Well, hidey-ho, some good news out of the frozen(political as well as environmental) wasteland of Michigan. Former Congressman, Mark Schauer is leading Rick Snyder by 7 points when counting all the leaners. And you can bet your bottom dollar we’ll be counting all the leaners.
The polling outfit is Clarity Campaign Labs. Michigan Governor and Senate Tracker 2014
Feb 22-23, 2013
N size: 859
Margin of error: +- 2.55% at 95% confidence interval
I have no idea if this outfit has been vetted by Nate Silver but, and hopefully I’m speaking for at least half of Michigan, we’ll happily take these results.
From Chris Savage at Eclectablog: New polling by Clarity Campaign Labs shows Democrats Mark Schauer and Gary Peters with sizable leads over Republicans Rick Snyder and Terri Lynn Land in the statewide races for Governor and U.S. Senator among likely voters.
Snyder’s approval rating is now less than 40% (39%) while nearly half of the voters polled (46%) disapprove of his performance. Schauer leads him 47-40%, a 7-point gap that is well outside the margin of error of +- 2.55%. Among independent voters, Schauer has a 5-point lead, 38-33%.
Gary Peters, facing an opponent who has had no public events of significance for many months, leads 46-40% over Land.
Pollster John Hagner, Senior Vice President of Clarity Campaign Labs, analyzed the results this way:
“With improved name recognition and continued dissolution with the direction Gov. Snyder is taking the state, Mark Schauer has the ability to continue building on this lead. With undecided voters disapproving of Gov. Snyder’s performance by a huge 44% to 10% margin, a full 40% of these voters identify as Democrats with only 26% identifying as Republicans.”
Weighted Toplines
Q1. Approval: Rick Snyder
Approve 39%
Disapprove 46%
Unsure 15
Q2. Michigan Governor Choice [no leaners]
Rick Snyder [R] 38%
Ma rk Schauer [D] 42%
Unsure 20
Q3. Michigan Governor Choice [with leaners]
Rick Snyder [R] 40%
Ma rk Schauer [D] 47%
Unsure 12
Q4. Michigan Senate Choice [no leaners]
Terri Lynn Land [R] 38%
Gary Peters [D] 42%
Unsure 19
Q5. Michigan Senate Choice [with leaners]
Terri Lynn Land [R] 40%
Gary Peters [D] 46%
Unsure 14%
Q6. State Legislature Party Choice
Republican 34%
Democrat 45%
Unsure 22%
More info, including a link to the crosstabs can be found at Eclectablog.com
Please consider contributing to Mark Schauer's campaign
contribute. Mark was a great leader of many progressive causes that benefitted millions of Americans.
wiki link about Mark Help us, help Michigan.
Because, not only is it so cold here in Michigan that we leave the Refrigerator door open to help heat the house, it’s also politically bitterly cold as well. So any and all help is appreciated.
Thanks for taking the time to read my diary, please rec and share to help build some more mojo!!!
Gotta go, it’s so damn cold the dog won’t stop barking until he gets his cup of coffee!!!
Hat tip to Chris Savage and the work he does at
Eclectablog which I shamelessly cut and pasted to help get the word out ;)