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House Majority Leader Eric Cantor is pushing a plan to impose more sanctions on 'Iran. He says it will give the US more leverage in future talks, but he must know that this would derail talks and force Tehran to dig in and do something provocative for the benefit of the  Revolutionary Guard.

It is a reckless ploy that would score all sorts of political points for the GOP but would damage the national interest of the United States.

Twisting the tail of a hated foreign enemy will win many points with the public and will help restore GOP unity. It will delight the NeoCons, who want to bomb Iran--even at the risk of war.

Obama's wants to defuse the Iranian nuke issue peacefully if at all possible. He will have to somehow resist the Cantor plan. Any resistance, no matter how well explained, will diminish his popularity.

With a tough election looming, he can expect many Democrats to back the Cantor effort.

If he has to surrender to th4e hawks and accept the new sanctions, the possibility of having to bomb Iran will grow.

The Republican hawks will take the blame for the victory while investigating Obama for any failures.

If the price of oil rises and the 'Straits of Hormuz are closed, the public will blame Obama.

It is an all win situation for the GOP in part because the public would never understand that new sanctions are a serious provocation. The media's way of attributing the best of intentions to the GOP will also be important.

No one should mention this, but there is a lot of soft racism about and it under cuts the  president and out national interest.

Most of the time, the GOP shows unsurpassed expertise in PR and dominating the discussio0n. The shut-down and default ploys were the exception, but they did serve to activate more of the lunatic fringed.

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Comment Preferences

  •  the President conducts foreign policy (5+ / 0-)

    short of declaring war, and even then.. we all know history. Cantor's pandering will go nowhere in the Senate.

    This Rover crossed over.. Willie Nelson, written by Dorothy Fields

    by Karl Rover on Sat Oct 26, 2013 at 05:55:31 PM PDT

  •  Schumer and Menendez talking this same shit... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mookins, liberte

    It's a bi-partisan effort.  

    Glenn Greenwald promotes far-right fringe extremist group The Oath Keepers - https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/statuses/377787818619064320

    by Jacoby Jonze on Sat Oct 26, 2013 at 06:06:06 PM PDT

  •  If things are coming to a cusp, Obama will (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mookins, wilderness voice

    call the Democratic leaders to the White House and tell them "Don't fuck this up, you assholes"

    "Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity." --M. L. King "You can't fix stupid" --Ron White -6.00, -5.18

    by zenbassoon on Sat Oct 26, 2013 at 06:10:40 PM PDT

  •  Last time I checked, the House of Representatives (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mookins, FG, wilderness voice

    cannot impose sanctions on a country so this is just a political stunt and won't have any real ramifications on negotiations with Iran.

    Let's not let 2014 be anything like 2010. Republicans only win when we stay home!

    by Tim D M on Sat Oct 26, 2013 at 06:17:04 PM PDT

  •  Israel and the Saudis are very concerned with (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    liberte, whizdom, mookins, dallasdunlap, semiot

    any chance of peace in the ME since the status quo suits both of them very well.  For Israeli wingers, it means having to have an immediate enemy in the region.  Without some sort of existential enemy, there is no reason for Israel to continue on its perpetual quasi-war footing.  For example, peace in with Iran could mean some type of rapprochement with Hizbullah or even some progress on the IP front.  Any of these would be disastrous for the ambitions of pols in Israel or the US.

    Then the Saudis are worried about the Arab Spring and a coming Shia' tsunami.  So they help their neighbors such as Yemen, Bahrain, UAE among others to keep their rulers in place while backing up the Egyptian military.  It is all a proxy war since the Saudis miscalculated in pushing the US to take out Saddam.  Saddam was the cork in the bottle of Iranian regional ambitions and his departure meant a possibility that the Shia' crescent might become a reality
    http://www.jpost.com/...

    It is in the best interests of the US to reach some sort of accord with Iran because we have other threats to our national interests that we cannot yet even see.  For example, the radicalization of Islam is a continuing threat and for every radical we kill with a drone, there are a dozen other situations which will breed a dozen other radicals.  For example: http://www.rawstory.com/...

  •  this is so volatile (0+ / 0-)

    Domestic politics needs to stay far away  

  •  Sure!! Just like Team Reagan interfered with .... (0+ / 0-)

    ...the Carter Administration trying to negotiate the release of the hostages in 1980.

    BTW, Treason is Punishable by Death.

  •  Although the House can't impose new sanctions on (0+ / 0-)

    its own, it's very likely that Republican politicians (McCain for example) will conduct their own personal "summit diplomacy" to sabotage US-Iranian negotiations.

    For example, McCain visited Georgia on several occasions and convinced Georgian President Salikaashvili that the US would have his back if he invaded South Ossetia. Salikaashvili took the bait.

    I doubt McCain has given up on his project to drag the US into the Syrian Civil War on the side of the rebels, and I doubt he has given up on his project to commit the US to endorsing and supporting Israeli air strikes on Iran.

    It wouldn't be hard for Republicans to sabotage US-Iranian rapprochement. All it would take is a few hostile and provocative statements to give Khamenei and hard-liners the pretext to withdraw from talks.

     

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