Skip to main content

(Cross-posted from Primary Colors)

The second primary of the 2014 election season is set for tomorrow, Tuesday March 18th, and one of the most important federal races in the country this November is IL-13.

Illinois's 13th District is viewed as one of the most important swing districts in the nation. According to the Cook Political Report it's an Even district, so we're talking about one of the swingiest of the swing districts.

What's more, IL-13's current representative is Republican Rodney Davis, who was only recently elected in 2012. Since Representative Davis has only been in office for one year, his incumbency advantage is pretty weak. And, he only prevailed over Democrat David Gill in 2012 by 0.3% - not exactly a ringing endorsement.

Due to the elevated importance of this race in November, we have to weight general electability, fundraising, and campaign effects higher on the scale than ideological considerations in this Even district. That's why we fully support Ann Callis's campaign for the Democratic nomination.

Our algorithm expects a House Democrat in an Even district to vote progressive 68.1% of the time, and everything we've heard so far indicates that Ann Callis will clear this threshold, and will also have the tools to beat Rodney Davis in November.

Callis has a couple of challengers in the primary tomorrow -- but the only other real candidate is Professor George Gollin.

Mr. Gollin is in no way a bad candidate -- and is considered by some to be the more progressive candidate. But while we would support Gollin if he did become the nominee, it is unsettling that he's raised only about half of the money that Callis raised in the primary, and that he is trailing Rep. Davis 41-33 in the most recent polls, while Callis is trailing by a smaller margin of 40-35.  Some of the stories we are hearing about his off-kilter campaign tactics also make us nervous. Why Gollin or his campaign team would think the best use of their candidate's time is flyering Callis volunteers' cars and putting Gollin yard signs outside of the Callis Campaign HQ is a mystery.

To beat a well-funded Republican incumbent in an Even district, you have to a run a near-perfect campaign. Davis will raise tons of money and run a real campaign - a campaign the Democratic absolutely must match with a well-funded professional operation of her own.

For all these reasons, Primary Colors is supporting Ann Callis. We believe she will represent progressive values well in this district, and will have the best opportunity to make IL-13 a Democratic pick-up this November.

Originally posted to PrimaryBlog on Mon Mar 17, 2014 at 10:58 AM PDT.

Also republished by Madison County, Illinois Kossacks and Land of Lincoln Kos.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site