Rep. Bill Cassidy (R. LA) is the clear favorite in his party's primary but remember Louisiana's elections are run differently where the primary candidates also get to run in the general leading to a runoff. In a four way primary, Landrieu gets 47% with Cassidy at 20%, Elbert Guillory at 6%, and Rob Maness at 2%. In a three way primary, Landrieu's at 48% to 24% for Cassidy and 5% for Maness.PPP's newest Louisiana poll finds that Mary Landrieu's held her own over the last six months. She leads her main Republican opponent, Bill Cassidy, by a 50/40 margin. That's the exact same thing we found when we last looked at the state in February. Landrieu's approval spread at 46/43 is also little different from 47/45 the last time around.
The key for Landrieu is that she still has a fair amount of crossover support from Republicans. 23% of them approve of her and 23% also support her in a hypothetical match up against Cassidy. That's a lot more support than you see most Democrats managing across party lines these days, particularly in the south.
It's important to note that this 10 point lead for Landrieu is not likely to hold up. 78% of the undecided voters in the race disapprove of President Obama so they're likely to end up in the Republican column, but at this point Cassidy has only 51% name recognition so the undecideds skew conservative. If their Senate votes ended up being a referendum on the President Landrieu's margin would be tighter at 52/48. - PPP, 8/20/13
PPP surveyed 721 Louisiana voters from August 16th to 19th. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 3.6%.
The poll also shows that Landrieu's name recognition not only helps her but could also help her brother if he chooses to run for Governor next year:
All good news indeed but don't forget that the election is still a little while away and anything can happen between now and then. If you would like to get involved or donate to Landrieu's campaign, you can do so here:The Landrieu family name might be the best thing Democrats in Louisiana have going for them. Looking ahead to the 2015 race for Governor, Mitch Landrieu has an early lead over both of the high profile Republicans we tested against him in hypothetical match ups. He's up 45/42 on Senator David Vitter and 45/35 on Lieutenant Governor Jay Dardenne. - PPP, 8/20/13