack has won three terms since, one of which was in the face of a GOP wave.

                    If he wants to run statewide, he might be better suited to running for Senate if the seat is open (nobody's beating Grassley), but he should be considered a serious candidate for whatever he runs for, though he'd likely be an  underdog at least against Branstad for governor.

                    37, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

                    by Mike in MD on Sat May 04, 2013 at 08:22:06 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  I never said he wasn't a serious candidate (3+ / 0-)
                      Recommended by:
                      James Allen, MichaelNY, NMLib

                      just that I doubt he runs when we have tons of other people who seem more ambitious. I'd be all for Loebsack running if he wants it, he's a solid liberal yet was 30/26 statewide when PPP last polled, plus his seat is basically an easy hold. Still, my preferred candidate would be Tom Vilsack as that becomes a slam dunk against anyone other than Latham, and still a favorite in that event. Democrats with +15 favorables don't lose in light blue states in a presidential cycle, especially when we're unlikely to see a GOP wave for the next few cycles at least.

                    •  Loebsack is not a serious candidate... (3+ / 0-)
                      Recommended by:
                      MichaelNY, skibum59, NMLib

                      ...for anything but his House seat.

                      He was, indeed, an accidental Congressman.  And he does, as you say, deserve credit for being competent enough to hold it down.  But he doesn't have the gravitas or skills to run for anything higher and win, at least not against anyone who isn't a comparable or worse candidate for the GOP.

                      What we should root for is for someone with gravitas to succeed Braley in IA-01.  That will be our best bet for the next Senator or Governor when Grassley or Branstad is done.  Not that we don't have a bench otherwise, but that's our best hope.

                      45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

                      by DCCyclone on Sat May 04, 2013 at 08:45:51 PM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  Doesn't he deserve some credit (2+ / 0-)
                        Recommended by:
                        Zack from the SFV, DCCyclone

                        for beating Leach in the first place? Was that purely accidental, only the result of a wave and not good campaigning?

                        Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

                        by MichaelNY on Sat May 04, 2013 at 10:18:12 PM PDT

                        [ Parent ]

                        •  It was purely accidental (1+ / 0-)
                          Recommended by:
                          MichaelNY

                          He deserves credit in that race simply for being the good guy that he is, and thus not having character flaws that can cause one to shoot oneself in the foot.

                          But beyond that, he got lucky, he was "the Democrat" running against "the Republican" in a strongly Democratic district where Leach was the only Republican who could ever win.

                          45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

                          by DCCyclone on Sun May 05, 2013 at 08:56:04 PM PDT

                          [ Parent ]

                          •  He didn't run a good campaign? n/t (0+ / 0-)

                            Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

                            by MichaelNY on Sun May 05, 2013 at 09:30:35 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  He didn't do much (1+ / 0-)
                            Recommended by:
                            MichaelNY

                            Thing is, neither did Leach.

                            And further thing is, Leach never did much.

                            Leach was a little like John Hostetler in IN-08 that way.  Leach always won because he was on the liberal end of the GOP, a good guy, and worked hard as a Congressman.

                            Loebsack and Leach both ran a very civil and kind campaign.  I'm actually not sure either ran an attack ad, even though it was clear by September that Leach had a real race on his hands.

                            45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

                            by DCCyclone on Sun May 05, 2013 at 09:33:06 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  Hostetler (3+ / 0-)
                            Recommended by:
                            MichaelNY, jncca, DCCyclone

                            Is anything but a good guy or hard worker.

                            25, Practical Progressive Democrat (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

                            by HoosierD42 on Mon May 06, 2013 at 01:17:26 AM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  I didn't mean it that way! (1+ / 0-)
                            Recommended by:
                            MichaelNY

                            I was referring to Hostetler running lackluster campaigns with poor fundraising.  That's what he and Leach had in common.

                            45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

                            by DCCyclone on Mon May 06, 2013 at 06:22:22 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                •  if I recall he made some moves (2+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  ArkDem14, BoswellSupporter

                  that soured the base on him.

                  ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

                  by James Allen on Sat May 04, 2013 at 03:38:42 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Culver (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    MichaelNY

                    Culver made a few mistakes regarding film tax credits, flood damage and a couple of mistakes in regards to veterans issues.  Every Governor in the country would and should be making similar mistakes if they want to see things happening in their state.  I'm a big Culver supporter and I don't think the moves that some people wanted him to make policy wise would be good for the state.  

                    Terry Branstad has near universal id among casual voters and he is extremely well liked.  I know polling firms may have data that may say otherwise, but they aren't polling the people I know.

                    Matt McCoy, Janet Peterson, Ako Abdul Samad, Kevin McCarthy all probably want to run in the third but they are justifiably a little scared of losing to Latham.  There are a ton of people in the business and labor worlds (outside of elected office) that would entertain running in the third district if it were an open seat.

                    Grassley may retire and his dream is to hand off his seat to his grandson.  

                    •  What was a big wasted opportunity (2+ / 0-)
                      Recommended by:
                      MichaelNY, BoswellSupporter

                      Supposedly, Culver was working to start moving a bill to repeal Iowa's right-to-work status (and become the first state ever to back out of that), but stopped when he realized it wasn't as clean cut as he hoped, some bickering, etc.

                      "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

                      by KingofSpades on Sat May 04, 2013 at 08:12:11 PM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  True (1+ / 0-)
                        Recommended by:
                        KingofSpades

                        You're right, it would be a missed opportunity.  There are certain provisions that make it easier to get fired too easily within Iowa's right to work law.  I personally support the basic principle of open shops and letting people work where they want to work and I don't consider it freeloading to do so.  But If I agreed with labor on its repeal I would consider it a missed opportunity.  

                    •  Should be making similar mistakes? (0+ / 0-)

                      Please explain.

                      Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

                      by MichaelNY on Sat May 04, 2013 at 10:19:32 PM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  Mistakes (1+ / 0-)
                        Recommended by:
                        bumiputera

                        Some of the corporate incentives that Culver pursued didn't pan out.  I know most people here would consider them to be corporate welfare.    

                        I think you've got to pull some less than ideal levers in order to compete in a global economy.   China, Germany and other countries do it all of the time.  

                        Culver also cut spending across the board without looking very closely at specific programs.  You might as well elect a Republican if a Democrat is not willing to set priorities.  

                        He didn't bend to organized labor either, this is why a union activist in threatened to break Culver's legs if he ran for the United State Senate, of course he was "joking."

                        In my view all Governors should pursue different incentive programs.  You've got to remember that I've voted for my share  of Republicans in my time so we may have an ideological difference here.  

    •  This is absolutely excellent (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ehstronghold, MichaelNY, DCCyclone

      The Republicans are in the process of handing a Senate seat to Bruce Braley on a silver platter.

      •  View it as bad news (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        tommypaine, MichaelNY

        An unknown would have a better chance of beating Braley than King.  And now there is not an open house seat.

        Keep the TVA public.

        by Paleo on Sat May 04, 2013 at 04:00:58 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  King's House seat isn't competitive (4+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY, Mark27, DCCyclone, jncca

          Without King on the ballot.

          25, Practical Progressive Democrat (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

          by HoosierD42 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 03:10:54 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  That's not true (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          NMLib

          King is a disaster statewide, and yet has some political chops that make him a better candidate in some ways than an unexperienced unknown most likely would be.

          As bad as King is, I'd still rather have Braley against a nobody than against King.  Now, if it's a self-funding rich nobody, then that's a pain in the ass.  But Iowa really doesn't have many people like that...it's a middle-class state, without the extremes of wealth and poverty that much of the country has.

          45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

          by DCCyclone on Sat May 04, 2013 at 08:41:17 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I mean, if West Virginia could find a rich dude (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            named Bill Maloney, why can't Iowa?

            20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
            politicohen.com
            Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
            UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

            by jncca on Sat May 04, 2013 at 09:29:51 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Not as easy as that (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              MichaelNY, sacman701

              Those rich dudes who get active in politics usually aren't up for the rigors of a high-profile campaign.  They have big egos and can be conservative politically, yes, but they're usually not interested enough to actually run.  And then they have to have some level of competence as a candidate......that is very hard to find, and state and national parties don't want just any rich guy, they demand that appearance (even if sometimes it proves not a reality in the end) of political competence.

              Yes it's possible there's some lone rich guy out there who would do it, but he's not easy to find in Iowa or other small states.

              45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

              by DCCyclone on Sun May 05, 2013 at 08:58:48 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

    •  After the tweet ... (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      itskevin, Darth Jeff, MichaelNY

      men in white coats arrived and escorted King into a waiting van.

      Keep the TVA public.

      by Paleo on Sat May 04, 2013 at 03:58:34 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  SC's new Dem chairman said (5+ / 0-)

    that he hopes to send Nikki Haley back to wherever she came from.  Either he's a racist or he's incredibly bad at choosing his words.  Ugh.

    (via Chris Moody's Twitter feed; I don't know how to copy/paste tweets)

    20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
    politicohen.com
    Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
    UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

    by jncca on Fri May 03, 2013 at 08:22:08 PM PDT

  •  Stolen candy on the floor of the MN House. (8+ / 0-)

    Freshman Rep. Nick Zerwas (R) Elk River, keeps his desk on the floor of the MN House stocked with candy. Today (Friday), there was a candy heist, and the candy was replaced with nutritious food options. Evidence was found, and Rep. Deb Keil (R) Crookston, was discovered to be the culprit, and a good laugh was had by all. Apparently, Rep. Zerwas has quite the sweet-tooth.

    http://www.mnvideovault.org/... Start at 23:23.

    Gay farm boy, 20, who hit the city to go to college, WI-03 (home, voting), WI-02 (college), -7.00, -3.13, 2012 Daily Kos Elections Pick'Em runner-up.

    by WisJohn on Fri May 03, 2013 at 08:30:40 PM PDT

    •  It's like taking candy from a baby (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Zack from the SFV

      but no tears.

      "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

      by KingofSpades on Fri May 03, 2013 at 08:32:33 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Minnesota tax dollars at work. (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Zack from the SFV, gabjoh, MichaelNY

        Just kidding. Apparently, it is getting into the nitty-gritty part of the session where they're on the floor long hours and trying to finish before the deadline. I'm not against fun. Legislators need their fun, too.

        Gay farm boy, 20, who hit the city to go to college, WI-03 (home, voting), WI-02 (college), -7.00, -3.13, 2012 Daily Kos Elections Pick'Em runner-up.

        by WisJohn on Fri May 03, 2013 at 08:39:53 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Candy desk (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, ArkDem14

      Does every state have one? I know the Senate does, now held by Mark Kirk and previously held by (in reverse order) LeMieux/Martinez, Voinovich, Craig Thomas, Rick Santorum (for a whole decade!), Bob Bennett, Jim Jeffords, Slade Gorton, John McCain, Steve Symms, Roger Jepsen, Harrison Schmitt, Paul Fannin, and George Murphy.

      20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
      politicohen.com
      Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
      UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

      by jncca on Fri May 03, 2013 at 08:37:21 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Anybody else got the Mitch McConnell ads? (4+ / 0-)

    No Mitch, I don't live in KY, and even if I did, I wouldn't endorse you. I don't like you. ALG'14!!

    Gay farm boy, 20, who hit the city to go to college, WI-03 (home, voting), WI-02 (college), -7.00, -3.13, 2012 Daily Kos Elections Pick'Em runner-up.

    by WisJohn on Fri May 03, 2013 at 10:13:38 PM PDT

  •  What the fsck is this shit? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ehstronghold, MichaelNY

    http://www.southernstudies.org/...

    short version: http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/...

    TL;DR version: if you don't like the result of a counted vote, reintroduce the bill in committee, have your friend preside, and have him refuse to do anything but a voice vote.

    •  Gerrymandering (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      wwmiv, Stephen Wolf, ArkDem14

      It means North Carolina Republicans can get away with anything short of murder.

      It won't be possible to hold these guys accountable until we have redistricting reform.

      •  Why did North Carolina Democrats do this (0+ / 0-)

        to us? Why didn't they pass an independent redistricting measure last in 2010 when it was looking likely that they would lose control of the legislature?

        "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

        by ArkDem14 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 02:42:30 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Possibly because Republicans could have gotten (0+ / 0-)

          the 4 votes they would have needed in the House in 2011 to override Perdue's veto to repeal it. They didn't have the votes for a constitutional amendment at any point as that takes a 60% vote to put on the ballot and we lacked that in the House prior to 2010. We saw in states like Missouri where a few Dems voted with Republicans to override the governor's veto.

          Overall though I just don't think Perdue could have vetoed legislative repeal or if legislation alone without an amendment is even constitutional especially when Republicans control the court, so essentially it boils down to us lacking the 60% majority necessary to put an amendment on the ballot.

    •  hand counting (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      I though that in most legislatures, if more than a certain number of pols request a recorded vote, it must be done, right?

  •  ML-Pres: Samake raises 150 - 600K (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    WisJohn, MichaelNY, Gygaxian

    according to this article. Was gonna look up the fundraising reports online, then realized Mali probably doesn't have much in the way of reporting requirements.

    Shame on us. | Pro-transit young black urban progressive | SSP/DKE | -9, -7.79 | MO-05: come for the jazz, stay for the burnt ends | Yard signs don't vote.

    by gabjoh on Fri May 03, 2013 at 10:34:37 PM PDT

    •  Thanks for the Mali update (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      Mr. Samake seems serious about running, and he certainly has an unorthodox campaign. I think he could do well for Mali, and if he has a chance, why not run?

      I find it funny that the article notes that "he does not want his campaign to be reduced to his religion" when every single article about him (including that one) does just that.

      Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

      by Gygaxian on Sat May 04, 2013 at 09:00:54 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Does anyone have any idea how much it would cost (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, MichaelNY

    To hire PPP to poll West Virginia? I'm getting really tired of not having good public polling there and am considering starting a fundraising drive both here and on the main page. I'd probably ask for folks to chip in $5-10 if it's feasible.

  •  wow, this (3+ / 0-)

    ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

    by James Allen on Sat May 04, 2013 at 06:33:37 AM PDT

  •  MA-Sen: Emerson College Poll shows Markey up 42-36 (4+ / 0-)

    NY-03 (Home), NY-23 (College)

    by epez21 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 08:26:25 AM PDT

  •  SC 1 PPP tweet says race is close (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, DrPhillips, MichaelNY

    with things moving in Sanford's direction.  

    Keep the TVA public.

    by Paleo on Sat May 04, 2013 at 08:41:03 AM PDT

    •  It's a win-win situation (6+ / 0-)

      Even if Sanford does win, he's a huge liability for Republicans. He has to be in court right after the election and who knows how that will play out. It's not good publicity for Republicans to have a disgraced governor with trespassing issues in in the House.

      27, Male, CA-26, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

      by DrPhillips on Sat May 04, 2013 at 08:49:25 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Maybe Cardboard Pelosi was a genius move (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, MichaelNY

      It looked stupid but it helped nationalize the race, something PPP says is helping him a lot.

      23, male, CA-18 (home and voting there), LA-01 (college).

      by Jeff Singer on Sat May 04, 2013 at 08:59:32 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  It also sets up a template for them in 2014... (0+ / 0-)

        ...which sucks for us.  If we can't beat Sanford, how are we expected to beat some of these other guys in other districts?

        GODSPEED TO THE WISCONSIN FOURTEEN!

        by LordMike on Sat May 04, 2013 at 12:13:27 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  As terrible as Sanford is (6+ / 0-)

          it's still a R+11 district. The Democrats aren't going to take back the house on the backs of districts like SC-01.

        •  Not really (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          James Allen, MichaelNY

          What works in an R+11 doesn't really work in a swing seat and that's what will be contested mostly next year. Rather or not talking to cardboard worked remains to be seen, but outside of very Republican districts, I don't see antics like that being taken seriously.

          27, Male, CA-26, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

          by DrPhillips on Sat May 04, 2013 at 12:28:08 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  There are no swing seats... (0+ / 0-)

            We need to be able to compete in heavy R seats as well.  If all it takes is "debating" a cardboard cutout, then how the hell do we have a chance at taking the house?

            GODSPEED TO THE WISCONSIN FOURTEEN!

            by LordMike on Sat May 04, 2013 at 12:44:49 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  There are plenty of swing seats (3+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              ArkDem14, MichaelNY, DCCyclone

              Places we'll be competing for are CA-21, CA-31 (which leans more Dem), CO-6, IL-13, etc., all of which are our best chances. I don't even think the whole cardboard thing has really made a difference, at this point it's the final stretch and more Republicans are falling in line.

              27, Male, CA-26, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

              by DrPhillips on Sat May 04, 2013 at 12:54:00 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

            •  well, red-leaning swing districts (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              MichaelNY, DCCyclone

              or swing districts with strong incumbents.

              VA-02, VA-10, FL-13, FL-02, OH-14, WI-01, WI-07, WI-08, CA-21, KY-06, IN-02, IN-08, IL-13, CO-06, CO-03, NV-03, NE-02, etc.

              ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

              by James Allen on Sat May 04, 2013 at 12:55:20 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Scott Rigell (0+ / 0-)

                isn't that strong. I keep expecting him to get primaried, too.

                "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

                by ArkDem14 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 02:45:50 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  He is pretty strong (4+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  James Allen, MichaelNY, jncca, madmojo

                  And he's gotten even more strong over the past few months by palling around with Obama on guns and sequestration.  A primary challenge is possible but as long as he evades those, he's pretty safe in this district.

                  •  I'd imagine he's improved his standing (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    MichaelNY

                    due to those issues, but that's just increased the likelihood he receives a serious primary challenge, especially since he only won the Republican primary with 40% back in 2010.

                    "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

                    by ArkDem14 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 05:10:26 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                •  Then why hasn't he had a problem (1+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  MichaelNY

                  winning?

                  ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

                  by James Allen on Sat May 04, 2013 at 03:34:23 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Ummmmmmm, because (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    MichaelNY

                    he has a swingish, traditionally Republican district and in his only reelection campaign so far was targeted only by a second tier Democrat who got a late start? Hirschbiegel was one of the first Democratic candidates triaged by the DCCC in 2012, and still came with a 54-46 margin of winning.

                    "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

                    by ArkDem14 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 05:09:21 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  you say his underwhelming opponent (2+ / 0-)
                      Recommended by:
                      Stephen Wolf, MichaelNY

                      wasn't much of a threat, I say he might have drawn an underwhelming opponent because he is intimidating to potential candidates.

                      And also, I never initially said he was strong.  I categorized his district as one which was either a swing district held by a strong incumbent, or a Republican-leaning swing district. I think it is either one or the other, or some of both.

                      ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

                      by James Allen on Sat May 04, 2013 at 06:41:51 PM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

            •  A dead-heat in this seat doesn't qualify? (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              MichaelNY, DCCyclone

              Don't lose perspective like Cook and Rothenberg.

              "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

              by conspiracy on Sat May 04, 2013 at 01:29:26 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  We didn't win here in 2006 or 2008... (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                MichaelNY

                ...when we had wave elections go our way.

                Bad to wet the bed and lose perspective.  No one thought we'd take this seat early on, and even when Sanford won the primary runoff I think a lot of us had it at tilt R.

                This isn't a seat we need to take back the House.

                That said, I don't think we'll take back the House in 2014.  But this seat isn't an indicator of that.

                45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

                by DCCyclone on Sat May 04, 2013 at 07:39:27 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

      •  I don't get why anyonme thought it was a bad idea (0+ / 0-)

        Nationalizing the race was good.
        Getting people to think about anybody but him was good.

        I doubt it made much difference, but it certainly wasn't a bad idea.

        Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

        by tommypaine on Sat May 04, 2013 at 12:29:49 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  They say it's closing (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, ArkDem14

      indicating ECB is ahead, but only a little.

      "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

      by KingofSpades on Sat May 04, 2013 at 09:29:45 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Not necessarily (5+ / 0-)

        More often than not these teases don't mean what we think they mean. Anyway, pretty shitty couple days for Democrats.

        "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

        by conspiracy on Sat May 04, 2013 at 11:53:46 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Not really (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY, betelgeux

          Parnell announced re-election, which is really good.  So that makes up for it.  Plus Peters entering and Markey winning the primary.

          20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
          politicohen.com
          Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
          UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

          by jncca on Sat May 04, 2013 at 09:33:10 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  That's about what I expected (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, MichaelNY

      Sigh.

    •  Still (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      Still don't see why some down thread are writing Lulu's political obituary.  As far as I'm concerned, she's still in the lead until she isn't.  So, maybe the momentum is switching, you know, Republicans coming home, but unless he's leading in the poll we released, I'd still hold that she's going to pull out a narrow win.

  •  Happy Star Wars Day! (4+ / 0-)

    As you can probably guess, this day has a lot of significance for me.  (Though I am actually more of a Trekkie).

    For people interested in the politics of Star Wars and don't want to just rewatch the riviting Senate scenes in Episode I, I hear the novel Cloak of Deception is good.  For anyone interested in how Lucus incorporated historical political events, I've also heard good things about Star Wars and History.

    23, male, CA-18 (home and voting there), LA-01 (college).

    by Jeff Singer on Sat May 04, 2013 at 08:57:44 AM PDT

    •  What we know so far about Episode VII: (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Darth Jeff, NMLib

      http://theweek.com/...
      I'm excited.  Lucas is serving only as creative consultant, which is the only thing he excels at.

      "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

      by KingofSpades on Sat May 04, 2013 at 10:46:33 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  For the original trilogy (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Darth Jeff, NMLib, LordMike

        he was not much more than a creative consultant.  Although he directed the first movie, Gary Kurtz did much of the directors' duties like coaching the actors.  And the first Star Wars was going to be a schlock fest, but it was saved by some very shrewd editing (done by editors, not Lucas).  Empire and Jedi weren't even directed by Lucas.

        "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

        by KingofSpades on Sat May 04, 2013 at 02:15:29 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  So something that's personally exciting for me (6+ / 0-)

    http://www.deseretnews.com/...

    My city (West Jordan, not Cottonwood) and others are experimenting with mail-only voting! And from the article, it sounds like Utah may switch to statewide vote-by-mail within a few years.

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Sat May 04, 2013 at 09:36:58 AM PDT

  •  SC-01: I hope ECB pulls it off (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, MichaelNY, MetroGnome

    Even if the race is closing, there are only 3 days left.  There may not be enough time for Sanford to eek it out.

    27, male, gay, living with and loving my partner of over 4 years in downtown Indianapolis (IN-7).

    by IndyLiberal on Sat May 04, 2013 at 10:00:14 AM PDT

  •  Texas: Southern v. Western (10+ / 0-)

    This discussion was part of the daily digest yesterday, but since I just responded to a question asked of me w/r/t to it, I'd like to post the response here to continue something I think is very interesting:

    I once was told that there's a very easy way to tell the difference between the (Southern and Western) areas (of Texas).

    In historic sections of town, if there is a side window on old restaurants then the area is Southern. If there aren't, then the area is Western. This has to do with segregationist policies affecting areas with blacks and areas with Hispanics differently (though Fort Worth historically did not have significant populations of minorities at all). Blacks were at different times de jure and de facto excluded from entering these establishments, but were allowed to eat outside or to pick up, whereas Hispanics often were not excluded in this way. Instead, Hispanics were more often totally excluded from these establishments and instead had to develop their own cultural nexuses and economic niches.

    As such, Austin, Dallas, and Houston are the large cities that are historically culturally southern.

    Fort Worth, El Paso, San Antonio, and the Valley are the currently large cities which are historically Western.

    There is some overlap, though. San Antonio has some cultural facets that are Southern. Corpus Christi, despite its Hispanic minority, operated previously more as a mixed system.

    For mid-sized cities, there's considerably larger diversity of cultural affinity.

    Beaumont, Corpus Christi (currently), Wichita Falls, Waco, College Station, Tyler, and basically anything else west of Interstate 35 and North of Interstate 10 is Southern.

    Killeen and its area was and is still a mixture of the two.

    Del Rio, Odessa, Midland, Laredo, and San Angelo are tried and true Western Frontier towns.

    But Lubbock, Amarillo, and Abilene should almost certainly be considered great plains. They're essentially Kansas in Texas.

    23 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

    by wwmiv on Sat May 04, 2013 at 10:27:37 AM PDT

  •  Niall Ferguson again highlights (4+ / 0-)

    why he's not intellectual, responsible, or worthy of being a Harvard professor. He again showed his cringeworthy pettiness, his disrespect for different opinions, and his childish thought processes and generally uninformed worldview:

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...

    This article doesn't note the main thing, and that's that Ferguson is just fucking wrong. It's like Ferguson doesn't understand what Keynesian economics are; Keynes policies aren't doomed for failure, macroeconomics is essentially based on many of the basic principles Keynes outlined and that have been refined for decades now. Furthermore, Keynes' policies have been tried and tested and have a much better track record than any monetarist or neo-liberal economic ideology that Ferguson would promote. The only caveat you can note is that with economics there is no one-size fits all solution to all problems, and there are legitimate debates to be had about when Keynesian policies are necessary, etc. That seems too subtle a distinction for someone like Ferguson.

    "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

    by ArkDem14 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 03:07:43 PM PDT

  •  NV-Sen (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, Gygaxian

    If Dems play their cards right and that patient dumping scandal continues to gain traction. Can we be able to flip this governor seat which didn't look likely?

    NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

    by BKGyptian89 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 03:21:31 PM PDT

    •  If Masto runs (7+ / 0-)

      I could definitely see it as a possibility. Nevada Democrats have a good GOTV machine that means they don't suffer as badly from midterm turnout drop offs as one might expect.

      "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

      by ArkDem14 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 03:24:38 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  With Masto Im conflicted on (0+ / 0-)

        should run for Gov or for LG first? Cause I see her as a future Senator. There's no polls yet on this race and the scandal hasn't set in yet. But it's to early to tell.

        NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

        by BKGyptian89 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 03:30:30 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  One other factor is that (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          Masto, along with Dems Ross Miller, Kate Marshall and Kim Wallin are all term limited out of office next year. If Politics.com is right, it looks there is a bit of musical chairs that might be happening here.  Kim Wallin, the state controller is running for state treasurer(currently Kate Marshall) and Ross Miller, the Secretary of state, might run for the AG post being left vacant by Masto.

          That means Masto, Marshall or Miller could run for Governor.

          But as you say, it depends on the polling. And it depends on if Harry Reid is actually running in 2016. Which I think he is.

          •  Exactly (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            jj32, MichaelNY

            everybody is going to try to move up. I think Marshall replaces Miller as SoS, and it depends if Mastos runs for LG or actually goes for Gov.

            NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

            by BKGyptian89 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 03:56:24 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  And who is running for Dems for LG next year? (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            jj32, MichaelNY

            The incumbent Republican is term-limited and has been teflon.

            "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

            by KingofSpades on Sat May 04, 2013 at 04:06:22 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  There's still a good chance Reid could (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            jj32, MichaelNY, BKGyptian89

            retire, and Dina Titus run to replace him.

            Masto could run for governor in 2014, and maybe win and then challenge Heller in 2018.

            I don't like Ross Miller all the much because of his support for voter ID and other unnecessarily restrictive, Republican backed measures.

            "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

            by ArkDem14 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 05:04:19 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  I think he'll retire (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              MichaelNY

              on the stump, he's pretty worn out I remember him being in 2010.  I think he's going to retire in 2016, but won't hint any such thing until 2015 because it would immediately restart Schumer and Durbin's feud over who gets to lead next.

              "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

              by KingofSpades on Sat May 04, 2013 at 07:36:32 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  The bench in NV is not ready for a Reid retirement (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                BKGyptian89, psychicpanda

                If the things would continue as the last poll shows, Sandoval would take the seat easily. Even he would be a risk for H Reid.

                Well, I hope the scandal runs and B Sandoval get dammaged enough and can be defeated. It would be very good news.

                I think in Nevada it is necessary to think about to defeat D Heller before to think about H Reid's retirement.

                •  Yessir (2+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  abgin, MichaelNY

                  We need to worry about defeating Heller, he was fortunate to win in 2012. Reminds me of those Senators that got elected in 2010, but won't be fortunate in 2016, when turnout will be much higher. He'll have the slight edge though just for being an incumbent. But it's a seat we could win, and could had won if someone else was the nominated.

                  Unless the scandal hurts Sandoval, Reid should not retire.

                  NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

                  by BKGyptian89 on Sun May 05, 2013 at 07:34:55 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

    •  Whoops I meant NV-Gov (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      and Sen.

      NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

      by BKGyptian89 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 04:17:33 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Wow, it was muddy at the Derby today. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32

    "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

    by KingofSpades on Sat May 04, 2013 at 03:55:53 PM PDT

  •  BC elections (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Taniel, WisJohn, MichaelNY, ehstronghold

    Less than two weeks left and NDP's Adrian Dix is still in the driver's seat, but BC Liberal's Christy Clark (the incumbent Premier) appears to be closing the gap. Let's hope Dix can seal the deal, because the last thing Canada needs is another Harper stooge remaining in charge of a province winnable for the left.

    Barbara Buono for NJ Governor 2013, Terry McAuliffe for VA Governor 2013

    by interstate73 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 06:01:05 PM PDT

  •  VA-Gov: New Washington Poll has (7+ / 0-)

    Cuccinelli leading over McAuliffe 46-41%.

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

  •  It looks like Sanford is going to manage... (0+ / 0-)

    ...to pull this one out of his ass.

    https://twitter.com/...

    GODSPEED TO THE WISCONSIN FOURTEEN!

    by LordMike on Sat May 04, 2013 at 06:51:39 PM PDT

    •  Nobody should be counting their chickens yet (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DCCyclone, LordMike, MichaelNY

      there.  But how anyone could take the guy seriously is beyond me.  I think they must just be absolute Republican stalwarts.

      ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

      by James Allen on Sat May 04, 2013 at 07:20:10 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Well yes they are (6+ / 0-)

        Republican stalwarts is exactly what his voters are.

        I consider this still no worse than a tossup.  Sanford's getting more conservatives to come back to him as they get more serious about actually voting, but this will be one both sides should sweat through the election night vote count.

        45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Sat May 04, 2013 at 07:33:01 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Or they could have been bribed (0+ / 0-)

        One can never dismiss that possibility ;)

        Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 26 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

        by NMLib on Sat May 04, 2013 at 07:34:08 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Or they just like a photo op with a well-known guy (6+ / 0-)

          If Christie shook my hand on the campaign trail, I'd be polite and gracious as getting face to face with a major pol is a rare treat.

          "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

          by KingofSpades on Sat May 04, 2013 at 07:38:48 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Maybe... (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            LordMike, MichaelNY, psychicpanda

            Although I don't think I could stomach taking a picture with Sanford, Christie might be a bully and a thug, but Sanford is just scuzzy.

            Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 26 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

            by NMLib on Sat May 04, 2013 at 07:42:49 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Photo ops with politicians (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            Heh. I have a Facebook photo album entitled "Political Pictures." ~95% of my pics are with Republican Congressmen/Senators, but I have pics with Hansen Clarke, Dennis Kucinich, and Barney Frank. I sought out a meeting with Clarke because I have a lot of respect for the guy and because my mom grew up in both the portion of Detroit and the suburban Wayne County portion in his old district. I really enjoyed sitting down with him. I ran into Frank and Kucinich at various points on Capitol Hill and couldn't not get a picture with them to send to my father (who, predictably, was really amused). Point being, yeah, I don't see why one wouldn't be polite to any even semi-reasonable pol (unless they're a huge jerk). We often forget they're generally just normal people, too.

            Home: North Shore of Illinois, College: Main Line of Pennsylvania (PA-07)

            by IllinoyedR on Sun May 05, 2013 at 08:04:57 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  I saw that tweet (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      but what makes you say that?  Was that snark?

      "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

      by KingofSpades on Sat May 04, 2013 at 07:24:55 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Are you really serious? (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      You really think Sanford is going to win just because of a publicity photo?

      •  No (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        It's just the culmination of "Sanford is closing the gap" momentum that has been reported as of late.  Cook, RRH mystery pollster, and now PPP are all showing Sanford making big gains into the weekend.  He had a pretty good debate--at least looked competent and managed to keep more of his bad news away.  That's apparently all he needed.

        I don't feel good about this at all...

        GODSPEED TO THE WISCONSIN FOURTEEN!

        by LordMike on Sat May 04, 2013 at 10:20:58 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  If we lose (which is still an if) (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          jncca, wadingo

          Don't act like we're losing a seat, because we never had it in the first place. We are forcing Republicans to campaign and spend heavily in an election they should never have to compete in, by rights. This is a victory, win or lose.

          25, Practical Progressive Democrat (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

          by HoosierD42 on Sat May 04, 2013 at 11:13:20 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  interesting fact I found (6+ / 0-)

    Ed Markey has not voted contrary to ADA (Americans for Democratic Action) since 1995. He has gotten below 100 since then but ADA, unlike ACU, counts missed votes as incorrect votes.

    Probably has to be some kind of record for most consecutive 100 scores.

    RRH expat (known as AquarianLeft). Also known as freepcrusher on leip atlas forum

    by demographicarmageddon on Sat May 04, 2013 at 07:55:01 PM PDT

  •  Nathan Fletcher is now a Democrat (14+ / 0-)
    Former Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher, who was considered one of the Republican Party's likeliest future contenders for statewide office before abandoning the party to become an independent last year, announced today that he has become a Democrat.

    Read more here: http://blogs.sacbee.com/...

    According to the articles, he has no political plans now, but I'm guessing he'll run for something in the future.

    27, Male, CA-26, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

    by DrPhillips on Sat May 04, 2013 at 08:01:40 PM PDT

  •  From Comment on Kentucky this weekend (9+ / 0-)

    Of course everyone is focused on the Derby, but politics also big this week. And also, someone named Taylor will be in Louisville on Tuesday (not mentioned by them).

    Rand Paul: Al Cross notes that Kentucky may have the two most prominent pairs of Republicans in country right now. He notes Rand Paul visiting New Hampshire, Iowa, and South Carolina this month and his Chief of Staff has moved over to his political staff. He seems to think he can run for President and Senate the same time. Cross says he can as long as he does not appear on the primary ballot for President, but if he gets the VP nomination and withdrawals and is on the Senate ballot, it would be too late to replace him, handing the seat to Dems.

    Mitch McConnell: Al Cross talks about his picture with a beer at a bar alone, and notes how the people in Kentucky have moved beyond their anti-alcohol stance. He also notes McConnell's political cunning. Ryan Alessi and Cross note his use of humor in campaigns.

    Alison Grimes: Jack Brammer notes her advisers are saying she is giving this due diligence and checking around. He says any speculation is a guess as to whether she is running. Host Ferrell Wellman responded that every question she gets on the race she manages to turn into a criticism of McConnell. He mentioned the Joe Arnold interview at Churchill Downs. McConnell is also using trackers already. Alessi says the GOP is sending out press releases on how she pledged to serve out her term as Secretary of State in 2011. Cross responded that nobody cares about the issue and her main calculation is what is the risk of running against McConnell. He thinks she has little to lose with her age. Note there is no Dem bench to run if she doesn't.

    2015 Governor: Conway or Luallen? Both want to run, but not against each other, or with each other. Conway seems to be full steam ahead, but Luallen is more coy, but more likely since David Williams is gone. Luallen said she has encouraged Grimes to run. Cross (who says he should not say it) says that maybe John Yarmuth should not run for Congress so that Conway could. My thought- never ever going to happen, like ever (note the nod to a certain person there). Yarmuth signed up at the last second in 2006 when Dems had a weak field against Anne Northup. Conway declined the race, and Yarmuth is in a different faction than Conway as well. Alessi noted the race will be on for who can get a LG running mate first. They said that there could be a Conway/Grimes ticket. Note that until someone has a full Gov/LG ticket, they cannot raise a dime for the Governor's race.

    Redistricting: Late summer/early fall. Issue is whether to count federal prisoners. The Dem House map does not count federal prisoners. The congressional map did count them. Reason to due it soon is to provide a re-do if a lawsuit goes forward. Also, it will give legislators time to move if they are moved out of their districts. They need to live there one year prior to election day. A special session will last at least 5 days. Cross notes it gives Democrats more time to recruit Senate candidates. I wonder how many Republican House candidates have talked to realtors.

    HD-56 Special Election: Carl Rollins (D-Midway) has resigned to take a state job. it is Woodford County, and parts of SW Fayette and southern Franklin County. Brammer notes it will set the tone for races in 2014 for the House. It is now 54-45 Dem controlled. The GOP wants to take it away. The candidates are James Kay II, the Woodford County Dem Chair vs. Lyen Crews (R). Crews only lost here in 2010 by about 5%. Kay is a former staffer for Greg Stumbo, so money will flow from Dem House caucus. Cruse wants to federalize the race. He has said it is a chance to stand up to Obama and the liberals. Cross notes that this is one of the best educated districts in the state and they will focus on local factors. He also noted that the different Dem factions in Woodford County all agreed on Kay, who also worked for Ben Chandler.

    "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

    by SouthernINDem on Sat May 04, 2013 at 08:06:35 PM PDT

  •  The bill that would strip Indy of it's (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ChadmanFL, MichaelNY

    at-large seats would only come into effect after the 2015 elections. So theoretically we could still retain control of the council.

  •  So I was reading over early Utah history today (5+ / 0-)

    And it made me laugh how the federal government resolutely refused to give statehood to Utah Territory, and just chipped away at what the Mormons had/wanted by making new territories, then granting statehood to those territories, even if their population wasn't big enough for statehood.

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Sat May 04, 2013 at 09:56:54 PM PDT

    •  Sounds kinda like Israel's history (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      With the mandate being split into Israel and Jordan and then the proposed two-state solution of 1947.

      20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
      politicohen.com
      Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
      UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

      by jncca on Sat May 04, 2013 at 10:12:23 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Transjordan. n/t (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Zack from the SFV

        Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

        by MichaelNY on Sat May 04, 2013 at 10:33:32 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Israel had a fair bit of historical justification (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        General Goose

        though. The proposed State of Deseret was more of Brigham Young going "hey we're the only ones who live here, how about we get an area twice as big as Texas lol". Though I do sympathize with my coreligionists historical frustration over Utah territory being constantly diminished (I think we should've kept that small piece of eastern Nevada we had until almost the end of territorial status).

        Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

        by Gygaxian on Sat May 04, 2013 at 11:23:11 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Well no offense (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, askew, Zack from the SFV

      But at the time the federal government had a valid reason to fear a large Mormon territory.  The religion was considered bizarre by most in the U.S. at the time and the leader of the LDS church Brigham Young had 55 wives.  Incidents like the Mountain Meadows Massacre didn't help matters.

      •  Hence why one of the sticking points (4+ / 0-)

        before Utah could get statehood was to strictly prohibit polygamy, which they did by 1890.

        "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

        by KingofSpades on Sun May 05, 2013 at 01:49:04 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Correct on polygamy (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY, KingofSpades

          One of the other sticking points was Utah's liking for the Democrats; there's old stories of LDS leaders politically dividing congregations down the middle, one half Democrat, the other half Republican.

          Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

          by Gygaxian on Sun May 05, 2013 at 04:05:25 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Well, regarding the MMM (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        They didn't actually know about that until some time during the Civil War. In fact, the feds had no idea about it during the Utah War (where they literally tried to crush the Mormons, despite that being very unconstitutional), so all their fear was based on was "polygamy is weird, Brigham Young is too powerful and independent-minded aaaaaaa crush the Mormons".

        And you have a good point, but they could've at least let us keep a few Mormon colonies within Utah Territory's borders. I mean, yeah, the State of Deseret was absurdly massive, but in terms of population and demographics, Utah had a right to a slightly larger state.

        Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

        by Gygaxian on Sun May 05, 2013 at 04:04:03 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Colbert Busch endorsed by Post and Courier (10+ / 0-)

    27, Male, CA-26, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

    by DrPhillips on Sat May 04, 2013 at 10:10:04 PM PDT

  •  Indiana Week in Review (6+ / 0-)

    The Republican state legislature's effort to eliminate the four at-large seats on the Indianapolis city-county council, all of which are held by Democrats, could be the subject of a veto by Governor Pence. When asked about the implications of the bill, he stated, "Let me say, we're going to study that very carefully." It cleared the State Senate on Friday, and its author, State Senator Mike Young (R-Indianapolis) said it's good for taxpayers: "This could harm our party. It could help our party. I don't know! All I know is it's the right thing to do because it saves us money that we can use in other areas of the budget." House Minority Leader Scott Pelath responded: "We've seen just barbaric political power grabs." House Speaker Brian Bosma has tried to distance himself from the legislation, stating, "I pretty much took a hands-off approach on that particular bill." The bill also gives Indianapolis Mayor Greg Ballard new authority over the city's budget. Pence argues that this is a good thing, but as he notes, "That being said, I have some concerns about the bill." He said it's one of just a few bills that he'll consider vetoing. I think it's pretty shameful that this legislation has even gotten this far, but I'm glad that Pence is threatening a veto. Hopefully he and the legislature will consider the full ramifications of their actions before proceeding. The panel seemed to be in agreement, even Republican Mike McDaniel, that this is a bad bill and that it should be shut down.

    The legislature has been debating a bill the last few months that has been pejoratively referred to as the Ag-Gag bill. It was one of the deadline casualties in the General Assembly. It was withdrawn from the House floor in the middle of a debate and the Senate author refused to accept House changes to the bill. The Ag-Gag bill would've made it a crime to photograph agricultural operations without permission. Opponents of the legislation see the bill as an attempt to thwart the First Amendment. State Representative Pat Bauer (D-South Bend) argued, "They gag whistle-blowers? Why do we always want to do something that's outrageous? This is outrageous for this time." State Representative Ed Delaney (D-Indianapolis) also noted, "This bill has got the same problem as my golf game. It's not capable of being made good! The core idea is bad!" State Senator Travis Holdman, author of the bill, has stated that he's going to bring this bill up again next year. Another bill that died in the last hours of this legislative session was the bill that would require drug testing for welfare recipients. It died when Republicans in the Senate Rules Committee voted against suspending the rules so that it could be voted on. Both of these bills were blatantly unconstitutional, and it's a good thing that both of them ended up failing to pass both houses. Even so, we'll have to watch out for both of these bills during the 2014 session.

    Computer overloads throughout the state led to interruptions in ISTEP testing for two days in a row this week. Schools were then instructed to cut the number of students taking ISTEP in half on any given day. IPS, the largest school district in Indianapolis as well as in the state of Indiana, avoided any test-taking during late-morning peak hours. In the meantime, representatives of the state contractor who supplies the test are monitoring computers to prevent new interruptions. The deadline for the test has been extended from May 10 to May 17. The State Board of Education wants answers and may challenge the state contract with CTB/McGraw-Hill, the state contractor. State Superintendent Glenda Ritz says there are higher priorities at the moment: "Our first goal is to just get through the actual testing window and make sure that all students are taking the test...I understand the high stakes, and the high stakes of accountability for the schools, as well as the high stakes for teacher evaluation and compensation tied to that, so validity of the student assessments needs to be determined first." It definitely looks like CTB/McGraw-Hill deserves the bulk of the blame for this mess, and this isn't the first time the state has had issues with them. I think Ritz is taking the correct approach to this matter, and I trust that she and the State Board of Education will act on this accordingly.

    A former Democratic Party operative in Jennings County was sentenced to prison this week for voter fraud. Mike Marshall will go to prison for falsifying absentee ballots in 2011. He will spend at least four months, and as many as nine months, behind bars. His sentencing comes a week after a voter fraud conviction in South Bend of Butch Morgan, the former longtime St. Joseph County Democratic Party Chairman.

    Indiana Week in Review closed with their end-of-the-session General Assembly round table. Jim Shella asked each of the four panelists who they thought were the big winners, big losers, rookies of the year, and lawmakers of the year. Republican Mike McDaniel picked House Speaker Brian Bosma: "Absolutely no question Brian Bosma for his leadership of the supermajority in this session. A lot of people were concerned about how he would handle that. He did it beautifully and was praised by people from all walks of life." Democrat Ann Delaney didn't have a big winner: "I don't think there is a big winner. You know, I mean, to come close, maybe Mississippi, because now we're in competition! You know, we don't have healthcare. We don't have transit. We want to deprive the schools of funding. We want to lower wages. Yeah, maybe Mississippi." John Ketzenberger picked the Vectren Corporation, an energy company based in Evansville : "I'm gonna say Vectren actually, because in a campaign that they waged in the legislature they were able to get a big project killed, the Rockport Plant, and they were the only people out there." I should note that former US Representative Brad Ellsworth is currently the President of Vectren's Indiana gas utility division. Jon Schwantes agreed with the picks of both Vectren and Speaker Bosma, noting that Bosma had a very difficult job trying to control the supermajority and was pretty effective overall. Jim Shella picked Brian Bosma.

    For big losers, Delaney picked potential recipents of healthcare coverage through the PPACA: "I think it's the 400,000 people who would've had healthcare coverage and the 30,000 jobs that would've come if we had gone in under the Affordable Care Act." McDaniel picked Pat Bauer (strange considering that Bauer lost his power last year, not this year) for having lost his leadership in the State House, though he noted that Bauer has embraced his new role, and he also praised Scott Pelath for having done a respectable job in his new role. Schwantes picked the casino industry who wanted more relief and didn't get it when legislation failed this session. Ketzenberger picked Leucadia, the energy group that was trying to put a coal plant in Rockport that was blocked by Vectren. Shella picked the casino industry.

    For lawmaker of the year, Ann Delaney picked her husband: "Oh, it's obvious - Ed Delaney!" McDaniel picked Republican State Representative Ed Clere: "I liked Ed Clere. Ed Clere did a great job. He was on the health committee last year. He was the chairman this year. He was very thoughtful and took tough issues and made a good run of them." Schwantes, Ketzenberger, and Shella were all in agreement on Bosma. I think I would generally agree with that. Bosma has done a very good job of running his caucus and has kept most of the radical legislation tamped down under his tenure.

    The Pragmatic Progressive (IN-4); Economic Left/Right: -7.12; Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.44

    by AndySonSon on Sat May 04, 2013 at 10:38:59 PM PDT

    •  Mike Marshall in trouble again? (0+ / 0-)

      I remember seeing a documentary hosted by Mo Rocca, called 'Electoral Dysfunction', about the '08 election, and they focused on Indiana, and were in Jennings and Ripley Counties, and they talked with and about Mike Marshall.

      Gay farm boy, 20, who hit the city to go to college, WI-03 (home, voting), WI-02 (college), -7.00, -3.13, 2012 Daily Kos Elections Pick'Em runner-up.

      by WisJohn on Sun May 05, 2013 at 08:07:07 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  finished doing a splitline map of Illinois senate (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ChadmanFL

    the median district gave Obama 58.7% of two party vote, making it exactly D+5. Would the IL dems have a majority in that scenario, or would they be bad enough to lose a lot of D-rated seats?

    RRH expat (known as AquarianLeft). Also known as freepcrusher on leip atlas forum

    by demographicarmageddon on Sat May 04, 2013 at 11:35:56 PM PDT

    •  not bad (0+ / 0-)

      Obama 08 numbers are difficult to use in Illinois, depends where the district is. There are 54%+ Obama districts that Democrats lost in 2008. There are plenty more that we won and then lost in 2010. Obama carried a 5-10% bounce in most of the state in 2008  

      IL-10 to IL-07 by way of -09, -17 and -18.

      by GaleForceBurg on Sun May 05, 2013 at 05:40:26 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  What about Gary Forby's seat? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        GaleForceBurg

        I presume that went McCain and Romney.

        "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

        by KingofSpades on Sun May 05, 2013 at 08:16:12 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I looked him up (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          KingofSpades

          he's from Benton, which is in my SD 45. It takes in all of Pope, Hamilton, Saline, Jefferson, Edwards, Wabash, White, Gallatin and Hardin; and takes in most of or part of Johnson, Williamson, Franklin, Perry, Washington, Clinton, Marion and Wayne counties. It has a PVI of R+9.3

          RRH expat (known as AquarianLeft). Also known as freepcrusher on leip atlas forum

          by demographicarmageddon on Sun May 05, 2013 at 09:55:46 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Sure (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          KingofSpades, WisJohn, SouthernINDem

          It's the exception, rather than the rule. Besides Gary's seat, you've got John Sullivan in SD 47, which went a narrow 49-48 Obama 08 (don't have the 12 numbers handy).

          Forby's SD 59 is similar to the KY/WV coal districts. Absolute crap at the federal level, but local pro-coal, pro-gun Dems are able to do well. It's generally accepted that when he steps down, we're screwed there. 4B4U

          Sullivan is a total fluke. An untargeted pickup in 2002. Sullivan has been lucky to run in Dem wave years (06 and 08) where he did not face a serious challenge. His district isn't ancestrally Dem, but his family is a locally prominent and popular family. They're auctioneers, and there's about 10 brothers who work throughout the area. Everyone knows a Sullivan. Plus, he's a good candidate.

          There's a lot of places in IL that are like inverse coal country. Reliably Democratic at the Federal level, but ancestrally Republican down ticket. DuPage and Will County, suburban Cook and parts of Lake come immediately to mind. Without seeing the map, it's hard to say, but some of those are not going to be nearly as reliable as the Presidential numbers would show.

          IL-10 to IL-07 by way of -09, -17 and -18.

          by GaleForceBurg on Sun May 05, 2013 at 02:28:58 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Speaking of Illinois (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        GaleForceBurg

        would you mind sending me the .drf for your non-partisan map so I can run the numbers on the outstate districts at least? I sent you a kosmail about it.

    •  It depends on where it is (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      Obama underperformed significantly downstate (except for Champaign), but overperformed significantly in the northwest and Cook County suburbs except for those to the south, such as where Lipinski's district currently is.

    •  Obama '08? (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      GaleForceBurg

      If so, that's a map Republicans could take the majority in.

      Home: North Shore of Illinois, College: Main Line of Pennsylvania (PA-07)

      by IllinoyedR on Sun May 05, 2013 at 03:46:45 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  By the way, "As I Recall" by Calvin Rampton (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bumiputera

    Is a very good biography by Governor Rampton (Democrat, and Utah's only three-term governor), and while it's primarily about Rampton's life, it's also a very good overview of Utah politics in the 60s and 70s (when Rampton was governor), and national politics as they relate to Utah, as well as his opinions on various political figures around that time (for example, he thought Reagan was an airhead who didn't have much original thought, he was friends with Carl Albert, and he thought Carter was a decent guy, but a bit lazy in fulfilling his duties to the NGA).

    It's a pretty low-key read, and not too exciting, but overall, a decent book. Rampton seems to have been a great governor, and quite pragmatic (without being stupidly so).

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Sun May 05, 2013 at 09:33:24 AM PDT

  •  Farm bill could help Senate Dems in 2014 (10+ / 0-)

    Congress is going to start work again this month on passing a five year Farm bill. It passed the Senate overwhelmingly last year, 64-35, but the House never took up the bill, or passed their own, due to differences over cutting the food stamp program.

    Dems feel this might have helped their candidates in 2012, including Heitkamp and Tester, both Dems running against House Republicans.

    It could help Dems again in 2014, given how many are up in rural states. That's especially true of Landrieu and Pryor, who both could face US House reps as their opponents.

    link.

  •  Illinois PVI trends from 2004-2012 (10+ / 0-)
     photo IL2004-2012PVITrend_zps2ca7b778.png

    As should come as little surprise, downstate trended heavily Republican though the 12th was somewhat more resiliant, while the northwest and Chicagoland suburbs/exurbs trended Dem.

    •  rural northern Illinois, despite being ancestrally (5+ / 0-)

      GOP (even going for Goldwater) seems to have resisted the trend occurring in the "Little Egypt" area and what not. Might be an ethnic thing. Rural northern Illinois is heavily Scandinavian and Yankee ancestry (like the driftless area) and more into mainline religion. Further downstate is more Scots-Irish types and more into fundamentalist religion.

      Obviously a huge generalization, but its a theory.

      RRH expat (known as AquarianLeft). Also known as freepcrusher on leip atlas forum

      by demographicarmageddon on Sun May 05, 2013 at 08:50:32 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Surprising something like this (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, MichaelNY

    in the Boston Herald, which is comparable to the Wall Street Journal, if not more conservative:

    http://bostonherald.com/...

    "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

    by ArkDem14 on Sun May 05, 2013 at 03:47:13 PM PDT

  •  wow, UN says they have evidence (7+ / 0-)

    that Syrian REBELS not Assad used sarin gas.

    I wonder if that changes the political calculus of this. I doubt it changes things for McCain/Graham, but it does seem to vindicate Obama's caution and calls for a full investigation. Politically, you wonder if both GOP and Dems tap the brakes a bit on what seems to be a rush to war.

     link.

  •  PPP: SC-1 poll will be up between 10-11 EST (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    per PPP's twitter.

    27, Male, CA-26, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

    by DrPhillips on Sun May 05, 2013 at 05:48:54 PM PDT

  •  PPP SC 1: Sanford 47-46 (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, jj32, abgin

    Keep the TVA public.

    by Paleo on Sun May 05, 2013 at 06:17:06 PM PDT

  •  Malaysia elections (4+ / 0-)

    Malaysia had its elections on May 5, and what was supposed to be a close election gave a somewhat meh result. Barisan Nasional (BN), which has been in government since the 1950s, lost a net 7 seats to the opposition Pakatan Rakyat, leading to a breakdown of 133 seats to 89 seats (out of 222).

    Pakatan also lost control of one state, Kedah, that it controlled going into the election. The opposition still won three out of 13: Selangor, which surrounds the national capital of Kuala Lumpur; Kelantan, a conservative stronghold in the north; and Penang, a heavily ethnic Chinese state on the western coast. BN won the other states, narrowly in two cases: Perak and Terengganu in the north.

    The interesting thing is that the opposition may actually have won the popular vote. However, since the opposition is concentrated in the cities and heavily urban and Chinese-dominated areas where it already has seats (like Penang), the increased percentage did not really translate into parliamentary wins. Sounds a bit familiar to Americans...

    23, D, pragmatic progressive (-4.50, -5.18), CA-14.

    by kurykh on Sun May 05, 2013 at 07:08:11 PM PDT

  •  What Dem politician would be unacceptable (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, Gygaxian, James Allen

    to elect to anything again? In light of the SC-1 race, what ruined Democratic politician with baggage would be totally unacceptable as a voting choice? Curious about others thoughts on this, as I think Democrats are better at shutting out their tainted pols than Republicans are and not cutting slack. I don't think a Dem Governor in any state who behaved like Sanford would even get out of a primary.

    27, Male, CA-26, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

    by DrPhillips on Sun May 05, 2013 at 08:19:03 PM PDT

  •  I (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, Gygaxian

    was surfing the UK Tories' Youtube channel and came upon this video they released during the 2010 election. I have no idea if it was a web ad or if it was one of their election broadcasts, but it's bloody brilliant!

    I wonder what would of happened if either the Koch Brothers or Karl Rove released an ad just like this one during the 2012 election. They certainty would of had the money to air something this long during prime time.

    They even could of had Fred Thompson star as the prosecuting attorney and Clint Eastwood sitting next to an empty chair in the jury.


    The Republican party is now an extreme right-wing party that is owned by their billionaire campaign contributors. - Bernie Sanders

    by ehstronghold on Sun May 05, 2013 at 08:34:37 PM PDT

    •  Despite all that (0+ / 0-)

      Labour did quite respectably back then.

      "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

      by KingofSpades on Sun May 05, 2013 at 11:13:20 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Not in terms of popular vote! (0+ / 0-)

        They only did well due to the inequitably disproportionate variations in the size of constituencies which present an inherent bias towards the Labour Party. Unfortunately the reforms which would have corrected this have been effectively put on hold for the remainder of this parliament.

        Iranian and German by origin. British by birth.

        by germankid101 on Mon May 06, 2013 at 12:54:54 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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