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jobless first-time claims for week ending July 5, 2013
For the week ending July 6, the Department of Labor reported Thursday, seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment compensation rose to 360,000. That's up 16,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 344,000. For the comparable week of 2012, claims were 363,000.

The less volatile four-week running average rose to 351,750, up 6,000 from the previous week's revised average of 345,750.

For the first 27 weeks of 2012, the average of weekly initial claims was 375,000. For the first 27 weeks of 2013 (including for the most recent week), the average was 351,000.

Every week claims rise, some analysts wonder if perhaps the federal budget sequester is to blame. So far, evidence for that is scant. The Labor Department noted when it released Thursday's figures that seasonal adjustments are difficult in July in part because of the Independence Day holiday and because this is the month that automakers traditionally shut down for several weeks to retool. However, that shutdown didn't happen this year.

For the states' jobless compensation programs and the federal emergency program, the total number of people claiming benefits for the week ending June 22 was 4,505,508, down 52,257 from the previous week. For the comparable week of 2013, 5,874,101 persons claimed benefits in all programs. As I've noted previously, the year-over-year drop is partly a consequence of some people finding jobs and partly a result of others exhausting their benefits.

Jobless Americans who depend on the federal emergency compensation program implemented because of the Great Recession and renewed several times over the past few years have seen their weekly checks fall by at least 10 percent in the past few months because of the sequester. Some states, like North Carolina, have also cut the maximum amount an eligible unemployed worker can receive each week and how many weeks they are allowed to collect unemployment compensation.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Labor on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 09:26 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos Economics and Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  I wonder how many Republican controlled states (8+ / 0-)

    will follow North Carolina's lead.

    "Another world is not only possible, she is on her way. On a quiet day, I can hear her breathing." Arundhati Roy

    by LaFeminista on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 09:32:35 AM PDT

    •  N.C., Florida, Michigan and Georgia have... (7+ / 0-)

      ...already cut back duration of eligibility. Tennessee planned to cut the maximum size of compensation checks, but it has delayed doing so.

      Don't tell me what you believe, show me what you do and I will tell you what you believe.

      by Meteor Blades on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 09:58:28 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  The State Gets More Benefits Back On Unemployment (4+ / 0-)

        Insurance than they would by cutting it.  That is why it doesn't make sense to cut unemployment benefits.  Not only do you have people out there buying groceries and other services, but when small business are doing good they hire people.  Red states and yes some blue states who cut unemployment are cutting their budgets and not getting anything back for it in benefits.  You would think that voters would get wise and start throwing out stupid people.

        "Don't Let Them Catch You With Your Eyes Closed"

        by rssrai on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 10:06:57 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Have you reviewed the state budgets? (0+ / 0-)

          Most are in the red and states can't print money.

          You don't seem to understand. There IS NO money. Budgets are in negative territory everywhere.

          Medicaid is sucking 1/4 of states budgets today. States and municipalities are slowly going bust. It's only going to get worse as more interest has to be paid on past debt.

          The laws of economics are slowly setting in and people actually believe we can get around them. It's math; eventually negative numbers catch up to you.

      •  Thank you for the info n/t (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Eric Nelson, Darryl House

        "Another world is not only possible, she is on her way. On a quiet day, I can hear her breathing." Arundhati Roy

        by LaFeminista on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 10:25:40 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Wisconsin (0+ / 0-)

      Has decreased the amount by 10 percent, increased the amount of jobs an applicant needs to apply for each week, and mandated job classes.

      There was something about Scott Walker saying he would monitor applicant's bank accounts too...

      Union busting???? That's disgusting!!!

      by invisiblewoman on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 08:09:26 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  they have made it (6+ / 0-)

    so difficult to file for unemployment, with so little in benefit, I didn't even bother to apply.

  •  The Sequester. Meh. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Eric Nelson

    OT, but just back from Grand Teton NP the National Park Service chose to cut access to back country roads where one can get away from crowds and be with the grizzlies.... siting costs of keeping drop toilets open and clean.  When closed they get vandalized so the roads are closed to halt vehicle access.  Anyway, the sequester is wrong, but hey, its bipartisan FTW !

    More on topic is the distressing  percent of  school leavers that are African American and unemployed...  t what programs are there to help them?  Have they all been cut as well?  

    Jobless Rate for Poor Black Teen Dropouts? Try 95 Percent
    PBS ‎- 5 days ago
    The United States has slid in rankings of industrialized nations putting youth to work. Jobless rates for young black dropouts are especially high ...
    (I REALLY dislike that headline.  PBS,  how far you have fallen.)

    Move Single Payer Forward? Join 18,000 Doctors of PNHP and 185,000 member National Nurses United

    by divineorder on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 09:44:23 AM PDT

  •  Applying for unemployment is not trivial (6+ / 0-)

    You have to prove that you are actually looking for a job.  If you tried it for 6 months and you were unable to get one it must get very discouraging and many drop out.

    When the economy improves, some who had given up may try again and thisis probably what is happening.

    Unemployment Rate Down As Americans Give Up On Work

    “We know that a lot more people in their prime working years are opting to neither work nor look for work,” Baker told me. “Unless they have suddenly gotten an aversion to work or had some conversion so that they no longer value material things, they likely have given up looking for work because they don’t see any jobs out there.”

    The unemployment rate has dropped more than 40% of the way back to its pre-recession level, but the employment-to-population ratio is closer to its trough than its pre-recession peak.  In English: fewer Americans are looking for employment.

    The Repugs probably think this is good because the unemployed tend not to vote;
    In 2010, some 46 percent of working Americans who were eligible to vote did so, compared with 35 percent of the unemployed, according to Michael McDonald, a political scientist at George Mason University. There was a similar turnout gap in the 2008 election.
    And there is a lot of log term unemployed;

    Unemployment photo unemployment_zps8bbf929a.jpg

    Daily Kos an oasis of truth. Truth that leads to action.

    by Shockwave on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 09:49:42 AM PDT

  •  "Two month high" is pretty meaningless for... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Eric Nelson, rschndr

    such noisy data. It's like describing a global temperature average as a "two-year high."

    Smoothing out the noisiness, it looks like we can say that initial unemployment claims have leveled out around 350,000. There was a long downward trend - again, a noisy one, but a clear trend nonetheless - but we seem to have plateaued.

    Art is the handmaid of human good.

    by joe from Lowell on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 10:20:05 AM PDT

    •  As noted: 375,000 for first six months of 2012... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      divineorder, Eric Nelson

      ...and 351,000 for first six months of 2013.

      Initial claims are still well above the average of 285,000 a week that they were in the best year of the Clinton administration: 2000.

      Don't tell me what you believe, show me what you do and I will tell you what you believe.

      by Meteor Blades on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 10:40:29 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Workers choices seem grim after being laid off.. (3+ / 0-)

    ..or seeking first time employment.

    Low wage temporary jobs lacking health care or retirement opportunties or any guarantee of future employment and then running out of unemployment insurance.
    That seems to be the trend that is happening. Not enough to support oneself and certainly not buy a home or to a family.

    And is declining labor participation making unemployment numbers look better than reality?
    Dean Baker from March:

    The decline in labor force participation in this cycle has been striking. While the unemployment rate has dropped more than 40 percent of the way back to its pre-recession level, the employment-to-population ratio is still far closer to its trough than its pre-recession peak.
    AA's have been hit much harder:
    African Americans have fared much worse than whites in the downturn. The fall in the EPOP [employment to population ratio] for black women has been almost as sharp as for men. The drop in the EPOP for black men has been by far the sharpest. Their EPOP has edged up slightly in the last two years but is still almost 8 percentage points below the pre-recession level.
    But it seems that low wage jobs requiring no high school level education are on the rise:
    By education attainment there is the striking anomaly: The EPOP for those with less than a high school degree is almost back to its pre-recession level. It rose by 1.9 percentage points in February to 41.9 percent.
    And pick-up work is becoming the norm:

    temporary jobs becong permanent fixture - July, 2013

    This is how a permanenet "excess labor pool " is built right here in America. Then republican like Rick Perry can claim, as he has and is, that he and his party of deprivators are the "job creators"

    Rick Perry's Texas 'miracle' is built on minimum wage jobs - Laura Clawsen - Aug 16, 2011 at 08:37 AM PDT

    And with public education slashing, and private schools absorbing the public monies, more people will be left without real educational opportunities not less.

    That is what the republicans are doing with their austerity agenda. Allowing/enabling corporations to treat American workers as they do third world countires. Almost like 21st century re-colonizing of America  

    Thx MB

     

  •  for 1st time ever I just contributed to this stat: (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Meteor Blades, Notreadytobenice

    now waiting to see if my employer challenges.  But so far it seems the state of MO hasn't gotten around to the War On UI yet; they're too busy passing laws invaliding federal law on gun control...

  •  I received my final tier 4 Fed UI payment today (3+ / 0-)

    I'm off the rolls now and still searching for any work available, even registering with temp agencies.

    Thanks MB for continuing to highlight the problems.

    Tofu knows nothing but what is good for you. -- dharmasyd

    by Darryl House on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 08:06:34 PM PDT

  •  Increase in % of disabled workers... (0+ / 0-)

    ...needs to be included in discussion. Jumped from 4% to 6% in 10 years, The last resort for many workers.

  •  I swear to God (2+ / 0-)

    I'm gonna wake up one day, turn on the news, and shit is going to be broken and on fire and the millionaire spokesmodels who read the teleprompter are gonna ask why.

    If you have been out of work for six months or longer, you are so fucked.

    I'm a survivor. Unlike the average Movement Conservative, I don't expect the vast majority of people who hit hard times to be able to live in the streets or like an animal to survive. I don't want them to have to.

    I was homeless for the first time when I was twelve.

    It sucked. It sucked every time it happened. But it also tempers you. You are aware of exit strategies and plan ahead.  

    I can get to a place where being homeless isn't as fatal as it is here in southern Nevada if things finally go south for me.

    Lots of those around me can not.

    I can see it in their eyes.

    One fuck up, and they are in the shit.

    Getting unemployment, and keeping it, is a humiliating ordeal as it is. I watched my brother have to call the Nevada State Department of Employment and Training, for months, groveling and waiting on hold and pleading.

    And then... even that was gone.

    I've been doing odd jobs, working under the table,I've sold everything of value that I've ever owned in the last few years.

    I feel like I'm in a contest to see what happens first, the Movement Conservative Right fucking up so badly they can' t muddy the waters to keep the stupid in their column, or me ending up in jail.  

    I am a Loco-Foco. I am from the Elizabeth Warren wing of the Democratic Party.

    by LeftHandedMan on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 08:19:05 PM PDT

    •  These last few weeks here in southern Nevada (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Pescadero Bill, KibbutzAmiad

      it hell was day after day.

      115. 116. 112. 113. 111. 115.  116. 117.

      This is no place to be homeless.

      It's really easy to end up that way here.

      Fuck all if it also isn't a Right-To-Work State with a Republican Governor who wants to be President someday.

      Movement Conservatism is getting people killed. It is.

      Movement Conservatism isn't just wrong, it's dangerous.

      You can't pay your rent, you are out on the streets here faster than any other place I have ever lived.

      You see the homeless. Baking in the sun. Walking in the washes besides the road because the shade is under the bridges and in the tunnels under the highway. The washes that can fill up ten feet deep in rushing water in a heartbeat if there is suddenly a monsoon rain.

      There are sneaker prints on the pathway to my front door. My shoes melted in the heat.

      If you walked on the asphalt, or the sidewalk, and your shoes or boots or sneakers weren't good, your feet burned. Through the shoes.

      Some homeless out here have makeshift sandals.

      The Teahadi are killing people. Cutting foodstamps. Cutting or killing unemployment.

      At some point, you will hit a tipping point where law and order and social stability will go sideways. People are not going to just lay down and die.

      I am a Loco-Foco. I am from the Elizabeth Warren wing of the Democratic Party.

      by LeftHandedMan on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 08:30:04 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  People, people, people! First it has to flow up (0+ / 0-)

    before it can trickle down. In order for it to flow up, it must be shaken loose from those that are at the bottom.

    What's not to get about about the neoliberal economics that has given rise to our beautiful plutocracy?

    Within that vein, best comment of the day in response to a comment on the Canadian news from an MMA spokeperson (regarding the Lac Megantic explosion) saying...:

    "it would cost 2% more to freight costs to have someone guarding the train at night" - or 2% less in executive bonuses, but that would be blasphemy, wouldn't it?
    Blasphemy indeed to think anything other than top down in this (North) American plutocracy. It really has become a sort of sickness.

    "We must make our choice. We may have democracy, or we may have wealth concentrated in the hands of a few, but we can't have both." - Louis Brandies

    by Pescadero Bill on Thu Jul 11, 2013 at 08:30:48 PM PDT

  •  GOP needs to destroy American in order to save it. (0+ / 0-)

    Republican assholery leaves me speechless.

  •  Just eyeballing it (0+ / 0-)

    I would say the mean on that chart has been flat all year, after four years of decline.  I suspect this is as good as it gets for a while.  Wouldn't be surprised if 2013 shows an upturn when the year is done.  Just like ... 1938, was it?

    Guns don't kill people like hammers don't pound nails.

    by rschndr on Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 05:45:07 AM PDT

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