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A woman poses for photos while holding a placard with her thoughts on healthcare at the White House Youth Summit on the Affordable Care Act in Washington December 4, 2013. U.S. President Barack Obama urged Americans not to be discouraged by the rocky roll
On the heels of a new Gallup survey showing a real decrease in the uninsured rate—the lowest since 2008, a second survey shows an even larger decrease. The RAND Corporate has a blockbuster new survey, estimating a net gain of 9.3 million American adults getting coverage.
The survey, drawn from a small but nationally representative sample, indicates that this significant uptick in insurance coverage has come not only from enrollment in the new marketplaces established under the Affordable Care Act (ACA), but also from new enrollment in employer coverage and Medicaid.

Put another way, the survey estimates that the share of uninsured American adults has dropped over the measured period from 20.5 percent to 15.8 percent. Among those gaining coverage, most enrolled through employer-sponsored coverage or Medicaid.

That's a 23 percent drop in the share of uninsured American adults, and doesn't include the late March surge of people signing up through the exchanges. Poking yet another hole in Republican talking points, the survey finds that 5 million people did not lose their insurance because of Obamacare, not even 1 million did. RAND says 700,000 people went from the individual market to being uninsured. That's not an insignificant number in human terms, but it's also not the disaster Republicans have insisted it is.

Remarkably, as many as 8.2 million—most of whom were previously uninsured—enrolled for the first time in employer-sponsored plans. Why this happened isn't entirely clear. The individual mandate could have spurred people who had previously opted out of health insurance benefits to see a fatter paycheck to sign up. The law could also have led employers to end the option for employees to opt out of benefits. Economic recovery—more people employed—might count for some of this. Tax credits to small businesses to provide health insurance might also, but that provision has been in effect for more than a year, so it probably can't account for the dramatic recent increase.

But any way you slice it, more people have insurance now than did before the law was fully implemented. And here's an interesting twist RAND also found, consumers might just find their car insurance bill get a little cheaper. RAND estimates that liability costs for car insurance and workers' compensation could be reduced. "For both first-party (1.4 percent) and third-party (1.7 percent) car insurance, RAND projected a decrease in liability costs. Workers' compensation costs are also estimated to decline by 1.4 percent." That's not a lot, but it's an interesting ripple effect of millions of more people having health insurance.

But Kaiser Family Foundation's Larry really makes the most salient point about this study and the others released this week:

Urban, Gallup, and RAND all say the number of uninsured is declining since the ACA went into effect. Now we can debate why and by how much.
@larry_levitt
There really is no question anymore that Obamacare is doing what it intended to do: get more people insured.

Originally posted to Joan McCarter on Wed Apr 09, 2014 at 09:26 AM PDT.

Also republished by Obamacare Saves Lives and Daily Kos.

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