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Things have not been good Republicans since Uncle Sam shutdown on October 1st, but the polls have been going from bad to worse.

First it started off with Gallup finding the Republican party had the lowest likeability numbers of any political party in the entire 20 year history of their polling. Today, NBC/WSJ released their poll sinking the GOP numbers down to 24%. The news gets worse for the "Grand Ole Party" with 53% blaming them for the shutdown, 70% saying that they are putting party ahead of country. The numbers improved for President Obama whose approval ticked up to 47%. Democrats overall have seen their numbers rise taking a 47-39 point lead on a generic ballot.

The GOP (or more appropriately Ted Cruz) master plan and reason for causing this shutdown and possible default is Obamacare. Recent Rasmussen surveys have shown the law gaining traction at 45-49. The NBC/WSJ poll also found a significant bump in its support since last month. And 39-50 say it's a bad idea to shutdown the government over the Affordable Care Act.

Someone who you may not completely agree with, but like positively will be more likely to earn your vote. This is something I put a extreme emphasis on during the 2012 Election. The NBC/WSJ poll showed the only person currently with positive likeability in Washington is President Obama (47-41). The Democrats are disliked by 1 (39-40). The Republican Party currently not favorable 24-53. Approval is also not good for Congressional Republicans (24-70) versus Democrats (36-59).

The NBC/WSJ shutdown poll asked about government helping solve problems, 52-44 say Uncle Sam should help more. In a 1995 poll with the same question, 32-62 said government should be less involved. Also comparing blame between now and 1995, 53-31 blame GOP-Obama, while 1995 average was 45-30. 46% say this shutdown is "Extremely Serious" while 29% said that last time.

There are some clear takeaways from the new polling data over the past week. First, President Obama approval is rising. Second, support for the healthcare law is inching up. Third, people do not approve of the GOP nor their tactics. And fourth, Americans are supporting the Democrats more and more in generic election questions. None of this is good for the GOP now or in 2014. It is rare, almost impossible, for the Presidents party to do good in mid-term years, but it has and can be done. It's still 13 months until Election Day though.

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Comment Preferences

  •  They could get even more worse... n/t (4+ / 0-)

    Float like a manhole cover, sting like a sash weight! Clean Coal Is A Clinker!

    by JeffW on Thu Oct 10, 2013 at 09:11:32 PM PDT

  •  They need to be driven down to single digits, (5+ / 0-)

    where their indecent governance is a true reflection of their cynical, racist obstruction.

  •  Wait until SS checks are delayed (4+ / 0-)

    If THAT happens, things will get even uglier, real fast. I have to admit, I'd love to see that happen to the Tea Partiers so they can get a taste of what they've done - but it would hurt too many actually good, innocent people along with them.

    And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future. You are interested in the unknown... the mysterious. The unexplainable. That is why you are here.

    by Fordmandalay on Thu Oct 10, 2013 at 09:31:46 PM PDT

  •  to me the key one is the difference (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    chicago minx

    between now and 20 years ago on goverment involvement. Reagan really managed to drive a knife into liberalism by convincing an entire generation that the government is a hidderance and countering that really (at least imo) is the most important thing right now.

    Der Weg ist das Ziel

    by duhban on Thu Oct 10, 2013 at 10:08:05 PM PDT

  •  This gloating is premature. (0+ / 0-)

    We're a year away from the next elections.  In the mantime, Democrats will find a way to rescue the Republican brand, just as they did in 2009-2010.  Remember Obama's nearly 80% approval rating after his inauguration?  Remember the road to the sequester, paved with good intentions on our side and with assurances that Republicans would never be so crazy as to get to that point?

    Sorry for my grumpiness.  It's maddening to see the government being paralyzed piece by piece, following Republican's priorities, and be told that we're winning.

    End the filibuster. Now.  Send the House a budget that reflects Democratic priorities.  Make it clear that it's all or nothing.  Stop funding only the parts of government that Republicans want funded.

    •  Grumpy is right. Inaccurate is too. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      According to Gallup (whose Presidential approval polling goes back to Truman, but I'll take a shorter view)


      1/81   51%   7/81   58%
      1/85   62%   7/85   63%

      BUSH I
      1/89   51%   7/89   66%

      1/93   58%   7/93   41%
      1/97   62%   7/97   58%

      1/01   57%   7/01   56%
      1/05   51%   7/05   49%

      1/09   67%   7/09   56%
      1/13   50%   7/13   49%

      Best EVER at an Inauguration was Eisenhower, beginning his second term, at 73%.

      Best EVER upon taking office, was Lyndon Johnson, after the assassination, at 78%.

      The only place Obama was approaching 80% approval was here at Daily Kos.

      As far as the Sequester goes, a piece of what I wrote back in the halcyon days of the "fiscal cliff" looking back on the SEQUESTER:

      (I realize the GOP has done further damage since then; e.g. stalling the Farm Bill in order to attack SNAP/Food Stamps, etc. But my point is what was in and NOT in the Sequester. This is PART of why they had to go to a Full Shutdown of everything, just to try to get around what they AGREED to EXEMPT in the Sequester.)

      Fri Jan 04, 2013 at 07:03 AM CST
      The Left's Sequester Leverage

      According to the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities HERE what a LOT of people are forgetting (on these boards) or ignoring in DC (ALL of the GOP and most of the media) are the terms of the sequester agreed to in August of 2011.

      First of all, the $1.2 trillion whack in spending  is spread over TEN YEARS, MINUS the interest savings on debt that would NOT be incurred over those same 10 years, bringing the total down to right at $1 Trillion.

      Now, divide that by 10 years and you get $100billion/ year, so the 56 day screaming match we are facing on Fiscal Boulevard is a manageable size for 2013.

      Next, of the $100 Billion, 1/2 is to be from defense spending (which the GOP hates) and 1/2 from non-defense "discretionary" spending (which the Left is hyperventilating about already) BUT with an important proviso!

      According to the 2011 agreement that the White House sold out America for/dissed the FDR legacy for/confirmed his Caver-in-Chief-ness (choose one or add your own) the following programs are EXEMPT from these sequestration cuts:

      >Social Security. Period. Full Stop. (So by just sticking to the sequester language that BOTH McConnell and Boehner agreed to in August, 2011 AND their caucuses agreed to, we can refuse to even talk about Chained CPI since it is EXEMPT.)
      >Medicaid. If it says Medicaid its safe from the sequester. Period. Full Stop.
      > Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP). While the implementation of the Affordable Care Act will bear on this, by the sequester AGREED TO, the GOP is NOT ALLOWED to propose cuts to let sick children get sicker or die, as much as they are itching to do so.
      > SNAP (formerly known as Food Stamps). The GOP AGREED in the sequester to NOT propose cuts to let people go hungry or starve, as much as they are itching to do so.
      > Child nutrition programs. See SNAP, above.
      > Supplemental Security Income (SSI). The GOP AGREED in the sequester to NOT propose cuts to workers who are disabled, sick, or otherwise impaired who are drawing an SSI lifeline, as much as the GOP are itching to do so.
      > Refundable tax credits such as the Child Tax Credit (CTC) and the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC). The EITC and the CTC just got extended and renewed in the fiscal curb votes this week for 5 obviously Obama has BLUNDERED by already locking that into place and not leaving here in the sequester. It also means the GOP has already AGREED to leave these alone, not only in August of 2011, but they RENEWED their promise on January 1!
      > Veteran's benefits. The GOP AGREED in the sequester to NOT propose cuts to the TROOPS who are retired, as much as the chicken hawk yellow dogs are itching to do so.
      > Federal retirements. The GOP AGREED in the sequester to NOT follow the Scotty Walker example from Wisconsin and propose cuts to pensions of people who worked in the federal government for decades while the GOP members were sucking at the teat of Ayn Rand and doing lines of coke with Grover Norquist. (Crazy threesome!)
      >Pell Grants. The GOP AGREED in the sequester deal to NOT propose cuts to college students (who are just being turned into DFHs anyway, right?) by messing with their grant packages and adding to their student loan debt, even though the GOP is itching to do so.
      > Medicare can ONLY be cut by 2%, and ONLY in compensation paid to providers, NOT in benefits to recipients. The "doc fix" in the fiscal curb bill just passed may impact this, but obviously this is ANOTHER BLUNDER by Obama by agreeing to that fix that may take this provision out of the sequester.

             So all this means Obama/Shumer/Sanders/Pelosi/Reid/the Left HAVE THE LEVERAGE TO SAY, "We choose to honor the sequester limits of the August, 2011 deal YOU AGREED TO, since they make sense to begin cutting our long-term debt that you turkeys are mostly responsible for.
             "But YOU stinking bastards on the other side want to WEASEL OUT OF the deal you made in August 2011. YOU were LYING then and we can assume you are LYING NOW. Your word means NOTHING.  
              "Nonetheless, ABIDING BY THE EXEMPTIONS AGREED TO IN 2011 THAT WE ARE NOT THEREBY GOING TO EVEN TALK ABOUT, as far as other NON-Defense cuts that total $50 Billion in 2013, we propose whacking $4Billion right off the bat by ENDING all oil and Gas and coal and nuclear subsidies, since we believe they are no longer infant industries in need of help or protection from foreign competitors.
              "We propose ending $3bill./year in cotton subsidies, $3.5 Billion/yr. in sugar subsidies, another $3billion in wheat subsidies.
              "So far we are $15 billion cut and economic efficiency improved. Agriculture starts with "A" and we have 25 letters left to go......"



      "God has given wine to gladden the hearts of people." Psalm 104:15

      by WineRev on Fri Oct 11, 2013 at 05:03:11 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I will vote (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    next month, on 11/5. I hope all of you will vote too.

    Irony takes a worse beating from Republicans than Wile E. Coyote does from Acme. --Tara the Antisocial Social Worker

    by Youffraita on Fri Oct 11, 2013 at 02:01:57 AM PDT

  •  They are responsible nt (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    nosotros no somos estúpidos

    by a2nite on Fri Oct 11, 2013 at 03:15:57 AM PDT

  •  Note to Republicans: (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Calamity Jean

    We are the government.

    "...and that government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the earth."  

    Lincoln, a Republican, believed that.  The phrase holds enormous power to this moment.

    I think the Democratic Party can appropriate this phrase for the coming midterms.  

    Ads might be forged from it.  Coplanesque soundtrack.  Well-chosen images of women and men from all walks of national life.  Voiceover stating "Rethink who you are.  We are citizens together.  We owe each other respect.   Government is not separate from us; we are the government.  We are government of, by, and for the people."

  •  Just long enough for people to (0+ / 0-)
    It is rare, almost impossible, for the Presidents party to do good in mid-term years, but it has and can be done. It's still 13 months until Election Day though.  
    really begin to love Obamacare.  I swear, the anti-Republican-incumbent advertisements practically write themselves.  

    "My country, right or wrong; if right, to be kept right; and if wrong, to be set right." -- Sen Carl Schurz 1872

    by Calamity Jean on Fri Oct 11, 2013 at 10:50:18 AM PDT

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