Not sure where he gets his calculations (safe to say, not from Nate Silver).
Former mayor Rudy Giuliani said it's an even bet that Chris Christie knew about the orders to snarl traffic on the George Washington Bridge.
"The reality is, even if you are a hands-on mayor or governor or chief executive, at best you must know about 10 or 20 percent of what's going on," Giuliani said in the interview with Rivera on Wednesday. "Otherwise, you'd never get through the day. I was very hands-on, and there was lots of stuff I didn't know, and lots of things either that went wrong or right, that I would find out about afterwards."
May be true. May also be true that Rudy played similar games to Christie:
His successor Michael Bloomberg later said, "Giuliani never got his hands around the school system. There is no question that it's gotten worse the last eight years, not better." Giuliani has been accused of diverting funds for school repair from poor districts to middle-class ones. A large debt left after the Giuliani administration has resulted in less money to spend on education, according to some sources.
Anywho, this part is most certainly wrong:
"It's fifty-fifty, it leaves you with no possible way of knowing did she discuss it with him or didn't she discuss it with him," said Giuliani, in an interview with Geraldo Rivera on 77 WABC.
Which he basically contradicts, later in the article:
But Giuliani has also said that Christie's staunch denial "has put his political career completely at risk if it turns out there is some evidence that he knew about it."
Rudy talks out of all sides of his mouth. Hey, it's a BIG mouth. It can handle it.