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Elizabeth Warren and Ed Markey at a Markey for Senate event.
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and Republican candidate Gabriel Gomez didn't count on one thing when McConnell sent out an email fundraiser for the Republican candidate: Elizabeth Warren. McConnell sent out an email to his list on Friday saying that he'd match donations up to $32,000, with the message that a "Republican majority in the Senate begins with your support today." Warren responded with an email to her list asking to match McConnell. She didn't match it, she doubled it. As of Sunday afternoon, Warren had raised $65,000 for Markey.

Markey's campaign needs the injection of some Warren energy. Massachusetts Democrats are reportedly feeling the need to "prop up" the so far very quiet campaign and plan on doing so with an intense ground game.

The specter of 2010, when then-state Senator Scott P. Brown stunned Attorney General Martha Coakley, stirs bile in the state’s heavily Democratic political establishment. That year, a full 107,000 of the state’s most devoted Democratic voters did not go to the polls for a special Senate election that Brown won by more than 109,000 votes.

“To screw up a US Senate special election isn’t a theory for us,” state Democratic Party chairman John Walsh said. “We’ve done it, so nobody is taking anything for granted.” [...]

Markey, who has not exhibited the charisma that helped previous Democratic victors draw voters to the polls, is poised to be the ultimate beneficiary of the party’s thoroughly oiled voter-turnout apparatus.

Carl Nilsson, Markey’s field director, said the campaign has been structured “very much on the tops of the shoulders of Elizabeth Warren and Barack Obama,” borrowing get-out-the-vote tactics and staff.

Goal Thermometer
Still, Markey hasn't really pulled away from Gomez in polling and on Thursday the Cook Political Report shifted the race from "lean Democrat" to "toss up." That rating might be overstating Gomez's chances: It seems based more on the idea that Scott Brown pulled it off so it could happen again, rather than on real signs that Gomez is moving up. But it's the specter of Scott Brown and of the lackluster Martha Coakley campaign that he bested, that lurks in the background.

Elizabeth Warren put some of those ghosts to rest. Her star power might help Markey put the rest of them to bed. And make sure that Mitch McConnell does not get a 46th vote.

Please contribute $3 to Ed Markey.

Originally posted to Joan McCarter on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 08:12 AM PDT.

Also republished by Massachusetts Kosmopolitans and Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (20+ / 0-)

    "There’s class warfare, all right, but it’s my class, the rich class, that’s making war, and we’re winning." —Warren Buffett

    by Joan McCarter on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 08:12:03 AM PDT

  •  I really wish Markey would pull his thumb out. (7+ / 0-)

    Everything about his record indicates that he's what Massachusetts needs - and more importantly, what it wants.

    But as long as he keeps on letting Gomez plug away at his distortions, histrionics and lies without penalty, that makes little difference. He has got to get the base revved up for the election!

    "Violence never requires translation, but it often causes deafness." - Bareesh the Hutt.

    by Australian2 on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 08:24:45 AM PDT

    •  This is a problem with an elected political body (9+ / 0-)

      the skills that it takes to be a good campaigner are not always the skills that make a good legislator. Markey is an effective legislator not a mediagenic car salesman.
      Good to see Liz Warren (who is both a good legislator and charismatic personality) stumping for him.

      If I ran this circus, things would be DIFFERENT!

      by CwV on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 09:17:23 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  i'm worried too (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      shoeless, oceanview, Dave925, Matt Z

      Markey's lackluster campaign, while claiming they are not taking anything for granted, cannot be described as aggressive either.

      so since form follows content, the tone of his campaign is making him look old and stale as compared to a youthful fresh face.

      scary.

      and if Markey makes one more ad that does not ask for the vote and mention the date of the damned election I am going to pull out what is left of my hair!

      Politics is like driving. To go backward put it in R. To go forward put it in D.
      Drop by The Grieving Room on Monday nights for support in dealing with grief.

      by TrueBlueMajority on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 10:00:23 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Who said Gomez (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      oceanview, Dave925, Matt Z, abs0628

      is getting away with anything? The Globe (whose coverage I've criticized - see below) has called Gomez out on false ads and his easement and his inability to answer simple questions about the Blunt Amendment. They wrote an editorial blasting Gomez for his bullshit about the 9/11 resolutions (a line of attack borrowed from Steve Lynch)

      "I am not for a return to that definition of Liberty under which for many years a free people were being gradually regimented into the service of the privileged few." Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1934

      by fenway49 on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 10:07:45 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  If McConnell (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    shoeless, Matt Z

    doesn't win this one he will get his 46th vote from Christie in NJ.

  •  it would be a 47th vote (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    shoeless, Brown Thrasher, Matt Z

    after Christie appoints Lautenberg's replacement

    Politics is like driving. To go backward put it in R. To go forward put it in D.
    Drop by The Grieving Room on Monday nights for support in dealing with grief.

    by TrueBlueMajority on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 09:51:54 AM PDT

  •  Gomez and McConnell are being Warrened! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Generic Democrat

    2014 IS COMING. Build up the Senate. Win back the House : 17 seats. Plus!

    by TRPChicago on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 09:51:57 AM PDT

  •  47th vote - NJ will get GOP Senator after (6+ / 0-)

    Dem Sen Lautenberg's death today.

    Markey better get off his duff and win.

  •  Markey (7+ / 0-)

    is working hard and so are we, committed Democrats in Massachusetts. This narrative is being pushed mostly by the lazy media, who are not interested in this race except to label it Coakley-Brown II.

    The Boston Globe at the head of the class: on May 1, they ran two articles on the front page. One said how energized the GOP was about "fresh face" Gomez (strange since the people I know in the Mass. GOP don't like him at all); the other said Democrats were "anxious" about a 2010 repeat, but didn't quote a single Democrat for attribution while giving lots of space to GOP operatives in DC.

    Meanwhile, I'm out there every weekend and making phone calls tonight. Last week it was 40 degrees and raining, this week it was almost 100 degrees. Doesn't matter. We're out there. My four-town region has had well over 100 volunteers knocking on doors, more on the phones, full-time interns streaming in with the college year over. We're not on our duffs and we're going to win.

    "I am not for a return to that definition of Liberty under which for many years a free people were being gradually regimented into the service of the privileged few." Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1934

    by fenway49 on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 09:59:59 AM PDT

    •  Thank you (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      fenway49

      Yeah this meme that Markey has run a lazy campaign is total BS -- and I say this as someone who is a local coordinator (in Markey's hometown, Malden). We've been busting our tails for months, as have Obama and Warren volunteers all over the state. Believe me, I witnessed the last stages of the Coakley campaign. Markey's campaign is light years ahead.

      The challenge we face really is that this will be a low turnout election which makes this a heavier lift. But the April 30 primary was a low turnout affair and we crushed it. So I'm cautiously optimistic, but we have to keep pounding the pavement as you've said.

      This past weekend was horrendous weatherwise but we had surprisingly high turnout for our canvasses on Sat & Sun -- very heartening. We've just got to keep it up and GOTV the heck out of this.

      I for one am extremely thankful that Senator Warren has stepped up big time -- with fundraising emails, events, appeals to her list to sign up to volunteer. Her efforts have been a greatly appreciated infusion of energy right when we needed it.

      "The country we carry in our hearts is waiting." ~ Bruce Springsteen

      by abs0628 on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 02:39:23 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  All I know is I want her at the top of the ticket (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Illinibeatle, Dave925

    in 2016.....Please let it come true!

  •  I know lawn signs don't vote (4+ / 0-)

    but I've seen hundreds of Markey signs in my neighborhood, and exactly zero Gomez signs.

    Barack Obama for President

    by looty on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 10:22:41 AM PDT

    •  Same here (0+ / 0-)

      But I was in Central Mass. on Sunday and there were more Gomez signs.

      Bottom line: if we get out voters out halfway decently, we'll win.

      "I am not for a return to that definition of Liberty under which for many years a free people were being gradually regimented into the service of the privileged few." Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1934

      by fenway49 on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 12:43:43 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Why the hell a Democrat in Massachusetts needs (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Dave925

    "propping up" is beyond me, but if that's what it takes...

  •  what ousiders don't understand (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    kitebro, Matt Z

    MA voters don't like negative campaigns at all.

    Brown won the first time by being very positive, when he went negative in 2012, he turned off many of his previous supporters.

    Gomez has nothing positive to say, and he will lose.

  •  This election is 3 weeks from tomorrow (0+ / 0-)

    ______________
    Love one another

    by davehouck on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 11:03:39 AM PDT

  •  emailed my mom (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    fenway49, abs0628

    to remind her to vote (absentee) before she leaves to go out of the country for a month.

    Sounds like we should all email everyone we know in Mass. to GOTV.

  •  This is why I don't like appointing Senators (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Matt Z

    I did not like the choice of Kerry because it puts a Democratic seat into play.  That may not be fair to Democratic senators in purple states, but each seat is precious and I see no reason to risk them when there are plenty of qualified candidates.

  •  Team Markey in Barnstable (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    fenway49, abs0628

    Is absolutely kicking ass. I'm positive our ground game is crushing Gomez. Markey may not have Warren's enthusiasm but at least his volunteers do, and that should be enough.

  •  Cook Report rates this as a toss-up - WHAT? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Matt Z, fenway49

    This is lean Democrat.  There's no way Gabriel Gomez is getting anywhere near to winning.  He continues to shoot himself in the foot and is becoming the next Mitt Romney because he's not being transparent.

    I'm not taking Cook Report seriously anymore.

    •  Cook (0+ / 0-)

      fell all over themselves saying that they don't think Gomez has a chance in hell, but they have to put it as a "tossup" because their methodology mandates that when the polling average is single digits.

      Seems like a generous definition of "tossup" to me. And the big reason Markey's not "pulling away" in polling is that we've had no polls released for two-and-a-half weeks, which strikes me as odd.

      But anyway, they don't really think it's a tossup.

      "I am not for a return to that definition of Liberty under which for many years a free people were being gradually regimented into the service of the privileged few." Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1934

      by fenway49 on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 12:46:31 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Then Cook folks are contradicting themselves (0+ / 0-)

        By the way of how you are describing Cook Reports' analysis.

        •  Their take (0+ / 0-)
          “In truth, we have had a difficult time accepting the idea that this race might get close,” writes Cook’s Jennifer Duffy, who made the call. “None of the circumstances that existed in early 2010 that paved the way for the upset that then-GOP state Sen. Scott Brown pulled over Democratic Attorney General Martha Coakley are present.”

          ...“We just see a polling trend that suggests it’s a single-digit race, and that’s our criteria,” Duffy tells me.

          "I am not for a return to that definition of Liberty under which for many years a free people were being gradually regimented into the service of the privileged few." Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1934

          by fenway49 on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 01:36:00 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  But why even classify it as a toss-up then? (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            fenway49

            I'm still not convinced.

            •  I'm not convinced either (0+ / 0-)

              I don't think that it is a "toss-up" in any meaningful sense, and from what Cook (or at least Jennifer Duffy) said, it doesn't seem like they think so themselves. Apparently a "single-digit" race = toss-up in their world.  

              I'm just passing on what they said to make clear that Cook does not have any special new information about the race being closer than we see it. Like I mentioned above, an 8- or 9-point race is not a "toss-up" in my book, and if any new polls would ever come out we might find Markey ahead by more than that. I think the movement's been much more in his direction than Gomez's.

              My guess: At the first sniff of a poll with Markey up 11 or more, they move it back to "Lean D."

              "I am not for a return to that definition of Liberty under which for many years a free people were being gradually regimented into the service of the privileged few." Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1934

              by fenway49 on Mon Jun 03, 2013 at 01:51:02 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

  •  Has Ed Markey made SS part of the campaign... (0+ / 0-)

    Has he pledged to defend it against any cuts?
    I imagine that would help.

    He needs to stop competing to see who is more telegenic/charismatic and fight hard for the issues people care about.

  •  Nate Silver had Markey up by 15 points (0+ / 0-)

    in an early May post on his 538 blog around the same time as PPP polling showed only a 4 pt. advantage for Markey. Not sure what the Cook Report is based on other than speculation, but if I were a betting man my money would be with Silver.

  •  I wonder if Sen. Lautenberg's death (0+ / 0-)

    will tilt the scale back towards Markey a bit.

    In some places (like Massachusetts), things tilt one way or the other because of the national scene. This was one factor in Scott Brown's victory. People wanted to focus on things other than health care.

    Just a thought.

  •  I hope it's Markey by 20 points. That would send (0+ / 0-)

    a message that conservative hype. will not sell and will get you beaten big time.

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