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My morning is off to a great start thanks to PPP's newest Ohio Governor poll:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...

PPP's newest Ohio Governor poll finds a toss up race, with Democratic challenger Ed FitzGerald holding a slight lead over John Kasich at 38/35.

The closeness of the race is more of a reflection on Kasich than FitzGerald. He has a negative approval rating with 42% of voters approving of him to 47% who disapprove. That represents a 10 point net decline from our last Ohio poll in November when he was at 45/40. FitzGerald meanwhile remains unknown to most voters in the state with 62% not having an opinion about him one way or the other- among those who do have one 20% see him positively and 18% in a negative light.

Kasich's winning 68% of the Republican vote right now compared to FitzGerald's 61% of Democrats. What's giving FitzGerald his slight overall lead is a 40/31 advantage with independents. Kasich's approval with them is particularly poor at 34/52. - PPP, 8/20/13

PPP also shows Ohio Attorney General Mike DeWine (R) in a strong position for re-election with a 49/28 approval rating and he beats his Democratic opponent, David Pepper, 46/32.  Failed U.S. Senate candidate and Treasurer Josh Mandel (R) has taken a hit in his approvals, 36/50, and trails his opponent Connie Pillich (D), 40/35.  And for some more decent news, Secretary of State  Jon Husted (R) has a 28/28 approval 44% of the voters unfamiliar with him.  But even still, he only leads Nina Turner by one point, 37/36.

What makes me super happy about this poll is it shows we have a serious chance to unseat Kasich and that this is a race we should get heavily invested in.  Ed Fitzgerald's (D. OH) campaign saw the PPP poll today and wasted no time reaching out to supporters to help fuel his campaign:

I wanted to tell you about a new poll out today. Ed is up by three points, and John Kasich's numbers are simply awful for a sitting governor seeking reelection.

That's according to a poll released today by PPP, one of the most reputable pollsters in the country.

We've had a great few weeks thanks to supporters like you, and we need to keep up the momentum. Will you contribute $13 today to help keep the pressure on Kasich?

https://secure.edfitzgerald.org/...

This is the first public poll since Gov. Kasich signed his budget, which radically shifted the tax burden onto Ohio's middle-class families and seniors in order to pay for more tax cuts for the wealthy. It was a budget so extreme it defunded Planned Parenthood and set women's healthcare back 60 years.

It's also the first poll since the JobsOhio scandal broke.

So it's no a surprise that John Kasich's support has collapsed. Over the last couple months Ohioans have been reminded almost daily that this governor is out of touch and has the wrong priorities for Ohio families.

Contribute $13 right now to show Gov. Kasich that he doesn't share our priorities.

https://secure.edfitzgerald.org/...

It only gets harder from here. But with your help, we can win this thing.

Let's go,

Nick Buis

FitzGerald for Ohio
Campaign Manager

You can click here if you want to donate to Fitzgerald's campaign:
https://secure.edfitzgerald.org/...

And you can click here to get involved with Nina Turner and Connie Pillich's campaigns:

http://ninaturner.org/...
http://www.conniepillich.com/

Originally posted to pdc on Tue Aug 20, 2013 at 09:22 AM PDT.

Also republished by In Support of Labor and Unions, The Democratic Wing of the Democratic Party, KasichWatch, and Central Ohio Kossacks.

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Comment Preferences

  •  That's the way... (7+ / 0-)

    The GOP can't win on ideas. They can only win by lying, cheating, and stealing. So they do.

    by psnyder on Tue Aug 20, 2013 at 09:31:14 AM PDT

    •  HELL yes. (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      psnyder, looseleaf, JBraden, newdem1960

      Now I want to say something to all the doomster Democrats and progressive pessimists who quit months ago because, they keep telling, Kasich's approvals have rebounded and he's impossible to beat. Based on ONE FRIGGING poll, which I kept saying could be contradicted by the next one.

      Start eating your words, all you Joe Btfsplks. Your little black cloud is evaporating. It's impossible only if we quit. And quitting a year and a half before the election is, in my opinion, a political CRIME.

      Here's what we need to do: work tirelessly to raise the name recognition of our candidates and make people aware that we have an excellent slate of strong, progressive, young candidates who are forward-thinking, positive, and full of ideas about how to make Ohio better for everyone.

      We also need to spread awareness— which apparently is spreading, given the massive hit Kasich's approval has taken since that last poll which made the doomsters crumble into a whimpering heap — that Kasich has attacked women, voters, and labor, starved public schools and local governments, raised taxes on everyone who does't have a six-figure income, killed job creation, disastrously privatized a prison which has now become a violent problem child, stolen turnpike money to fund his pet projects which those of us in northern ohio will pay for with higher tools (except who can afford to take the turnpike anymore), increased government secrecy and non-accountability and has a developing  scandal on his hands at his signature economic development project Jobs Ohio aka RobsOhio.

      Must I go on? Really, doomsters? This man is a lock for re-election? Um, no. So get your long face off the floor and get to work.

      By the way, don't be surprised if David Pepper wins his race by the largest margin. Downticket races are insanely difficult to poll at this point because of people's lack of awareness even of the incumbents. And we have never had a nearly complete ticket solidified this early (John Carney is going to announce for the auditor's race against Teabaggin' Dave Yost right after Labor Day; he's already campaigning).

      Ed FitzGerald for governor Of Ohio. Women's lives depend on it. http://www.edfitzgeraldforohio.com/

      by anastasia p on Tue Aug 20, 2013 at 11:38:45 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  We'll Be Donating nt (7+ / 0-)

    We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy.... --ML King "Beyond Vietnam"

    by Gooserock on Tue Aug 20, 2013 at 09:35:26 AM PDT

  •  Kasich overplayed his hand when he signed those (13+ / 0-)

    fucking misogynist and anti-union laws, among others. And the throttling of the state's budget is putting more people out of work. Before that, he had tried to position himself as a pragmatic conservative, but now his kissing of Teabagger ass will, with any luck, be his downfall -- something we HOPE will repeat time and again around the country.

    "Government by organized money is just as dangerous as Government by organized mob." -- Franklin D. Roosevelt

    by Kombema on Tue Aug 20, 2013 at 09:37:03 AM PDT

  •  A very important race next year. (6+ / 0-)

    We need to reverse 2010.

    Join us on the Black Kos front porch to review news and views written from a black pov—everyone is welcome.

    by TomP on Tue Aug 20, 2013 at 09:39:44 AM PDT

  •  As much as I'd like this to be true, (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Nulwee

    this poll is not even close to an accurate reflection of what the electorate will be next fall.  PPP's sample was composed of 42% Democrats, 36% young voters, and 19% non-whites.  Those are 2008/2012-like percentages;  there's NO WAY that a mid-term election not featuring an Obama-like figure at the top of the card is going to draw that kind of electorate in Ohio.  The likely voters in this race are going to be MUCH older, whiter and more conservative than what PPP shows here.

    •  Maybe Kasich has pissed off people so much that (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Mostel26, a2nite

      the 2012 voters will come back to finish the job.  We could be seeing 2006 numbers here.

      Funny Stuff at http://www.funnyordie.com/oresmas

      by poopdogcomedy on Tue Aug 20, 2013 at 10:08:55 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Quinnipiac put out a poll in June showing Kasich (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Nulwee, Dr Swig Mcjigger

        with a 54% approval rating and clobbering FitzGerald 47%-33%.  While I don't know the internals of that poll, something is amiss here.  I could obviously be wrong, but I don't think that there are THAT many people in Ohio that are politically engaged enough to be upset over the controversial aspects in the state budget.  I don't think that Kasich is doing quite as well with the voting public as the June poll showed, but reality is closer to that than what this PPP poll reflects.

        •  Well I say, straighten them out (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          poopdogcomedy

          Those people that aren't politically engaged, we engage them and point out what Kasich's actions mean for them.

        •  14 points (0+ / 0-)

          honestly isn't that bad for Fitzgerald this far out, giving the disparity in name recognition. I agree with you that this polls seems off and I think Kasich has to enter as a pretty solid favorite to win, but maybe we do have  a fighting chance here.

          •  Wrong. (0+ / 0-)

            Kasich is a pretty solid favorite to struggle to re-election even if he can win it. In fact, at this point, his far out, farther than the challenging party has had a locked-down candidate in decades, NOBODY and NOTHING is a "pretty solid favorite." But the more we keep telling ourselves that, the more we increase our chances of losing.

            Ed FitzGerald for governor Of Ohio. Women's lives depend on it. http://www.edfitzgeraldforohio.com/

            by anastasia p on Tue Aug 20, 2013 at 11:46:19 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  Oh yeah, the poll that doomed us (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Buckeye Nation

          will be held up forever as the immutable, unchanging gold standard.

          You know what is "amiss"? Your failure to believe that Kasich's bull-in-a-china-shop approach to governing  has pissed off so many people. In the last couple of months, Kasich has done things to piss off almost everyone. I would have been surprised if his approvals hadn't fallen.

          People know. even the friggin' Columbus DISPATCH has been writing about some of Kasich's failures and they just love the man.

          Ed FitzGerald for governor Of Ohio. Women's lives depend on it. http://www.edfitzgeraldforohio.com/

          by anastasia p on Tue Aug 20, 2013 at 11:44:36 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  Oh boo friggin' hoo (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Buckeye Nation

      Blah blah blah. Some people just are so addicted to quitterade they can't help themselves. You are going to be surprised.  Do I need to post photos of the War of Women rallies that have been two-thirds women under 35? Women are PISSED and will vote, especially since the Ohio GOP hasn't got the sense to stop and have just introduced even more radical anti-choice measures.

      Ed FitzGerald for governor Of Ohio. Women's lives depend on it. http://www.edfitzgeraldforohio.com/

      by anastasia p on Tue Aug 20, 2013 at 11:42:39 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Look, I appreciate your passion; I really do. (0+ / 0-)

        That being said, there's a fine line between having a passionate faith in your cause and being completely delusional.  With all due respect, you seem to frequently fall on the latter side here.  More than anything, the number that most jumped out at me is that 62% of the wildly Dem-leaning population sample PPP used in their poll had never even heard of Ed FitzGerald (and, yes, before you throw this at me, I know that he's well-known in Cleveland.  Last time I checked, Ohio is a compilation of multiple diverse regions, including three large cities each with their own civic personality.  Just because someone plays well in the 216 area code doesn't mean that he or she will perform well on a statewide basis- or even amongst a majority of Ohio Democrats.  In other words, this state is no longer all about YOU, Clevelanders- as if it ever was).  Yes, that means that he doesn't carry the baggage of a more well-known candidate- but that also means that he'll be a blank canvas for Kasich and his corrupt, well-funded GOP cronies to define however they see fit.  That's not going to help, IMO.  The fact is that the Ohio Democratic Party had a chance here to run a candidate who is better known on a STATEWIDE basis- Mike Coleman, Frank Jackson, Rich Cordray and Nina Turner (who at least has been on MSNBC many times) come to mind- and they decided to punt to 2018 and run Tim Hagan 2.0.  I'll certainly give FitzGerald all of my support here- as if I have any choice- but I'm not going to delude myself as to his chances in this race.  It's going to be an uphill climb, and this race is probably not going to go our way here.  What I find especially annoying from you is that any comment on this race that doesn't take the form of irrationally optimistic "Ed's going to win in a LANDSLIDE!" cheerleading is met with derision and accusations of defeatism.  I'm realistic and honest about our chances here, and wish that we had decided to run a better candidate;  that doesn't mean that I'm giving up.  There IS a difference.

        •  Furthermore, anectodal evidence of big, noisy (0+ / 0-)

          crowds of commited activists at "War on Women" rallies is NOT necessarily the same thing as support for your contention of a massive groundswell of Ohio voters against Kasich.  For one thing, quite a few of the activists in those crowds you cite were bussed in from out-of-state (we're just as guilty of this as the Tea Party was).  Second, as I mentioned before, Ohio is a pretty big freakin' state!  More than 11.5 million people live here;  there are bound to be good numbers of committed activists that will show up to a political rally of any kind.  That doesn't mean, however, that said activists represent a majority opinion of people, not to mention voters (the vast majority of Ohioans- like most Americans- are completely apolitical, and probably don't have much of a strong opinion of John Kasich one way or another).

  •  Ed is our guest speaker (7+ / 0-)

    at the Huber Heights Democratic Club dinner on Oct 13.  We are trying to get him some exposure in SW Ohio.  The Greene Co. Dems had him last week at their picnic.  Hope that Buckeyes will wake up after 2010.

    Any man's death diminishes me because I am involved in mankind. Therefore, send not to know for whom the bell tolls, it tolls for thee. John Donne

    by scurrvydog on Tue Aug 20, 2013 at 09:54:56 AM PDT

  •  Kasich Is A Criminal Just Like Rick Scott (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Nulwee, Mostel26, a2nite

    The are both in office just to take money from the voters and put it in their pockets.

    "Don't Let Them Catch You With Your Eyes Closed"

    by rssrai on Tue Aug 20, 2013 at 10:26:54 AM PDT

  •  After all that has (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Mostel26

    happened in Ohio over the past 3 years, I  am a little disappointed that the race is so close. The policies that Gov. Kasich has enacted and supported  should have driven large swaths of the population away, and yet he is only 3 points back. I understand the idea behind name recognition, but until the  people  show that they are voting against these regressive reactionary republican policies, the republicans will still be legislating forced birth and  anti suffrage  laws to the detiment of the interests of their states.

    •  Don't look a gift horse in the mouth (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      akadjian, JBraden, a2nite

      Just keep working. People don't KNOW Ed FitzGerald yet, but we have time on our side. In 2006, Strickland wasn't locked down as the candidate until February 2006.

      Work, contribute, and do not spread negativity.

      Ed FitzGerald for governor Of Ohio. Women's lives depend on it. http://www.edfitzgeraldforohio.com/

      by anastasia p on Tue Aug 20, 2013 at 11:48:24 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  good, thanks for the info nt (0+ / 0-)

    nosotros no somos estúpidos

    by a2nite on Wed Aug 21, 2013 at 09:18:39 AM PDT

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