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Leading Off:

CA-33: Another veteran California Democrat is saying goodbye after a 40-year career in Congress. Los Angeles-area Rep. Henry Waxman, who put together a storied legislative track record during his long tenure, announced on Thursday that he won't seek re-election this fall. Along with the Bay Area's George Miller, who is also retiring, Waxman was one of just two remaining "Watergate babies" who served continuously since storming into office in 1974, in a backlash against the Republican Party following Richard Nixon's resignation. The Washington Post sums up several of his most notable accomplishments:

Among that legislation were laws to make infant formula safer and more nutritious (1980), bring low-priced generic drugs to market (1984), clean the air (1990), provide services and medical care to people with AIDS (1996), and reform and modernize the Postal Service (2006). He was also instrumental in the passage of the Affordable Care Act.
Waxman was also one of the chief architects of the cap-and-trade legislation to fight climate change that Republicans killed off a few years ago (even though the idea originated with their party). Now, though, Waxman simply says, "This is a good time to move on and have another chapter if I am to do anything after Congress." He also added that he's "not leaving because I think House Democrats have no chance to retake the House."

Waxman's 33rd District, which went for Barack Obama by a 61-37 margin, is safely Democratic. Waxman did suffer a scare last cycle, winning by just 8 points—the closest election of his career by far—against self-funding Republican-turned-independent businessman Bill Bloomfield. That may have been partly caused by rust, but it was also very likely due to redistricting, which left Waxman with a much less liberal district that was half-new to him.

Head below the fold to learn more about who might succeed Waxman.

Indeed, Bloomfield may well run again. A couple of weeks ago, he said he was still making up his mind but noted that last cycle, he didn't decide until March, so he feels he has plenty of time. He's also still sending out mailers and maintaining an active email list, so Bloomfield seems very much like a candidate-in-waiting.

There's another independent in the mix, author and spiritualist Marianne Williamson, who'd been running to Waxman's left (if such a thing is even possible) before he announced his retirement. But apart from Bloomfield, potential successors are going to hail from the deep pool of Democrats who have been waiting a long time for this seat to open up.

One candidate has already declared: former L.A. City Controller Wendy Greuel, who lost a bruising race for mayor last year during which Bill Clinton campaigned for her. Greuel is also a former DreamWorks executive and therefore has Hollywood connections. But she almost certainly won't have the field to herself. Some other possibilities (in alphabetical order):

Assemblyman Richard Bloom ("considering it")

Santa Monica Mayor Willie Brien (reportedly considering)

Activist Sandra Fluke ("strongly considering")

State Sen. Ted Lieu ("seriously looking" and promising a decision Friday)

State Sen. Fran Pavley (will "think about it" but sounds reluctant)

L.A. County Supervisor Zev Yaroslavsky (sounds uninterested but may be "weighing a run," per consultant)

Others getting Great Mentioner treatment: term-limited Secretary of State Debra Bowen; L.A. City Council Members Paul Koretz and Bob Blumenfield; former state Assemblywoman Betsy Butler; radio host Matt Miller; and even former Rep. Howard Berman, who lost a bitter redistricting-induced battle against fellow Rep. Brad Sherman last cycle.

Former state Sen. Sheila Kuehl and former Santa Monica Mayor Bobby Shriver are saying no; both are sticking with their plans to run for the powerful L.A. County Board of Supervisors. And Rep. Julia Brownley is staying put. Brownley represents the neighboring (and much swingier) 26th District, but her old Assembly district overlapped more with the 33rd, so a switch was conceivable.

The real question for Democrats is whether they can put forward a candidate who can run strongly enough in the southern part of the district, which is more heavily Republican. You can see that illustrated well on this interactive map of the 2012 presidential election, in the red blister at the bottom that covers the region known as the South Bay. What's more, this area is not part of the city of Los Angeles, so a candidate known primarily there (such as Greuel) would have to work hard to make herself known district-wide. If not, Bloomfield could very well pull off a win this time.

Senate:

LA-Sen: Rasmussen: Mary Landrieu (D-inc): 40, Bill Cassidy (R): 44; Landrieu: 42, Paul Hollis (R): 42.

MS-Sen: A new pro-Thad Cochran super PAC called Mississippi Conservatives is airing a new ad attacking state Sen. Chris McDaniel, who is challenging Cochran in the GOP primary. The spot lambastes McDaniel as a flip-flopping chameleon who at various times either favored or opposed tort reform, government debt, and the Common Core education standards. There's no word on the size of the buy.

NC-Sen: He's not quite last in, first out—physician Edward Kryn joined the race more recently—but less than three months after entering the GOP primary for Senate, radio host Bill Flynn is signing off.

NH-Sen: The ostensibly bipartisan communications firm Purple Strategies has released a new poll of New Hampshire, and they find Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen tied with former Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown at 44. That's the best result for Brown in all public polling to date, and the first that doesn't feature Shaheen leading. Purple Strategies doesn't have much of a track record, though, and almost all of their previous research has been on the presidential level.

It appears they only published four polls from October onward in 2012, and all leaned in the Republican direction. Their final Virginia poll had the race tied (Obama won by 4); Colorado had Obama up 1 (he won by 5); and Ohio had Obama ahead 2 (he won by 3). Their final national poll had Obama beating Romney by just 1 point, when of course he prevailed by 4. So nothing too egregious, I suppose, and the sample is small, but the misses were all in one direction.

OK-Sen-B, -Gov: Conservative former state Sen. Randy Brogdon announced last month that he'd challenge Gov. Mary Fallin in the GOP primary, but now he says he's considering a switch to this fall's special election for the Senate. Brogdon previously ran against Fallin in 2010 when the governor's race was open, losing the Republican nomination 55-39.

VA-Sen: Dear Republican voters who are disgusted with your party and want to make a big show of acting like you won't support it anymore by telling pollsters you're going to vote third-party but are actually full for it and will of course come home in the end and pull the GOP lever like always: good news! Libertarian Robert Sarvis, who pulled 6.5 percent in last year's race for governor after polling in the double digits, says he'll run for Senate this fall. So watch out, analysts, because Sarvis may once again queer the results of public polls, or to put things another way: Republicans in mirror may be closer than they appear.

Gubernatorial:

CA-Gov: A new survey from the Public Policy Institute of California (aka PPIC) finds Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown manhandling Assemblyman Tim Donnelly 53-17.

FL-Gov: Quinnipiac has much more positive numbers for Democrat Charlie Crist than PPP recently did, finding the former governor up 46-38 over Rick Scott, the man who succeeded him. Unlike PPP, who found Crist's margin dropping from 12 points to just 2, Quinnipiac sees no erosion for Crist, who held a 47-40 lead in November. So who's right? PPP's crosstabs were kinda wonky, but there isn't much other data out there to compare against. The only other recent survey, from Democratic pollster Hamilton Strategies, had Crist up 5, which splits the difference.

MA-Gov: Purple Strategies also has a poll of the open Massachusetts gubernatorial race. They find Democratic Attorney General Martha Coakley beating 2010 GOP nominee Charlie Baker 46-36, though Baker edges state Treasurer Steve Grossman 35-34. Barack Obama's favorability rating is just 49-42.

NE-Gov: Seriously? State Attorney General Jon Bruning gave up on the idea of a gubernatorial bid last month, but now—with the filing deadline just over two weeks away—he says he's reconsidering. Bruning already has two failed bids for Senate under his belt, but the Republican field isn't especially impressive, considering that the nominal frontrunner is Pete Ricketts, another failed Senate candidate. So who knows? Maybe Bruning would have a decent shot.

PA-Gov: Businessman Tom Wolf is the second Democrat to go on the air in the Pennsylvania governor's race, but unlike Katie McGinty, he's actually putting real money behind his spot: $370,000 according to PoliticsPA, for a weeklong statewide buy. The ad itself is a minute long and actually pretty appealing. Wolf and his family members talk about his background, including the cabinetry company he built to make his fortune (and where he shares profits with his employees), as well as his service to the state as revenue director. It's hard to make biographical spots feel compelling and authentic, but this one does a decent job.

House:

CA-11: Well, it's pretty much all over. Not only has just about every major Democrat deferred to state Sen. Mark DeSaulnier, but now the very man DeSaulnier's hoping to succeed, retiring Rep. George Miller, has endorsed him as well.

FL-13: A trio of Republican groups are reportedly set to pour $1.2 million into the special election in Florida's 13th on behalf of lobbyist David Jolly. According to Politico, American Crossroads and the American Action Network are each spending $500,000, while the YG Network is contributing $200,000 to the cause, for television ads and mailers. The same pieces notes, though, that Democrats have already reserved $3 million in TV time while Republicans had only reserved $900,000, but that's presumably not counting this newest infusion of money.

Jolly's also running a second general election ad in which he basically just goes tit-for-tat with his imagined version of Alex Sink: He wants to "balance the budget," she wants "government to spend more"; he wants lower taxes, she wants higher taxes; she supports Obamacare, he doesn't. You get the idea.

NJ-02: Even though state Sen. Jeff Van Drew just said he wouldn't run for Congress, it looks like attorney Bill Hughes will have company in the Democratic primary anyway. Former White House aide and Obama campaign staffer Dave Cole says he's entering the race to take on GOP Rep. Frank LoBiondo. However, Cole is only 28 years old, and the Philadelphia Inquirer says he "recently played a key role in developing healthcare.gov," which, fairly or not, is pretty much the worst possible item to sport on your résumé this year aside from West Virginia water quality inspector and Justin Bieber life coach.

NY-04: The DCCC got their huckleberry: Nassau County District Attorney Kathleen Rice, by far the strongest candidate on either side, announced on Wednesday that she'd seek the seat held by retiring Rep. Carolyn McCarthy. There's a good chance Rice's entry will deter prominent Republicans from giving the race a go, and she's also likely to have the Democratic field to herself as well, seeing as McCarthy has already endorsed her.

VA-08: State Sen. Adam Ebbin is the latest Democrat to enter the phenomenally crowded race for retiring Rep. Jim Moran's seat, while Alexandria Mayor Bill Euille has confirmed earlier reports that he, too, is running, and so has former Lt. Gov. Don Beyer. They join Dels. Mark Sickles, Charniele Herring, and Patrick Hope, and 2012 candidate Bruce Shuttleworth—and there are still more candidates considering!

Other Races:

IN Ballot: If you've been following the saga of the proposed constitutional amendment to outlaw same-sex marriage in Indiana, things have gotten pretty crazy, and the measure's in something like a state of quantum superposition right now. Here's the story: The state House finally passed the amendment (following some legislative shenanigans at the committee level), but only after language that would have also banned civil unions was stripped out. Now the bill goes before the state Senate, but Republicans have a serious problem to contend with, because the only way an amendment can get on the ballot is if it's passed by two consecutive legislatures.

So if the Senate follows suit and also removes the anti-civil unions provision, then suddenly we're dealing with a brand new amendment. The clock would therefore reset, meaning that the next legislature (the one that will convene in 2015) would also have to vote in favor of the amendment—and it wouldn't go before voters until Nov. 2016. That's a dicey proposition, given that attitudes keep shifting toward greater acceptance of marriage equality.

On the other hand, if the Senate insists on keeping the civil unions ban (and can actually pass it), then the amendment will ultimately have to get voted on by the House a second time. That's also a dicey proposition, since members of the lower chamber clearly didn't want to vote on legislation that included such expansive restrictions. So if the Senate sticks to a hard line, it's not impossible that the measure could die in the House.

But if the maximal version does somehow pass both bodies and make it on to the ballot this year, then Republicans will have to sell an extremely conservative law to the public. And thanks to this whole pathetic affair, the amendment's unpopular anti-civil unions component will receive even greater scrutiny going forward. Given that polling already shows a very uncertain future for the amendment, the Indiana GOP is in an unenviable position. Every option they face sucks for them—and that's good news.

KY State House: One legislative chamber that's certain to be hotly contested this fall is the Kentucky state House, one of the only bodies in the South still held by Democrats. The party's majority is quite narrow—just 54 seats to 46 for the GOP—and of course the Bluegrass State has trended consistently redder for quite some time. However, only 45 seats will actually be contested by both parties, and Republicans failed to field candidates against several Democratic incumbents who sit in difficult districts. It will still be a very difficult hold for Team Blue, but the landscape at least looks somewhat less tough than it could have been.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 05:00 AM PST.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Sandra Fluke (10+ / 0-)

    man that would be awesome to see here get that seat.

    can you imagine rush ! It might even cause health problems for the man !

    Go Sandra Fluke !

  •  Run on Strengthening Social Security (7+ / 0-)
    Pryor’s campaign said that the advertisement that began airing Wednesday was directed not at the retirement age but at the benefit losses that would accumulate for seniors on Medicare and Social Security using a chained CPI measure for inflation as the RSC proposed.

    President Barack Obama’s 2013 budget also proposed using the chained CPI to reduce long-term costs for the programs. Pryor’s campaign said he opposes Obama on that issue as well.

    The Pryor campaign said the senator has worked to strengthen Social Security and Medicare, supporting efforts to lower prescription drug costs and give seniors greater access to preventive care.
    - See more at: http://swtimes.com/...

    Move Single Payer Forward? Join 18,000 Doctors of PNHP and 185,000 member National Nurses United

    by divineorder on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 06:17:28 AM PST

  •  Jerry Brown beating... (6+ / 0-)

    Cowboy hat wearing tea-bircher Tim Donnelly 53-17? What a shock! /sarcasm.

    Maybe Timmy can join Chuck DeVore in Texas after he gets his ass handed to him by Jerry, btw, the best Governor in the country, by far.

  •  Nonsense (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, pademocrat, Zornorph, fenway49

    He clearly IS leaving because he thinks House Democrats have no chance to retake the House. Come on, give up the chance to be committee chairman again at the tail end of his career? Seriously? He read the tea leaves and concluded that Dems have next to no chance to retake the house given the party's still way too unaggressive political strategy, and gerrymandering.

    Obama's failure to aggressively take on the GOP on day one will reverberate for years to come. You don't make friends in politics. You only destroy enemies. He either didn't read Machiavelli (which he obviously has read), or else was vain and foolish enough to believe himself to be smart and talented enough to be able to do an end run around the political axioms laid out in The Prince.

    “It is best to be both feared and loved; however, if one cannot be both it is better to be feared than loved.”

    "Reagan's dead, and he was a lousy president" -- Keith Olbermann 4/22/09

    by kovie on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 06:21:52 AM PST

    •  Of course it is. (11+ / 0-)

      It wouldn't have anything to do with the fact that the dude is 74, has been in politics longer than I've been alive and maybe is just fucking tired of the bullshit.  

      This is your world These are your people You can live for yourself today Or help build tomorrow for everyone -8.75, -8.00

      by DisNoir36 on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 06:50:40 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  John Dingell is like 90 years old (0+ / 0-)

        Robert Byrd stayed in the senate till he died at the age of 150. These people rarely retire if they think they can stay in or get back into power. They're all quitting because they realize that for both structural and political reasons Dems are not going to retake the house this year. 74 is old but 72 isn't?

        "Reagan's dead, and he was a lousy president" -- Keith Olbermann 4/22/09

        by kovie on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 07:10:05 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  I guess you know better than me. (7+ / 0-)

          After all it's not like 74 year olds ever retire even if they're in the majority.  

          You don't know his motives.  Assuming that it's because he thinks the Dems won't get in the majority in 2014 is a pathetic assumption and only stands to make you look like an ass if they do.  

          Comparing Waxman to Dingell or Byrd is also foolish.  If being in the minority was the issue why is Dingell still kicking?  Why won't Waxman stick around til 2016 when the prospect of flipping the House is that much better?  After all 76 isn't that much older than 74.  Instead you're assuming that A) the Dems have no shot in 2014, 2016 or any time soon B) that HAS TO BE the reason Waxman is hanging it up after 40+ years.  

          Occams Razor applies here.  Waxman had a close race last time out.  He's in a new district.  He's not getting any younger.  Maybe the simple explanation is that he just wants to retire, doesn't want to deal with the bullshit of the job and/or just wants to enjoy the rest of his life while he still has some.

          This is your world These are your people You can live for yourself today Or help build tomorrow for everyone -8.75, -8.00

          by DisNoir36 on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 07:41:14 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  So basically, insulting me because your disagree (0+ / 0-)

            with me is your preferred mode of "arguing"?

            Got it.

            "Reagan's dead, and he was a lousy president" -- Keith Olbermann 4/22/09

            by kovie on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 08:10:02 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  Oh did I hurt your fee fees? (3+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              marksb, Aquarius40, Jacob1145

              Your argument is dumb.  You're making wild assumptions based on no evidence whatsoever.  Furthermore they're based on the defeatist premise that the Dems are DOOOOOOMED and that's why he's hanging up his hat.

              It's utter bullshit.  But if it means anything sorry if my bluntness hurt your sensitive feelings.

              This is your world These are your people You can live for yourself today Or help build tomorrow for everyone -8.75, -8.00

              by DisNoir36 on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 08:27:10 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

        •  But some do retire simply because they're ready (4+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          PeterHug, Jacob1145, Square Knot, slothlax

          Paul Sarbanes retired at the age of 73, despite having a secure seat and an important committee chairmanship. A group of us met with him to thank him for his years of service, and someone asked why he was retiring. He said, in very nearly these words, "I've watched too many people stay here too long. I very much want to leave when people are asking why I'm leaving, rather than wait until they're asking why I'm staying."

          Bin Laden is dead. GM and Chrysler are alive.

          by leevank on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 10:54:00 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  You have no idea (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      GleninCA, PeterHug, Jacob1145

      and neither do I

  •  Is Kentucky Really in the South? (n/t) (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Jacob1145
    •  Yes (0+ / 0-)

      They like their overalls low in in the back.

      "It's too LATE to stop now!" - John Lee Hooker

      by Rolfyboy6 on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 07:08:23 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  It's a matter for perspective IMO (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      wishingwell, GleninCA, Jacob1145

      My mother's side of the family was largely from Kentucky and my grandparents considered themselves southerners.  I also have family in southern Missouri who consider themselves southerners.  These "buffer" states from the Civil War era such as KY and MO seem to still have a real divide as far as identification with the south goes.

      Intelligence agencies keep things secret because they often violate the rule of law or of good behavior. -Julian Assange-

      by ChadmanFL on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 07:15:52 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Total speculation here, but, (0+ / 0-)

    when I lived in Waxman's district some 18 years ago, my State Senator was Tom Hayden.  Granted, he is now 74, but any chance HE might take a shot at the seat?

    With the Decision Points Theater, the George W. Bush Presidential Library becomes the very first Presidential Library to feature a Fiction Section.

    by Its the Supreme Court Stupid on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 06:40:25 AM PST

  •  If there was a legislative hall of fame (5+ / 0-)

    He would be inducted on the first ballot. All time great.

  •  Florida is going to be a mess. Like that's (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Pilotshark

    anything new.

    Patrick Murphy will lose.  He voted against the hemp bill.  He also voted to keep the sugar subsidies in the Farm Bill. Big Sugar is an extremely sore subject in his district.

    Crist will probably win but Democratic solidarity is weak in Florida.  Bill Nelson, Debbie Wasserman-Schultz, Joe Garcia and Lois Frankel are doing their best to alienate Dems by wantonly supporting Big Sugar.

    Big Sugar a/k/a the Koch Bros. of Florida.

  •  Postal Reform??? (9+ / 0-)

    I love Waxman, but to list the 2006 postal reform law as an accomplishment is bizarre. That law, which required the USPS to pre-fund retiree heath care benefits, is why the USPS is dieing.

  •  I think the author makes too much... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    GleninCA

    of the South Bay's potential influence in the congressional district.  It is made up of very affluent enclave suburbs that are not all that heavily populated.  Doesn't mean that any Dem is a shoo-in, but if the Dem doesn't the South Bay won't be the reason why.

  •  That is an awesome interactive map. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    GleninCA, slothlax

    Great work by the L.A. Times to have that for us.  However, it should be noted that they caution that they never updated it with about 400,000 absentee ballots.  Now, I believe those went for Obama pretty strongly as well, which could change quite a few of the precincts in their final percentages.

    It was interesting to see big chunks of Beverly Hills going for Romney (though not by much) bordering West Hollywood, which went for Obama by more than an 80-20 margin.

  •  congress passes a farm bill (0+ / 0-)

    that among other things cuts 8.7 million in food stamps over ten years but still gives the wealthy farm subsidies in the millions and takes out a sentence that allows the public to see who gets those subsidies (politicians =elites).
    it only affects 16 states they say and a sen from minn (dem) says its only 1%, in ny that means 90 dollars less per month for a recipient not much to a rich politician who is on the dole for everything from healthcare to perks to a pension.
    why do i guess those 16 states are most likely blue states who already put in more in taxes than they receive in benefits unlike the red states that hate govt but suck off of the teat more than anyone.
    the dems have deserted the 99% and are in league with the gop to turn america into a plutocracy right before our very eyes and we are either too ignorant or uninformed to care.
    my country tis of thee is only meant for the 1% and the 99% are just collateral damage in the scheme of things.
    ps - did i mention that the nfl is a non profit, put that in your fairness pipe and smoke it!

    save america defeat all republicans and conservatives

  •  Willie Brien is not mayor of Santa Monica (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Jacob1145, slothlax

    The Mayor of Santa Monica is Pam O'Connor. Willie Brien is a councilman in Beverly Hills. Beverly Hills is not Santa Monica. They're not even spelled the same. Facts do matter.

  •  Florida is where Democrats and the Democratic (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    WisVoter, Jacob1145

    party part ways. The party turns toward the right.  The democratic voters stay on the democratic path.

    One of the easiest districts for a Democrat to win would be FL-27, the seat now held by Ileana Ros-Lehtinen. But there is no recruitment; there is anti-recruitment. DNC chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz has made it abundantly clear to Florida Democrats that she will not tolerate anyone credible running against Ileana, who, like her, is owned by the sugar baron Fanjul brothers. Last year Obama's 7 point margin in FL-27 was one of the highest margins of victory in any district held by a Republican Member of Congress. But Wasserman Schultz had the DCCC make sure there would be no viable candidate.
    http://downwithtyranny.blogspot.com/...
  •  Go Marianne Williamson! (0+ / 0-)

    She is a breath of fresh air.


  •  A note to all the Sandra Fluke fans, (0+ / 0-)

    When you ask a candidate to run... you pay the bill.

    I wanted a pony when I was 12... Mom and Dad couldn't afford one.

    You guys ready to put up a few million for starters?

    I am a Progressive. I believe in one simple phrase: "... with liberty, and justice for all."

    by Nebraska68847Dem on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 08:15:15 AM PST

  •  Thank you, Congressman Waxman (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    that other guy, Square Knot, slothlax

    For the Waxman Report.

    It is from Waxman's committee on government reform, and it lists all the lies told by Bush, Cheney, Rice, Powell, and Rumsfeld during the selling and startup of the Iraq war.

    It is summarized here, with a link to a longer document with explanations and footnotes.

    It is limited to things that were (a) demonstrable to be lies, not just misstatements, and (b) known to be such as of March 16, 2004, when the report was prepared.  It probably would be longer if there were still a Waxman committee.

    Although we were not able to stop this war, we can at least use this information if any defender of those dark days wants to bring up the "he just got bad intel" defense.

  •  CA-33 - potential huge mess (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    GleninCA

    This is where the open primary - where the two top vote getters in the primary face off in November irrespective of party - is a problem.

    Every viable Dem candidate will run. So will Bloomfield. So will a conservative Repub.

    If too many Dems closely divide the primary, we could end up with Bloomfield vs a Repub, Dems shut out of the race in a very Dem district.

    There is very little party control out here, so it will be a free for all, and with this new system, voters can't be expected to understand the consequences.

    I hope for the best but fear for the worst. This could end up as a vulnerable seat still.

    •  That is certainly possible (0+ / 0-)

      But I support the California system. Like any system, it has its weaknesses. But I think more often than not, it gives the minority party a more fair say in any given election, which I think is a healthy thing. We always hear about the negative examples, what about elections in republican districts? Are some more moderate Republicans getting elected because of this system?

      There is truth on all sides. The question is how much.

      by slothlax on Fri Jan 31, 2014 at 09:30:09 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Waxman will be missed. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    slothlax

    In my highly disregarded opinion, if there is an issue, I personaly have with sites like this is that we spend lots of time ranting about the douche-noozles like Walker, Bachmann, Fox news, et al. In the process we give them lots of and energy.

    In the process, I think we forget that in and amongst all the crap that there are some really great people who are laboring hard for justice.

    Waxman is one of these people. He has busted his butt for the environment. He was one of the first people in the 80's to fight for AIDS research and various other progressive causes. He has been in the trenches for a long time and probably does not get the thanks he has more than earned.

     I hate to say but,  I think that I might have taken him forgranted.

    So, I wish Henry and his family well. It is said that respect is not something that is given; it something that is earned. Henry Waxman has more than earned my respect and admiration.

    I hope that the good people of the 33rd district of
    California will choose well and elect someone who can carry this man's legacy well.

  •  I saw Sandra Fluke an Emilys List (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Square Knot

    luncheon in San Francisco last spring on a panel of 6 women which including Wendy Davis. She got more applause than even Wendy Davis when she came on stage. She is very bright, very articulate, and she does not need a talking points to to discuss issues and is very much at ease answering tough questions.

    She was asked if she would consider running for office and she said right now she wanted to work as an activist on issues. However almost everyone at that luncheon wanted her to run.

  •  CA33 (0+ / 0-)

    Greuel will not have a trouble getting known here.  The LA media market covers the entire district, not to mention the major newspaper across the entire district is the LA Times.  Also, the active women's community in the district will go with Greuel over Fluke.

    However, Greuel and Lieu both have weaknesses north of the airport -- where most of the voters live.  Greuel got beat by Garcetti here in the mayor's race, and Leiu only started representing the area last year.

    It will be interesting to see what the final candidate list looks like.

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