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Hi! This is my first diary on DK. I'm an 18 year old gay democrat from SC-04. I've taken an interest in House races this year. I of course think we can take back the house if we fight hard like we did in 2006. Now, I acknowledge all of the Jumpstart candidates have great potential of being elected, but this diary is for underdog races that have great potential to turn blue in a wave or if the right candidate wins the nomination. Hopefully the DCCC will add these candidates to Red to Blue. Let's get started!

CA-25: Lee Rogers has proven to be a fundraising animal. Bringing in more cash than even some top tier candidates. He received 44% of the vote here in 2012 which isn't bad against popular incumbent Buck McKeon, who is expected to retire, helping Rogers with his odds in winning.

FL-15: Alan Cohn certainly is not in the same position as Rogers, yet in 2010 incumbent Dennis Ross only won 48% percent of the vote yet faced no Democratic opponent in 2012. I could be wrong and redistricting could have made this district extremely Republican. But shouldn't we have a candidate to test the waters? I think Cohn is the right candidate for the job. Not to mention he is an ex-TV News Anchor so name recognition will be on his side. He has also raised a decent amount of cash to be an underdog.                                    

IA-04: The reason why we still have the atrocious Steve King in the House is because Christie Vilsack was seen as a carpetbagger, yet was able to garner 45%. Imagine what Jim Mowrer could do and he's from the district! Joe Biden has been helping him campaign and I'm surprised he wasn't part of Jumpstart. He has raised a lot of cash and has a real shot at unseating King.

IN-02: I haven't seen Joe Bock's fundraising numbers but he seems to be a legitimate candidate to unseat Jackie Walorski. Walorski narrowly won in this swingy district in 2012 and probably rode the Governors coattails. It shouldn't take much to unseat her, she has been voting relatively to the right rather than being a centrist which should make this seat an easy pickup for Democrats.

KY-06: I feel like this seat has been overlooked. Elisabeth Jensen is a great candidate to challenge Andy Barr. Democrats will be coming out the wazoo to vote for Grimes in the Senate race which will help this swing district return back to blue. A lot of women will be voting for Grimes which in turn will also help Jensen.

MN-02: Mike Obermueller is running against John Kline, but this time Senate and Governor races will boost Democratic turnout and he can actually have a decent shot at taking out Kline and expose his right wing voting record while Kline attempts to fool people by campaigning as a moderate.

NJ-02: 2014 is shaping up to be a possibly good year for NJ Democrats. Bill Hughes Jr. will challenge Frank LoBiondo and, with the right campaign, Hughes can unseat him. It helps that Hughes's father is a past congressman. Cory Bookers's Senate race should boost Democratic prospects here.

OH-14: Michael Wager has been a great campaigner in this district despite not much attention from the DCCC. David Joyce has been raising more than Wager but Wager has been traveling all over the district. In a midterm where recognition is key, Wager is making sure he becomes a household name.

VA-10: This open seat, vacated by retiring Frank Wolf, is quite swingy. John Foust stands a great chance to turn this district blue. It appears as though potential republican candidates don't hold much water here so things look great for Foust.

WV-01: Most would doubt a Democrat would be able to defeat David McKinley in this relatively red district. But Glen Gainer has enough experience and name recognition in the state to run a great campaign against McKinley. Let's not forget McKinley barely won here just two years prior in 2010. This is definitely going to be a difficult race to win but West Virginia is shaping to be a state to watch in 2014 anyway.

WV-02: With Shelley Moore Capito running for Senate, this seat becomes another great pickup opportunity for Democrats with the incredibly well funded Nick Casey. His Republican challenger, Alex Mooney, is likely to be portrayed as a carpetbagger since he just moved there from Maryland, giving Casey lots of ammunition.

All of these candidates can be found on ActBlue if you would like to donate to their campaigns and help take back the House in 2014!

I hope you enjoyed my first diary! I will do one for Senate and one for Governors races as well!

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Comment Preferences

  •  Good first diary, and welcome (if you're new)! (6+ / 0-)

    Might I recommend spacing out each district in your post, maybe adding a little bold? It'd definitely improve readability.

    I like the WV analyses. I didn't know we had such good candidates there.

  •  Congratulations on your first diary! (5+ / 0-)

    I agree with the previous post, please put spaces between the paragraphs. It is very difficult for my old eyes to read the way it is. (You can edit the diary, and publish the changes.)

    I live in Florida-15 and was excited to learn that somebody is actually running against Dennis Ross in 2014. Technically there are more Democrats registered here than Republicans, but for some reason the Republicans keep winning. Can't figure it out. Unfortunately, I haven't heard of Alan Cohn. So I have some research to do.

    “Mitt Romney is the only person in America who looked at the way this Congress is behaving and said, ‘I want the brains behind THAT operation.’ ” — Tom Perriello

    by hungrycoyote on Thu Jan 02, 2014 at 09:50:44 PM PST

    •  White space, cleanness, and godliness (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      hungrycoyote

      Well, maybe two out of 3, but yes, white space is a good thing in writing for the web.

      And I agree as well -- excellent first diary.

      Quote of the week: "They call themselves bipartisan because they're able to buy members of both parties," (R. Eskow, Campaign for America's Future.)

      by mbayrob on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 12:26:21 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Alan Cohn (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      hungrycoyote, TrueBlueDem

      This is taken from Wikipedia (no idea of the accuracy of course with it being Wiki but maybe to help you familiarize yourself with him.)

      Cohn owns his own television production company, and started reporting on Polk County, Florida in 1992. Cohn has worked for WFTS-Channel 28 and ABC. Cohn won the Peabody Award for a multi-year investigation of quality control issues at Sikorsky Aircraft. While at WTNH, Cohn uncovered a scandal involving DMV employees illegally selling driver's licenses, as well as security gaps in Metro North. Cohn has also worked for NBC, New England Cable News, WTIC-TV, WBBG-TV, and WAMI-TV in Miami, Florida.

      Cohn is running for Congress in Florida's 15th congressional district. The seat is currently held by Republican Congressman Dennis A. Ross. On announcing his candidacy, Cohn stated, "People remember what I did in this area in terms of exposing political corruption and scams and frauds."

  •  Apart from FL-15 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    hungrycoyote

    Which is very Republican at R+7 with no recent history of down-ballot Democratic-ness, all of these are spot on.

    23 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

    by wwmiv on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 09:47:18 AM PST

  •  Great first diary! Just a tip: if you want more to (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    hungrycoyote, randallt

    reach more people, put in "DK Elections" in your tabs, so that it's visible on the sidebar to DKE readers.

    I have a couple more districts I'd throw in there, but this was good!

    "Go Forth in Love and Peace" --Be Kind to Dogs -- And Vote Democratic" --Dying words of Senator Thomas Eagleton, 2007

    by BlueSasha on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 10:03:58 AM PST

  •  Nice first diary! (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    hungrycoyote, BlueSasha, randallt

    I like anyone who uses the phrase 'out the wazoo'.

    (-8.38, -4.72), CT-02 (home), ME-01 (college) "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, or the one." -Spock

    by ProudNewEnglander on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 11:11:06 AM PST

  •  Great first diary! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    randallt

    I like that you added CA-25, that area has been trending Democratic pretty quickly and since the Dems were close there in 2012 despite not contesting it shows we have a real shot there. Dem turnout in CA is notorious for dropping in midterms but if the DCCC really steps up and fights for that seat, then we have a real shot.

    If not 2014, then it will definitely be competitive in 2016.

    For more election analysis and redistricting maps, check out my blog http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/ CA-2 (former CA-6) College in CA-37. Go Trojans!!

    by Alibguy on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 01:02:07 PM PST

  •  Great diary young man! (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    randallt

    Go get em. Good analysis and good writing. Congratulations.

    Another Bernie Sanders Gay Democrat.

    by brunoboy on Fri Jan 03, 2014 at 07:37:35 PM PST

  •  Way too optimistic (0+ / 0-)

    Hughes has no shot at beating LiBiondo outside of a wave.

    And saying Comstock can hold no water against Foust when she would start out as the favorite is pretty wrong.

    Also what makes you think Democrats will be voting out the wazoo to vote for Grimes in that district when McConnell is the favorite to win.  How big will her margin really be there?

    32/D/M/NY-01/SSP&RRH: Tekzilla

    by Socks The Cat on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 09:47:33 AM PST

    •  Whoa (0+ / 0-)

      Talk about pessimism. Both VA-10 and KY-Sen are tossups; neither Comstock (who hasn't even announced yet) nor McConnell are favorites.

      And in Kentucky, even if McConnell does win, Democrats will still be voting out the wazoo for Grimes. Also, KY-6 is more Democratic than the state as a whole, and Grimes is from there, so she is likely to win that district. After all, McConnell is basically the face of the Republican Party in the Senate, and taking him out would be a huge win for the Dems.

      (-8.38, -4.72), CT-02 (home), ME-01 (college) "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, or the one." -Spock

      by ProudNewEnglander on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 01:53:43 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Couldn't (0+ / 0-)

        Have said it any better my self. With a pessimistic attitude we mine as well forget 2014, leave this site and come back in 2016 with that kind of attitude.

        18 year old gay Democrat living bright blue in deep red SC-04.

        by SCDem4 on Sat Jan 04, 2014 at 02:13:08 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

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