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First Dave Peiser, now Drew Leavens?  Yes, I know there are two Democrats challenging me but I'm getting plenty of fundraising from my investigations so I know I'm covered just fine.
Drew Leavens, a marriage and family therapist who is the second Democratic candidate running to unseat Darrell Issa (besides Dave Peiser), is working to shore up support for his campaign.

On February 16th, Drew Leavens will be making an appearance at the La Jolla Democratic Club from 2 pm - 3 pm.  This should give you a chance meet Leavens himself and ask questions.  Details of the event are as follows:

http://www.dl49th.com/...

Join Drew at the La Jolla Democratic Club

Community Room, AMC Theatres La Jolla 12
8657 Villa La Jolla Drive, San Diego, CA 92037
2:00 pm - 3:00 pm
February 16, 2014

Website of the La Jolla Democratic Club here:  http://www.lajollademocrats.org/...

Here's a bit of bio from Drew Leavens' website to give you a sense of his background:

http://dl49th.wpengine.com/...

After college, Drew moved back to San Diego to take a job with what was originally the Department of Substance Abuse, later taken over by San Diego County Mental Health. He began working as a crisis counselor (1975). Two years later, he was made the manager of what became known as The Crisis Team. He supervised a staff of 22 counselors in the 24-hour a day operation, that had over 30,000 contacts each year. In the late 70’s, he received his marriage, family and child counseling license (MFCC) and soon after started a small private counseling practice. His first published article, “Suicide Intervention for First Responders” appeared in the book, Conflict Intervention in Social and Domestic Violence, edited by Carmen Warner (1981). While still manager of The Crisis Team, he was approached by Caltrans to assist in reducing the number of suicides off the Coronado Bridge. The collaboration resulted in signs posted along the bridge to let depressed individuals know that there were others who cared about them, along with a phone at the base of the bridge to reach The Crisis Team. The signs are still there today.

After working with the county for ten years, Drew left to form his own company, first called Drew Leavens and Associates, and soon renamed Specialized Training Services (STS), (1985). The company initially provided training to the county probation and sheriff’s offices throughout California but soon expanded to larger target audiences throughout the United States, Canada and Western Europe. Over time, STS developed a reputation of providing the highest quality training programs on very difficult topics such as sexual offender assessment, campus violence prevention, domestic violence, homicide, threat assessment in the workplace, terrorism, stalking, risk assessment of the mentally Ill and child custody evaluations. In 1992, Drew and STS were recognized for its outstanding seminars by receiving the “Excellence in Training” award from the International Association of Correctional Training Personnel.

For more than 28 years STS has provided over 1200 seminars and conferences to over 70,000 individuals. At the turn of the decade, STS began to publish books for professionals on important topics such as “Violence Risk and Threat Assessment”, “School Violence Threat Management” and “Workplace Assessment of Violence Risk” (WAVR-21) and “Children who Witness Homicide and other Violent Crime.” In addition to publishing six books, Drew was the editor of four of them. In 2011, STS coordinated a contract with the University of California, Office of the President, to provide workplace and campus safety and threat assessment training to each of the ten UC campuses. In 2013, STS worked with the United States Capital Police to provide training for their staff in Washington, DC on advanced threat assessment and threat management. The work of Specialized Training Services continues today (specializedtraining.com).

If you desire to support and get involved in Drew Leavens' campaign for Congress, links are below:

Drew Leavens for Congress:  http://dl49th.com/

Leavens on the Issues:  http://dl49th.wpengine.com/...

Donate:  Donation page not up yet.

Facebook:  https://www.facebook.com/...

Google +:  https://plus.google.com/...

Twitter:  https://twitter.com/...

Contact:  http://dl49th.wpengine.com/...

Poll

Who do you prefer? Darrell Issa or Drew Leavens?

26%5 votes
10%2 votes
31%6 votes
31%6 votes

| 19 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  thanks for the info (0+ / 0-)

    and fire your persistence regarding Darrell Issa. Not sure I can make it to this event, but I'll support any Democrat in that race. My own district is less interesting, but I'm hoping to keep Scott Peters in office, even though he's a pretty conservative Democrat.

    Gondwana has always been at war with Laurasia.

    by AaronInSanDiego on Sat Feb 15, 2014 at 03:54:43 PM PST

    •  (for, not fire) n/t (0+ / 0-)

      Gondwana has always been at war with Laurasia.

      by AaronInSanDiego on Sat Feb 15, 2014 at 03:56:35 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Scott Peters is actually more moderate (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      AaronInSanDiego

      He's not a conservative Democrat, not by a long shot.  He's more conservative than most Democrats in California though, that's for sure.

      http://www.ontheissues.org/...

      Part of why Peters can't be more liberal is because SD is a purple region now in California whereas years ago it used to be.  Democrats have the edge over Republicans but slightly, not by a huge margin.

      •  I remember seeing one of those (0+ / 0-)

        voteview type scatter plots, and he came pretty close to the right side of the Democrats IIRC, but I might have confused him with Juan Vargas, since I was looking at all the local Dems at the time. I admit I haven't followed his votes closely. Looking at that list it appears he's pretty moderate. My impression of him was that he was liberal on social issues and moderate to conservative on defense and economic issues.

        Gondwana has always been at war with Laurasia.

        by AaronInSanDiego on Sat Feb 15, 2014 at 06:25:05 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Well, he does have conservative views (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          AaronInSanDiego

          Not suggesting he's not conservative to a certain degree but part of being a moderate means you have an even split between liberal and conservative views.  You can't be a conservative and have a number of liberal views.  For starters, Scott Peters is pro-choice so he can't be conservative there.  There's no such thing as a pro-choice conservative, at least not that I'm aware of but perhaps others may want to educate me a bit more on this.  The issue of abortion though, is just one issue so another pro-choice person could be inclined to being conservative.  However, knowing history and how conservatives tend to be, none of them that I know of are pro-choice.

          My guess though is that if Scott Peters were to vote for reinstating Glass-Steagall Act, he wouldn't do it.  Interestingly enough though, Rep. Walter Jones who serves NC-03 is in favor of reinstating Glass-Steagall Act but Jones is a rogue Republican like John McCain to a certain degree, even while being a conservative.  It really depends on where one leans on the political spectrum and what their views are.

          On a side note, there's a difference between being a moderate and moderating.  Moderating doesn't even apply to political viewpoints.  Moderate does.

      •  Interesting that looking at that page (0+ / 0-)

        gives almost the inverse impression I had of him. I'll have to look more closely.

        Gondwana has always been at war with Laurasia.

        by AaronInSanDiego on Sat Feb 15, 2014 at 06:31:43 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  The district is certainly (0+ / 0-)

        not that blue. The other districts that cover more south of I-8, where Susan Davis and Juan Vargas are, are more solidly Democratic. Duncan Hunter's district is more solidly red.

        Darrell Issa's district is an interesting mix and a tough challenge for Democrats, but I think the focus on what he's done personally makes sense, both on principle and for practical reasons. Removing him would be a major accomplishment.

        Gondwana has always been at war with Laurasia.

        by AaronInSanDiego on Sat Feb 15, 2014 at 06:49:41 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Issa's district is red but not that red (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          AaronInSanDiego

          I'm based in the Bay Area making this assessment but that's because I'm looking at some key factors:

          1)  The Cook Political Report rates CA-49 with a PVI of R+4.  Why would it be R+4 as opposed to say R+12 or even higher?  Well, there aren't many districts in CA with PVI's in the double digits and part of this is because voter registration numbers are growing more in Democratic territory.  With the CA GOP Party as popular as dog poop right now, they're getting ZERO traction on voter registration numbers.

          2)  CA-49 has 29% Democrats and 24% Independents.  If most or all of these vote for Dave Peiser, Drew Leavens or even Johnny Moore (yes, now a third candidate), Darrell Issa would lose by at least 8% points.

          3)  From September 2012 - February 2013, if you look at CA Voter Registration increases, Democratic and Independent registrations were in the thousands where GOP voter registrations were in the few hundred.  Obviously there's growth in CA-49 for Democrats but the party just needs to be proactive in the district.  And these numbers, mind you, came before Issa's IRS investigations and other botching really came into effect so I expect the numbers already (or will) continue to increase for Democrats and Independents more so.

          4)  Darrell Issa's campaign contributions may not necessarily come from entirely CA-49.  As I look at the 100,000 followers Issa has on Twitter, most of them are actually outside of CA-49 and of conservative communities all around the U.S.  But Issa is serving them with his tweets, not with anyone in CA-49 so there's something very peculiar of why Issa has a Twitter account.  I believe it's nothing more than fundraising so if Issa is really doing fundraising, he may be turning to other sources outside of just CA-49 for that.  I don't know but knowing Issa's history of fundraising, he's got a massive donor network.

          5)  In 2012, Candidate Jerry Tetalman got 41.8% of the votes but with NO help from outside of CA-49 except on some small donations from people outside of CA.  Tetalman's total fundraising for 2012 was a bit over $100,000.  Now how could Tetalman have received 41.8% of the votes with just Democrats?  He needed at least 10% of the votes in order to reach that 40+% threshold since CA-49 has just 29% Democrats at this point.

          There's a lot of questions but I can tell you, Issa may not be winning November 2014 that easily if he does.

          •  North of I-8 tends to be more Republican, (0+ / 0-)

            but the coastal areas tend to be more environmentally and socially liberal and Democratic, so the 49th is a mix of both. Certainly less hard-core conservative than Hunter's inland district 50.

            In any case, I think 2014 will be closer than 2012 for Issa. Do you have an opinion on which Dem you think will have a better chance against him?

            Gondwana has always been at war with Laurasia.

            by AaronInSanDiego on Sat Feb 15, 2014 at 10:46:42 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  Even CA-50 may be changing (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              AaronInSanDiego

              I'd pay attention to James Kimber's campaign as he's running into a lot of people in CA-50 who think Duncan D. Hunter is really Duncan Hunter (his father) who retired from Congress in 2008.  Kimber's growing quite a bit of support but his fundraising is low compared to Hunter's.  We'll have to see how this plays out.

              As far as 2014, it's very likely to be closer than 2012 and if Jerry Tetalman got 41.8% of the votes in 2012, I suspect the eventual Democratic nominee will get at minimum 45% (I believe it'll be higher from examining all the data trends from past elections & voter registration numbers) if he loses.

              Right now Dave Peiser's getting the most attention but that's also because he's been running longer than Drew Leavens and already gained support from Tetalman, the San Diego APWU, CA State Democratic Party and just about all the local Democratic clubs.  On the other hand, that shouldn't be an impediment to Drew Leavens since his campaign activity can also keep more people in CA-49 informed whereas in past elections not all voters came out in CA-49 and voted.

              There are three Democrats running:

              Dave Peiser
              Drew Leavens (who of course this diary is referring to)
              Johnny Moore

              I will say Peiser's probably got the most support but then again, Leavens put out a video of himself soon after announcing his run for Congress and did I think a pretty good job at articulating his argument for representation:

            •  On a further assessment (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              AaronInSanDiego

              I've done research on Dave Peiser (and have even promoted him on behalf of my group on Twitter):

              He's very progressive and pretty much a Kossack as far as I'm concerned.  He supported Independent Dick Eiken (I think that's how you spell his name) who was even more progressive than Jerry Tetalman in 2012 but was involved with Tetalman's campaign after he won the Democratic nomination.  I think Eiken dropped out after June 2012 when it may have been apparent there was just no chance to defeat Issa with anyone else besides a Democratic nominee.  I can't confirm this though.

              Peiser's also very much has fire in his belly and has a similar background as Issa does in that it's in IT.  He definitely dislikes Issa aside from just simply believing he offers more than Issa does.  Debate between Peiser and Issa won't be civil, that's for sure, but I also believe Peiser's going to be smarter than people think because he's a business owner and can also make the argument that Issa is out of touch with CA-49 residents.

              Peiser's also got working class roots and is more small business, one-on-one as a business owner.  He believes in serving the community but in a real positive way

            •  Drew Leavens also a good candidate (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              AaronInSanDiego

              Don't want to leave Leavens out.  He's progressive like Dave Peiser and definitely fired up as well.  He's a marriage therapist and also very much a one-on-one person.

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