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Leading Off:

NY-Gov: Siena's latest poll, as per usual, finds Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo crushing his likely GOP opponent, Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino, 58-28, down just a touch from his 61-26 lead last month. However, in an interesting new twist, Siena also asked a variant on this question that included a hypothetical (but nameless) candidate for the Working Families Party. In that scenario, Cuomo drops to just 39 percent support, while Astorino and "generic WFPer" each take 24. (One cautionary note: Siena asked these head-to-heads after a huge battery of issue questions. That's never a good idea.)

Could something like this happen, though? Liberal discontent with Cuomo has run hot his entire tenure, and indeed, the WFP has considered the possibility of supporting an alternative candidate. (A non-endorsement isn't possible, since the party needs to win 50,000 votes on in order to ensure it keeps its ballot line.)

But it's a very difficult choice either way, as Blake Zeff observes. On the one hand, going to war with Cuomo would probably inspire him to try to destroy the WFP any way he can. On the other, meekly siding with Cuomo again would undermine the party's credibility as a force pushing Democrats in a more progressive direction.

Still, while Cuomo has mostly been immune to pressure from his left, there are nevertheless considerations for him as well: If he still harbors presidential ambitions (however delusional), a weak win marred by a serious liberal split wouldn't look good. But whether it's accommodation, rapprochement, or open warfare, a major decision looms for the Working Families Party.

Senate:

AK-Sen: Democratic Sen. Mark Begich's third ad is very similar to his second. Once again, Begich buzzes across the ice on a snowmobile (apparently called a "snowmachine" in the local vernacular) and brags about how he beat down a variety of federal institutions and "national Democrats" to win permits that would allow drilling in the Arctic Ocean.

Meanwhile, the pro-Begich super PAC Put Alaska First slams Republican Dan Sullivan yet again in a new spot. A local man named Todd Hoener attacks the Koch brothers, both by name and as "lower 48 billionaires," for shutting down an oil refinery in North Pole (a suburb of Fairbanks) that will cost 80 jobs. Hoener lambastes Sullivan for "remain[ing] silent" on the issue, then concludes, "Maybe if Sullivan was actually from Alaska, he'd care more about our jobs than his own."

It'll be interesting to see if these ads can stop Sullivan from winning the GOP nomination, though. Democrats would much rather face one of his two opponents, Lt. Gov. Mead Treadwell or 2010 nominee Joe Miller, but the same fundamental reasons that make them more attractive in a general election make them weaker in the primary: They're both sucky candidates.

Unlike the famous Missouri Senate primary of 2012, where Democrat Claire McCaskill helped Todd Akin to victory, this isn't a simple case where the most extreme candidate is apt to win—otherwise Miller would be cruising. Miller, however, remains mostly despised following his 2010 loss. And Treadwell's fundraising continues to be lousy. He pulled in just $124,000 (and self-funded another $175,000). Sullivan raised ten times that. Still, credit to Put Alaska First for at least trying to cause trouble.

CO-Sen: Democratic Sen. Mark Udall is running his first ads, and he's wasting no time in going sharply negative on GOP Rep. Cory Gardner. A narrator says, "Gardner sponsored a bill to make abortion a felony, including in cases of rape and incest. Gardner even championed an eight-year crusade to outlaw birth control—here, in Colorado." That last bit refers to Gardner championing a so-called "personhood" amendment, a topic he expediently tried to flip-flop on after declaring his Senate bid. Udall is reportedly spending $500,000 on the buy.

GA-Sen: Democrat Michelle Nunn, standing in a kind of ugly, barren field, narrates her newest ad, which traces strictly non-partisan themes. Castigating D.C. "bickering," she says she wants to ban members of Congress "from every becoming lobbyists," from collecting paychecks "unless they pass a budget," and from getting "a subsidy to pay for their own health care."

MI-Sen: Wow. Republican Terri Lynn Land's new ad—her first of the race—is just painfully vapid. As gentle piano music plays, Land starts off by saying "Congressman Gary Peters and his buddies want you to believe I'm waging a war on women." Incredulous, Land asks, "Really?", then insists: "Think about that for a moment." The music shifts to a peppier, almost annoying trope that signifies "waiting around" as Land takes a sip of her coffee, looks at her watch, shakes her head ... and says nothing at all for 12 seconds.

Then, thinking she's the cleverest lady ever, Land finally breaks her silence and declares, "As a woman, I might know a little bit more about women than Gary Peters." My only response: Man. This kind of guffawing rejoinder to substantive policy criticisms is truly pathetic. Anyone swayed by this kind of "argument" is almost certainly already very hostile to Democrats—the sort of conservative who declares, "There's no 'War on Women' because Monica Lewinsky!" It's hard to imagine this ad will persuade anyone persuadable, but the fact that Land's even put it out suggests she thinks this topic makes her vulnerable.

MS-Sen: There have been tons of ads from outside groups and Sen. Thad Cochran in Mississippi's GOP Senate primary, but challenger Chris McDaniel is only now going up with his first spot. It's pretty cheaply produced, and McDaniel sounds like he's speaking only a little above a whisper as he touts his love of Mississippi and his "constitutional conservatism," which includes support for prayer in public schools (not a common ad topic, even in Republican primaries) and opposition to Obamacare.

NE-Sen: For a group that's all but made of money, it's kind of surprising how crummy the Club for Growth's ads often look. Case in point is their new spot in the Nebraska GOP Senate primary. The Club, which is backing Ben Sasse, attacks former state Treasurer Shane Osborn for "false attacks" against Sasse and alleged mismanagement of the treasurer's office. But the ad's visuals wouldn't look out of place on late-night cable.

OR-Sen: A new internal for Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley, conducted by Benenson Strategy Group, finds him leading physician Monica Wehby 53-32 and state Rep. Jason Conger 50-34. That's a darn sight better than the only other known poll of the race, from Harper Polling, which had Merkley up 46-34 on Wehby and just 47-40 on Conger earlier this month. Benenson also has the first-ever numbers on the GOP primary, and it's a tossup, with Conger at 24, Wehby at 22, and 55 percent undecided.

SD-Sen: The narrator in Democrat Rick Weiland's second ad describes how Weiland has visited all 311 towns in South Dakota, because "[w]hen you're running against big money, you've got to do a lot of walking." Now that he's completed his apparently unprecedented circuit, "there's only one thing left to do: Start all over."

Gubernatorial:

IA-Gov: A new PPP poll for a group called Progress Iowa shows some rather startling signs of weakness for GOP Gov. Terry Branstad, who at one point appeared set to cruise to re-election. But a recent spate of mini-scandals involving a variety of government employees has burst into the national news and may have taken a toll on the incumbent, who now leads Democratic state Sen. Jack Hatch by just a 43-38 margin.

That's down from 48-36 back in February, but there'd already been some signs since then that Branstad wasn't looking so hale. Three other outfits conducted polls in the interim, finding Branstad at 44 (Sezler), 46 (Quinnipiac), and 42 (Suffolk) percent respectively, with Selzer's and Quinnipiac's numbers representing drops for the Republican. (Suffolk's survey was their first.)

None of these findings are particularly good for Branstad, but Hatch is still almost entirely unknown and faces a huge fundraising gap. He also hasn't gotten much love from national Democrats so far. But if this polling isn't just a momentary blip for Branstad, Iowa may find itself climbing the ranks of competitive races.

PA-Gov: In her newest ad, Rep. Allyson Schwartz offers the most enthusiastic embrace of the Affordable Care Act of any Democrat who's aired campaign commercials anywhere in the country to date. Schwartz says she "worked with President Obama on the Affordable Care Act, and getting health coverage to all Americans." She continues: "It was my legislation that said insurance companies can no long deny coverage to kids with pre-existing conditions." She then hits GOP Gov. Tom Corbett for not taking "the Medicaid money" but says she will, "because 500,000 Pennsylvanians need health coverage."

SC-Gov: Republican Gov. Nikki Haley is going up with a pair of new ads, the first she's run in support of her re-election campaign. Like a lot of other Republican governors who were swept into office in 2010, Haley touts her state's economic recovery in one ad. The other is very similar, except it features a bunch of people no one cares about (like the former chairman of the South Carolina Chamber of Commerce) praising Haley's record.

House:

AL-06: A JMC Analytics poll for surgeon Chad Mathis finds him leading the pack in the GOP primary to replace retiring Rep. Spencer Bachus, but only in the mid-teens. Mathis takes 16 percent while state Rep. Paul DeMarco is just behind at 15, businessman Will Brooke takes 10, and state Sen. Scott Beason is at 9. That leaves 44 percent undecided, and if no one clears 50 percent in the June 3 primary, a runoff will be held between the top two vote-getters on July 15.

FL-13: Baptist clergyman and St. Petersburg NAACP president Manuel Sykes, who said last week that he was considering a bid against freshman GOP Rep. David Jolly, now confirms that he'll run, giving Democrats their first confirmed candidate.

FL-19: As expected, self-funding businessman Curt Clawson won the special GOP primary in the race to replace ex-Rep. Trey Radel on Tuesday night, defeating state Sen. Lizbeth Benacquisto 38-26. Ex-state Rep. Paige Kreegel finished third with 25 percent and aviation consultant Michael Dreikorn took the final spot with 11. Given the deep red hue of this district, Clawson will be the overwhelming favorite in the June 24 special election against public relations executive April Freeman, the only Democrat to run.

MI-14: After going silent for most of the cycle, ex-Rep. Hansen Clarke has decided to run in the Democratic primary for his old seat in Congress right at the filing deadline. Clarke was thrown together with Rep. Gary Peters in redistricting in 2012, and even though he had two big advantages—he represented more of the new 14th District, and he, like a majority of the seat's voters, is black—Clarke ran a weird, desultory campaign and wound up getting spanked.

Last year, the seat opened up when Peters decided to run for Senate, giving Clarke another chance. But while he dithered over a comeback bid, Southfield Mayor Brenda Lawrence, who was the Democrats' 2010 nominee for lieutenant governor, consolidated a lot of support to emerge as the Democratic front-runner. So even with Clarke's prior history representing part of the district, Lawrence's status may not change despite his late entry.

NC-02: Whoda thunk that two Democrats would wind up fighting so hard for their party's nomination in a district that gave Mitt Romney 57 percent of the vote? Nevertheless, that's where we are. Singer and activist Clay Aiken is running his first ad of the race, using the same setting and hitting the same themes from his well-regarded welcome video. Akin introduces viewers to the home where he "slept on the floor" with his mother, after she "escaped my violent father." The experience, he says, led him "to become a special ed teacher for children with autism," and now he runs a foundation that "helps children with special needs in 35 states."

But despite Aiken's big name, businessman and former state official Keith Crisco remains undeterred. He's already run a number of ads of his own, and in response to Aiken's spot, he immediately went negative. It's almost as though Crisco was waiting for Aiken to start talking about kids, because his scary-voiced narrator intones: "Clay Aiken says helping children with special needs is one of his top priorities, but when the president appointed Clay Aiken to the Presidential Commission for People With Intellectual Disabilities, no-show Clay Aiken skipped every single meeting—eight out of eight."

Aiken instantly sent an email attempting to fundraise off Crisco's attack, but his explanation for his absence doesn't seem like a great one. Aiken says he told the committee that "I was touring and working on my album at the time and that I couldn't be physically present for most meetings." Now, when George W. Bush appointed Aiken to this panel, he almost certainly did so so that Aiken's celebrity status could help draw some attention to it, not because he expected Aiken to be a workhorse participant. But saying, "I was too busy promoting my music to show up for a presidential panel to help disabled people" just does not sound good.

PA-13: State Sen. Daylin Leach and state Rep. Brendan Boyle, two rivals in this four-way Democratic primary, both launched their first TV ads on Tuesday. Leach's spot starts off with a good hook, with a re-enactment (featuring his son as himself) of the day "my mom said she could no longer afford to keep me," leading to a life in foster homes. But then real-Daylin appears and runs through a list of progressives priorities that's both too long and not at all connected with the story of his upbringing.

Boyle, meanwhile, tries to out-humble Leach, saying his dad's a janitor and his wife's a public school teacher—and "we're not millionaires, like every one of my opponents." (Leach disputes that characterization.) Boyle then attacks Congress as half-filled with millionaires who "pay lower taxes than firefighters and teachers," which he says is "screwed up." (That counts as very harsh language for a campaign ad!) Boyle concludes with a further jab at Washington for failing to raise the minimum wage and touts his labor union endorsements.

WI-06: Some good news for Wisconsin Democrats, as their top candidate for retiring Rep. Tom Petri's open seat, Winnebago County Executive Mark Harris, has decided to run. Winnebago is a very swingy county (Obama carried it 51-47 in 2012) and it's also the largest in the 6th District, accounting for over a fifth of the population. Harris' ability to win on difficult turf led Democrats to court him for the governor's race last year, but he ultimately declined. A congressional bid won't be quite as huge an undertaking, but given that Mitt Romney won here 53-46, Harris still has a very tough task before him.

It's also conceivable he could face a primary, as Manitowoc Mayor Justin Nickels says he's thinking about the race, too, as is former Manitowoc Mayor Kevin Crawford. (Neither Harris nor Nickels would have to give up their current posts to run.) But Republicans will have to deal with a contested nomination battle no matter what, as state Sen. Joe Leibham just became the latest to join the contest. Two others are already running: state Sen. Glenn Grothman and state Rep. Duey Stroebel.

While this race remains a longshot for Democrats, the prospect of an incendiary internecine GOP battle, combined with Harris' skills as a candidate, gives the party an outside shot. Consequently, we're moving this race from Safe Republican to Likely Republican. And if the ultra-extreme Grothman wins the GOP nod—a definite possibility—Harris' prospects would improve further.

WV-03: Well, I officially don't know what to believe anymore. On the one hand, you have the House Majority PAC spending heavily to shore up Rep. Nick Rahall, the DCCC recently adding him to their Frontline program, and the fact that West Virginia's 3rd Congressional District is ancestrally very Democratic. On the other, you have HMP leaving Rahall off their initial list of fall TV ad reservations, Republican Evan Jenkins putting out a poll showing him up 14, and an anonymously sourced line last week in Politico claiming that Democratic operatives say Rahall trails Jenkins "significantly" in their private polling.

Except that now we have a new internal from the House Majority PAC itself, courtesy Garin-Hart-Yang, that gives Rahall a healthy 52-40 lead over Jenkins. We don't have much to chew on apart from the toplines, though, but GHY has a good reputation, and the Jenkins campaign howled about the results but didn't offer any contradictory data.

The only other data point is that Barack Obama sports a 35 percent approval rating in the 3rd, which would actually be a bit positive, given that he only won 33 percent of the vote there in 2012. If Rahall's managed to put this much daylight between himself and the president, that would be quite the feat. But with so many contradictory data points, this district remains as confounding as ever.

Grab Bag:

IL GOP: I'm going to try my hand at writing an Upworthy headline: "Illinois Republicans tried to purge its leaders ... you won't believe what happened next!" Yes, the story of what, at first, seems like an ordinary postcard from the GOP's civil war has a very unexpected twist at the end: The victims of the purge were the hard-liners on the right! It's unclear for now, though, whether this is a personality-driven blip, or something that's truly on the leading edge of a new trend.

The putsch over the weekend came as part of the elections for the 18 members of the state party's central committee; six of the seven members who had signed a letter last year urging the replacement of Pat Brady as state chair were replaced. Brady, as you may recall, was at the time in hot water for making statements in support of same-sex marriage, saying that the GOP was "on the wrong side of history." He later resigned, although he framed it in terms of family health reasons, but it seems like he's unexpectedly gotten the better of the argument, at least for the moment. (David Jarman)

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Wed Apr 23, 2014 at 05:00 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (9+ / 0-)

    Get the Daily Kos Elections Digest in your inbox every weekday. Sign up here.

    by David Nir on Wed Apr 23, 2014 at 05:00:15 AM PDT

  •  CO Governor Quinnipiac (8+ / 0-)

    Voters approve 52 - 39 percent of the job Gov. Hickenlooper is doing and say 47 - 43 percent that he deserves reelection, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

    Hickenlooper's leads over possible Republican contenders are:

    47 - 40 percent, over former U.S. Rep. Tom Tancredo. Men back Tancredo 47 - 42 percent while women go to Hickenlooper 53 - 34 percent. Independent voters go Democratic 44 - 39 percent.

    48 - 38 percent over Secretary of State Scott Gessler. Men back Gessler by a slim 44 - 41 percent margin while women back Hickenlooper 55 - 32 percent. Independent voters go Democratic 43 - 36 percent.

    48 - 39 percent over former U.S. Rep. Bob Beauprez, with men to Beauprez 46 - 41 percent and women for Hickenlooper 55 - 33 percent. Independent voters go Democratic 45 - 36 percent.

    47 - 38 percent over former State Sen. Mike Kopp, with men for Kopp 44 - 40 percent and women for Hickenlooper 54 - 32 percent. Independent voters go Democratic 44 - 36 percent.  

    http://www.quinnipiac.edu/...

    "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

    by Paleo on Wed Apr 23, 2014 at 05:07:03 AM PDT

  •  NY Times poll of 4 southern senate races (9+ / 0-)

    Arkansas: Sen. Mark Pryor (D) 46%, Tom Cotton (R) 36%

    Kentucky: Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) 44%, Alison Lundergran Grimes (D) 43%

    Louisiana: Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) 42%, Bill Cassidy (D) 18%

    North Carolina: Sen. Kay Hagan (D) 42%, Thom Tillis (R) 40%

    http://www.nytimes.com/...

    "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

    by Paleo on Wed Apr 23, 2014 at 05:15:47 AM PDT

    •  Cassidy became a Democrat?))) (0+ / 0-)
    •  Not bad for Pryor (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MartyM, R30A, itskevin

      10% up and close to 50.  I'm not convinced that this race will be that close.  

      Hagan is up 2% on her most credible potential challenger after months of carpetbombing by the Koch bros.  Tillis still has to win the primary and likely a runoff.  I'm feeling a bit better about this race too.

      ALG is still within margin of error in KY against McConnell.  I would have hoped that she would pull ahead instead of it being neck and neck after all his unforced gaffes but its KY.  Anything can happen at this point.

      Landrieu is way ahead but she doesn't clear 50% which means runoff.  It would be nicer if she avoided it altogether.

      This is your world These are your people You can live for yourself today Or help build tomorrow for everyone -8.75, -8.00

      by DisNoir36 on Wed Apr 23, 2014 at 06:20:44 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Terri Lynn Land, former MI SOS, has little to (4+ / 0-)

    say about any of the issues because being able to buy her elections is her birthright, and Gary Peters is an annoying Dem flea who requires no notice except to flick him away.

    Land reminds me of Cruella de Ville, but without the soft edges.

    Building a better America with activism, cooperation, ingenuity and snacks.

    by judyms9 on Wed Apr 23, 2014 at 06:21:29 AM PDT

  •  The problem for the WFP in NY (0+ / 0-)

    is that if they go with another candidate, they really do risk losing their ballot position.   Ballot lines in NY are determined every 4 years by the votes for that party for Governor.  Right now, they get Dems voting on the WFP line for a Gubenatorial candidate in order to enhance the party's position on the ballot (the top party in terms of votes gets Line A, the second Line B, and so on).  If they choose a third candidate, they not only risk their current position on the ballot, they risk losing their guaranteed line.   Unless they can come up with a well-known person whose name recognition will carry them strongly forward, I don't see the WFP not cross-endorsing.  And, unfortunately, Prince Andrew knows that, as well.

    I’ve said before, I will always work with anyone who is willing to make this law work even better. But the debate over repealing this law is over. The Affordable Care Act is here to stay. -- President Barack Obama

    by Its the Supreme Court Stupid on Wed Apr 23, 2014 at 06:23:24 AM PDT

    •  not Cuomo (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ChuckChuckerson

      A rep of the WFP was on Brian Lehrer and said very clearly that 50,000 votes isn't a big hurdle and that there was little likelihood of the WFP supporting Cuomo. It's actually pretty inconceivable that they wouldn't find that many disaffected liberals in NYS. It would be shocking if they couldn't find 100,000. There's more danger in their supporting Cuomo in fact. I certainly wouldn't see much point in voting for Cuomo on their line. What's the point of a WPF if they endorse him?They're all aware of what happened to the old Liberal Party.

      •  As a progressive NYer (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        charliehall2

        I would seriously consider voting WFP as a protest vote. As long as the race isn't close.

      •  Conservatives (0+ / 0-)

        Same point as the Conservative Party: To pull a top-two candidate farther to one side, and to maintain automatic ballot access for their local candidates for four years.

        I never have figured out what happened to the Liberal Party, but WFP has replaced them conceptually.

        I wonder if a WFP-only candidate would negatively affect the Green Party, which is looking once again to Howie Hawkins to maintain their ballot line.  Actually, I wonder if the WFP would consider endorsing Hawkins.

        •  Liberal party lost its ballot line (0+ / 0-)

          when it supported Cuomo over McCall in 2002.

          It barely exists today and isn't very liberal -- it supported Bob Turner for Congress in the special election to replace Weiner.

        •  I looked at Hawkins platform (0+ / 0-)

          and it contains a huge number of incredibly expensive ideas, such as a state-owned bank, single-payer health insurance, conversion of investor-owned utilities to government ownership, and free tuition at public universities. This on top of some other desirable but slightly less expensive ideas like statewide pre-K, a public works job program, more aid to public schools, and more public transit construction. There is no indication as to how he plans to finance these -- you can't raise taxes much in NY because taxes here are already among the highest in the US. Nor does he address the real reason why property taxes are so high -- the plethora of local governmental bodies including towns, villages, school districts, fire districts, and the like.

          There are also some out and out stupid ideas there like a ban on criminal background checks for job applicants, and a ban on state and local law enforcement cooperation with immigration authorities. (Sorry, but some violent criminals need to be kicked out of the country.)

          He also wants proportional representation for the state legislature. The New York City Council tried that over 60 years ago and dropped it in part because they didn't like Communists on the council. But in NY it would likely have the effect of pretty much completely disenfranchising the low turnout urban areas and producing a much more conservative legislature than we now have. (You don't believe me? Look at the voter turnout in, say, the NY-14 congressional district and compare to upstate districts.) That he promotes this shows that he doesn't think much about consequences.

          http://www.howiehawkins.org/...

    •  may be other reasons (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ChuckChuckerson

      WFP doesn't want to do this, but they generally do elections well; I'd be surprised if a serious effort on their part couldn't get them to 50,000.

    •  State Senate. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      charliehall2

      "Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity." --M. L. King "You can't fix stupid" --Ron White -6.00, -5.18

      by zenbassoon on Wed Apr 23, 2014 at 07:55:50 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Cuomo Can Be Swayed By The Political Winds (4+ / 0-)

    After observing Andrew Cuomo for a number of years I have to say the one thing Cuomo is for is himself.  Although he certainly values and caters to his Wall Street friends, they come second in line to his own political ambitions which he puts above all else.

    At present, Cuomo takes the New York Dem. base for granted.  But if he feels a strong wind (not a gentle breeze) from a challenger to his left, I think he will move left.  Not out of any genuine change of heart mind you, but out of what's best for him politically.

    Andrew is for Andrew, and nothing else!

    "Some men see things as they are and ask, 'Why?' I dream of things that never were and ask, 'Why not?"

    by Doctor Who on Wed Apr 23, 2014 at 06:30:39 AM PDT

    •  Kind of a Rahm Emanuel type (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ChuckChuckerson

      "Where else can they go?" was answered loudly in 2010. Better yet--in this case--the WFP.

      And God said, "Let there be light"; and with a Big Bang, there was light. And God said "Ow! Ow My eyes!" and in a flash God separated light from darkness. "Whew! Now that's better. Now where was I. Oh yea . . ."

      by Pale Jenova on Wed Apr 23, 2014 at 06:46:10 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  He Would Probably Move More to the Right (0+ / 0-)

      In order to appeal more to conservative Democrats and moderate Republicans.

      In a primary he would move left but in a three way general election with a Republican and a WFP candidate he would move the other way.

      This is a dumb idea. Progressives need to focus on beating Republicans not on defeating Democrats. Especially Democratic governors.

  •  A WFP Candidacy Would Be Bad Nationwide (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    scott5js

    If they push to run against Cuomo from the left they do more than just threaten to make a Republican the next governor of New York.

    They also will make it harder for Democrats to defeat incumbent governors in places like Maine and Florida.

    Because the DGA will have to spend money in New York saving Cuomo. Money that could have been better spent elsewhere.

    •  From what I understand (0+ / 0-)

      Cuomo is such a lock on this race that the DGA still probably won't have to work very hard on his behalf.

      If there is ever a time and place to use a challenge to push an (abhorrent) Democrat to the left then this is it. It's safe, and we just might be able to send a strong message to other DINOs.

      •  He Would Go To The Right (0+ / 0-)

        He would not go to the left in a three way general election race. This is not a primary. He would go to the right instead.

        •  Even if he did, (0+ / 0-)

          a strong showing by the left certainly wouldn't hurt our chances of garnering at least some respect in the larger Democratic Party.

          Rolling over and endorsing this clown would just further prove that our votes can be considered automatic no matter what the actual policies of the candidate are. That would be a BAD message to send in advance of the 2016 elections.

      •  That's My Point (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        charliehall2

        I don't want the DGA to work AT ALL on this race. I want them focused on FL, ME, PA, WI, MI, KS, etc, etc.

        We have a great chance to knock off some very horrible, conservative governors. That should be our only concern, not to "send a message" to a moderate like Cuomo.

        •  Cuomo is a horrible, conservative Governor. (0+ / 0-)

          Yes he is likely to be better than a Republican Governor by some measures.  But he's safe. He's not going to lose his seat.

          If the DGA wants to throw money away on this race for no real reason then I still don't see how that should prevent the left from taking what is likely to be the only 100% risk-free opportunity to show the Democratic Party that there is a left and that we are paying attention. I think that this is a very important message to establish prior to the 2016 election.

          To roll over and endorse Cuomo would be to basically prove to the Democratic Party that the votes of the left can be taken for granted.

  •  A possibility for the WFP to challenge Cuomo from (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    kempsternyc, wdrath

    the left is to do it in the NY Senate. We put that in progressive hands, we tie Cuomo's.

    "Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity." --M. L. King "You can't fix stupid" --Ron White -6.00, -5.18

    by zenbassoon on Wed Apr 23, 2014 at 07:55:32 AM PDT

  •  Not a tough decision at all. (0+ / 0-)

    If that poll is right that a generic Working Families Party would gather 24% (or anything near that) and roughly even with the candidate, the WFP would be foolish not to run a candidate.

    Left-wing third-party candidates rarely amount to very much, so such a performance would give the WFP a lot of publicity nationwide - it's a gubernatorial race in populous state with lots of big media outlets.

    I'd say that this would have the potential to move Cuomo left. A rational, pragmatist would move left in response to a legitimate threat from the WFP. But I bet Cuomo would go more the route of Lieberman.

    I think that poll is really big news. The WFP has a huge opening here.

    Impractical progressive Democrat. "I am becoming less and less interested in your estimates of what is possible." - President Merkin Muffley (Dr. Strangelove)

    by redrelic17 on Wed Apr 23, 2014 at 05:31:01 PM PDT

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