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Chart showing that in addition to the 1.3 million jobs lost during the recession and not replaced, there should have been a growth of 6.6 million jobs, leaving the US with a jobs shortfall of 7.9 million.
Don't let the small ups and downs of the monthly jobs report or weekly unemployment claims distract you from the big picture:
In November 2013, the labor market had 1.3 million fewer jobs than when the recession began in December 2007. Further, because the potential labor force grows every month, the economy would have had to add 6.6 million jobs just to preserve the labor market health that prevailed in December 2007. Counting jobs lost plus jobs that should have been gained to absorb potential new labor market entrants, the U.S. economy had a jobs shortfall of 7.9 million in November 2013.
And that is the context in which Congress let emergency unemployment benefits lapse for people dealing with long-term unemployment. Republicans like Rand Paul would tell you that unemployment insurance somehow makes people less likely to look for or find jobs, but the reality is that it makes them more likely to look—the jobs just aren't there. As you can see in this chart.

Email your member of Congress now and demand that they restore benefits to the Emergency Unemployment Compensation program.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Labor on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 01:00 PM PST.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  7.9 million jobs and I'll need three of them /nt (11+ / 0-)

    Warning - some snark may be above‽ (-9.50; -7.03)‽ eState4Column5©2013 "I’m not the strapping young Muslim socialist that I used to be" - Barack Obama 04/27/2013

    by annieli on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 01:02:33 PM PST

  •  Should pair that graph with a worker productivity (12+ / 0-)

    ... graph.

    Productivity is way up, as well. The increase in productivity is a combination of workers putting in more hours (for the same pay), and an investment in technology that cuts workforce in favor of automation. Back office automation on HR functions (payroll, taxes, tracking health benefits, etc.) has slashed positions in companies all across the U.S. Any company selling automation software for back office functions have had big years the last five years.

    The longer hours for the same pay causes another hit on worker compensation and contributes to the flat or declining rates of compensation.

    "Bob Johnson doesn't have special privileges, because really, why would I entrust that guy with ANYTHING?" - kos, November 9, 2013

    by Bob Johnson on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 01:12:16 PM PST

  •  The recession was short for the 1% (13+ / 0-)

    Everybody else is still in a recession.

    Many still looking.

    Many who got jobs got lower wages or part time jobs.

    Of those who didn't loose their jobs many have not gotten any raises.

    Daily Kos an oasis of truth. Truth that leads to action.

    by Shockwave on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 01:33:21 PM PST

    •  Public school employees in my district (11+ / 0-)

      at all levels except the superintendent and staff have not received any raise at all since 2006.

      •  My brother, teacher, has had pay CUTS. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        Several years his nominal pay stayed the same, but his health insurance and mandatory pension contribution increased. Thus his take-home pay has been going down, down.

        "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

        by HeyMikey on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 04:27:07 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  right (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:

          as of last year our district no longer subsidizes insurance, although the state still does at a much reduced rate. When I started in '97 it was free for a single policy. Now I pay around 150 a month for my single premium. Which is still pretty good, but the point about wages going down with each decrease in subsidy and increase in premium is a legitimate one. Not to mention the increasing everyday cost of living makes what you do bring home go a lot faster.
          Everyone I know has another part time job at least.

          Our district also stopped the Board of Ed contribution to retirement that was in addition to the TRS.
          It was supposed to be for only one year, but that was also in 2006 and they haven't reinstated that policy. That's making it's very slow way through the courts now because it was the main selling point to us voting to go out of Social Security decades ago.

  •  On this and related information... (7+ / 0-)

    ...from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and a poll of 150 economists:

    When no one is employed in any paying job anywhere in the whole fucking country, a dip back into the recession will be admitted along with an official unemployment rate of 19%.

    Suggestion for Facebook: 50 free "starter friends" automatically as soon as you sign up.

    by dov12348 on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 01:40:33 PM PST

  •  Expect flood of military vets on market soon! (4+ / 0-)

    In DIRECT response to SEQUESTRATION the military has announced immediate reductions in force (RIF).

    The already failing labor market is destined for yet another major setback with the RIFs to become effective within the next  6 months.

    Air Force personnel chief:

    The across-the-board budget cuts known as the sequester are squeezing the service, and have forced it to announce the most sweeping force reduction plans since the end of the Cold War. Beyond staffing levels, everything from promotion rates to base amenities could be bitten by the sequester.

    Harsh deadlines for Air Force:

    [retention board convenes in June]
    Airmen eligible to be considered by the retention board can apply for voluntary separation (or retirement if they are eligible) in lieu of board consideration. Airmen approved must separate by Jan. 31, 2015, or retire by Feb. 1, 2015. AFPC will accept applications Jan. 14 through April 3, 2014.

    So, for personnel told they're eligible for retention board are on a 90 day notice to submit for voluntary separation to get separation pay and 180 day medical coverage for self and family or risk all at retention board that will operate basically on quota requirements.

    If you thought labor market was improving ...

    *Austerity is the opposite of Prosperity*

    by josmndsn on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 03:22:54 PM PST

  •  Hole left by (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    akze29, HeyMikey

    Private Equity
    Vulture Capitalists

    It is well that war is so terrible -- lest we should grow too fond of it. Robert E. Lee

    by ksuwildkat on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 04:36:11 PM PST

  •  The recession is .... (7+ / 0-)

    ...only over for the rich people.... So it is over.   They got what they wanted.  A weakened or eliminated middle class and a desparate lower class willing to do anything...but revolt.

    Kiss it goodbye.  Money has won and they own the world.

    We Glory in war, in the shedding of human blood. What fools we are.

    by delver rootnose on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 04:43:08 PM PST

  •  The recession isn't over w/o a job recovery (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Buckeye Nut Schell, akze29

    FUCK the stock market which is being propped up by the Fed. FUCK the evil TGOP who don't care.

    We have to replace them.

    nosotros no somos estúpidos

    by a2nite on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 04:49:31 PM PST

  •  100% with restoring ExtUB (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Brooke In Seattle, akze29

    but our focus really needs to be on restoring jobs, neh?

    That this isn't even on the table, when politicians in both Parties pretend to want to win elections, tells you that our political system has put the 'mock' in Democracy.

    What we're getting is 'when we can compete in the global marketplace with slaves, prisoners, children, and twenty-cent an hour workers, we'll see the jobs coming back' and of course, the Free Trade Agreements conducted in secret. After all the other free trade agreements which have exported entire industries (some to nations the military classes as 'enemies') and lost us millions of jobs.

    Actual Democrats: the surest, quickest, route to More Democrats. And actually addressing our various emergencies.

    by Jim P on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 05:11:17 PM PST

  •  Thanks! Very useful graph. nt (0+ / 0-)
  •  I'm tired of Rand Paul. He's a nincompoop. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    a2nite, Brooke In Seattle

    For that matter, I am tired of the non-sequiturs delivered in all-knowing tones that characterize the input of today's RW to the national public-policy and human-rights discourse in this country.

    It's here they got the range/ and the machinery for change/ and it's here they got the spiritual thirst. --Leonard Cohen

    by karmsy on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 05:27:28 PM PST

  •  I hate the power the House has (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    We're still in a recession I don't care what is presented to us.  And, I hate that the U.S. House Republicans have been able to block every jobs bill presented by the House Democrats and the President.  

    I'm pretty sure that's what happening, right?

    I can't wait for democrats to get in power in the U.S. House so jobs will flow like water.

    Let's work hard to make that happen, everyone !

    •  Don't forget filibuster. (0+ / 0-)

      Unless we either get 60 Senate seats or change the filibuster rule, the GOP can still block essentially everything.

      The recent filibuster change is only for appointments, not legislation.

      "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

      by HeyMikey on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 04:29:13 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Question (0+ / 0-)

    Where is the data coming from for the light blue line in the graph?

    •  I dunno, but (0+ / 0-)

      it looks like a (near) extension of the run-up to the recession.

      If so, it is bogus since that run-up was a bubble.
      We now have more vacant houses than we have homeless people.

      I don't actually believe that the 1% are out to get us.  I believe they are ignorant, arrogant and incompetent.

      "Our problem is not that the glass is half empty or half full, but that the 1% claims that it is their glass." ---Stolen from a post on Daily Kos

      by jestbill on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 07:42:44 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Light blue line = growth in labor force. (0+ / 0-)

        I assume we're discussing the first graph.

        Because of population growth, the working-age population grows steadily. Even with the ongoing retirement of the Baby Boomers, the working-age population is still growing. Estimates vary from around 65,000 per month to 150,000 per month NET new people looking for jobs.

        Robert Reich uses 125,000 per month.

        In other words, if we add 125,000 jobs per month, then we reduce the number of unemployed people by zero.

        "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

        by HeyMikey on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 04:34:58 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  Why do we keep saying (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Brooke In Seattle

    things like 'the recession may be over?'

    The banks have a stranglehold on the political process. Mike Whitney

    by dfarrah on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 06:22:18 PM PST

  •  The trap is baited, and we're suckers for cheese (0+ / 0-)

    "Jobs" that require food-stamps and rent subsidies can become a dime a dozen and the economy is still broken.

    The job numbers are for suckers. Or people who have accepted the "new-normal" with a whimper instead of a collective fist.

    Dear future generations: Please accept our apologies, We were roaring drunk on petroleum -Kurt Vonnegut

    by Anthony Page aka SecondComing on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 06:24:54 PM PST

  •  40 Years of falling income for US men ! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    For U.S. Men, 40 Years of Falling Income
    By Mark Gimein | Dec. 31, 2013

    2013 is ending as it began, with inequality at the top of the U.S. political agenda. The minimum wage and the end of extended unemployment benefits are high in the headlines.

    Amid the debate about inequality, there’s an underplayed point about the current economy: average workers have not only been earning less than those at the top. Many have been earning less, full stop. Seen over a period of three or four decades, the trend is striking. Take a look at the chart below of the decline in real earnings for U.S. men in three age groups — 25-34, 35-44, and 45-54.

    In inflation-adjusted dollars, a typical 35-44 year old man earned $54,163 back in 1972. Now a man of that age earns $45,224, or 17 percent less. For the 25-34 age bracket, the loss is even greater. You often hear of income having stayed “flat” for many years. On the household level, that’s true. Women’s incomes have increased (a good thing), and many more women have entered the workforce. That’s made up for the drop in men’s incomes, and the median household income has risen a little since 1972.

    The bottom line is that as two-income families have replaced single-earner ones, the median family has barely moved forward. And the single-earner family has fallen behind. Political speechwriters like to pull out the trope of asking whether our children will do better than us. When it comes to the folks who reached adulthood forty years ago, it’s not really a question anymore. We have the answer: their sons (though, fortunately, not their daughters) are working just as hard or harder for less money.

    American Heart Association: Diet Soda can cause type 2 Diabetes. "Circulation" July 23, 2007. Read it for yourself.

    by jeffrey789 on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 07:08:22 PM PST

    •  200 years or more ago, (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      someone calculated that wages (at that time) reliably fell to whatever was the minimum that allowed people to survive.

      If the custom was for men to work for wages, those wages would just barely support a family.  If women drew wages, the rates would fall so that both men and women together made enough to survive.

      Welcome!  We've made it all the way back to Merry Old England!

      "Our problem is not that the glass is half empty or half full, but that the 1% claims that it is their glass." ---Stolen from a post on Daily Kos

      by jestbill on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 07:48:39 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Thank you for focusing on this. (0+ / 0-)

    A critical aspect of the economic situation, often overlooked. Good diary.

    "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

    by HeyMikey on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 04:25:09 AM PST

  •  Time to face reality (0+ / 0-)

    We need fewer workers and that will continue.

    The only jobs being created are service jobs and that's been true for 25 years.  

    We need to pay more for the jobs we do have and begin to look at the idea of a 32 hour work week and an earlier retirement age.

    Education is NOT the answer.  We can educate until the cows come home but that will not create more jobs.

  •  Job #1 (0+ / 0-)

    Until the jobs come back, none of our economic problems are going to get better. We're a consumer-driven economy. We need people to buy stuff. When people don't buy stuff, companies don't make money. When companies don't make money... round and round we go.

    I've tried everything to get a job. I've applied everywhere from research positions at Duke and Notre Dame to part-time jobs at Office Max and Best Buy to volunteer work with the National Park Service. Nothing. I've gone back to school and earned a master's degree. Nothing. I'm so over it I'm not even writing about the total suckage that is long-term unemployment anymore. Nobody listens. Nobody cares.

    "Know that it is easier to get into something than it is to get out of it." - Donald Rumsfeld

    by teej on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 05:21:45 AM PST

  •  IT'S NOT JUST the *number* of jobs... (0+ / 0-)

    but the quality of jobs that has not returned. Not just in terms of pay, but in terms of full-time vs. part-time, job security, job safety, corporate/business cultural sanity and of course benefits.

    ACA and its successors will take care of a huge chunk of that, but there is still the whole Scrooge culture that has usurped the US economic system that must be visited with a few night "ghosts".

    It ain't over, but we have to concentrate on the whole picture, not just number of jobs.

    Part-time job ≠ Full-time job (40 hours or more), for starters.

    Ugh. --UB.

    "Daddy, every time a bell rings, a Randian Libertaria­n picks up his Pan Am tickets for the Libertaria­n Paradise of West Dakota!"

    by unclebucky on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 07:02:55 AM PST

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