Skip to main content

A large area of the eastern United States is under a tornado watch until 1000PM as numerous storms form and move into an atmosphere ripe for severe weather. The risks this afternoon and evening are limited to tornadoes and damaging winds. Hail won't be much of a threat today due to warmer temperatures aloft.

Here are the watches as of 230PM, in effect until 1000PM. They include the Washington DC and Philadelphia metro areas.

The atmosphere over the Mid-Atlantic is ripe for at least one or two tornadoes this afternoon. Ample instability is firing off thunderstorms over the western Carolinas and Virginia right now, and as these storms move into the area of enhanced rotation over the tornado watch area -- especially the DC metro area -- some of these storms are expected to rotate and produce tornadoes. The tornadoes won't be exceptionally strong, but even a weak tornado in a densely populated area is dangerous.

CAPE values across the watch area range from 2000 j/kg to 4000 j/kg, sufficient for strong storms to develop.

Here's the significant tornado parameter (STP) as of diary publication. The yellow shading is indicative of an atmosphere conducive to tornadoes, and the orange shading (values greater than 1) indicate an enhanced risk for tornadoes. The SPC notes that almost all significant (EF-2 or greater) tornadoes are associated with an STP value greater than 1, but the risk for significant (EF-2 or greater) tornadoes across the watch area is low.

Here are the surface winds and 500 millibar winds overlaid on top of each other, with the STP map as a background to help you see the wind direction arrows. The more parallel the two arrows are with each other, the more unidirectional the atmospheric winds are. This isn't favorable for tornadoes to form.

The wind direction arrows that are nearly perpendicular to each other show an atmosphere conducive for tornadic development. This helps create horizontal rotation in the atmosphere, which can be tilted upright by stronger storms and cause the storm to rotate, potentially leading to a tornado.

If things start to look hairy near major cities/metro areas, I'll update this liveblog as needed. For everything else, follow my Facebook page for all your weathery needs.


National Weather Service Main Page
National Weather Service -- Pittsburgh PA
National Weather Service -- State College PA
National Weather Service -- Baltimore/Washington DC
National Weather Service -- Blacksburg, VA
National Weather Service -- Wakefield, VA
National Weather Service -- Raleigh, NC

National Weather Service -- Charleston WV
National Weather Service -- Greenville SC
National Weather Service -- Philadelphia, PA

Storm Prediction Center Main Page
Storm Prediction Center -- Current Severe Weather Watches
Storm Prediction Center -- Convective (Severe Weather) Outlooks
Storm Prediction Center -- Mesoscale Discussions
Storm Prediction Center -- Storm Reports
Storm Prediction Center -- Mesoscale Analysis Pages

National Hurricane Center

Wunderground's Detailed Radar (click the + nearest to you to see your local radar)

NOAA Weather Models

iMapWeather Radio App for iPhone/iPod Touch (costs $9.99 but well worth it)

Follow me on Facebook for updates on this severe weather outbreak and other weather news.

Originally posted to El Blogo de Weatherdudeo on Mon Jun 10, 2013 at 12:09 PM PDT.

Also republished by Philly Kos and DKos Pennsylvania.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

skybluewater, JR, filkertom, teacherken, Gooserock, Pandora, Powered Grace, NYmom, PeterHug, greenbird, karlpk, Shockwave, mslat27, eeff, Mnemosyne, Sandy on Signal, Creosote, fugwb, chimpy, hopeful, liz dexic, 2laneIA, defluxion10, Catte Nappe, lcrp, riverlover, zerelda, meagert, TexMex, sb, escapee, BluejayRN, blueyedace2, triciawyse, eightlivesleft, terrypinder, MT Spaces, Dobber, sallyfallschurch, Overseas, Ozymandius, paxpdx, FindingMyVoice, Rogneid, peacestpete, Ekaterin, begone, Born in NOLA, kishik, BachFan, myboo, emeraldmaiden, Hear Our Voices, SherriG, Rosaura, bleeding heart, doingbusinessas, Sapere aude, Cronesense, ninkasi23, Dartagnan, ColoTim, edsbrooklyn, jeanette0605, gchaucer2, cececville, journeyman, Empower Ink, chicago minx, jwinIL14, JayC, mconvente, Youffraita, NewDealer, bythesea, Parthenia, watercarrier4diogenes, jlms qkw, oldliberal, Louisiana 1976, janmtairy, kevinpdx, Munchkn, jfromga, Larsstephens, Railfan, Its the Supreme Court Stupid, flitedocnm, gramofsam1, 4CasandChlo, mjbleo, renzo capetti, addisnana, mallyroyal, Onomastic, I love OCD, slowbutsure, cyberpuggy, badscience, LeftCoastTom, MRA NY, wintergreen8694, enhydra lutris, Marihilda, Vatexia, jadt65, Regina in a Sears Kit House, anodnhajo, IndieGuy, congenitalefty, shanesnana, jan4insight, belinda ridgewood, JupiterSurf, pittie70, doroma, wxorknot, jennyp, Glen The Plumber, allensl, broths, Steve in the Library, weck, aresea, leeleedee, birdfeeder, Avilyn, Kay Observer2, duhban, JeremySchro, brianmkennedy, Hubbard Squash, pierre9045

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site