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BENGHAZEEEEE!!!

That's how bad the Obamacare numbers are for Republicans. Especially the HHS report, quoted below, of 15,000 lives, more than half a million other infections and injuries, and $4 billion, saved before the Exchanges and Medicaid expansion began.

Republicans in Congress have turned almost totally away from trying to trash Obamacare (for example at the surprisingly tame hearing for Sylvia Burwell to become the new HHS Secretary), to the new House Select Committee on #Benghazi. It became a parody of itself even before anybody had been named to it other than its Chairman, Trey Gowdy R-SC. Boehner announced the rest of the Republican members an hour ago. Democrats have not yet decided whether to participate or to boycott the proceedingswitch hunt.

Meanwhile, we still have more numbers coming in, including the fantastic number in our headline from HHS, and brainwrap did a bit more analysis that makes the House Republicans' last unskewing of the Obamacare numbers even stupider.

Numbers First

Nevada: Exchange QHPs up to 45.8K; 76% paid (up from 71%)

Nevada is the only exchange still officially open for "normal" private QHP enrollments…
Oregon: Not quite done yet...another 3K QHPs & 16K more Medicaid/CHIP

Massachusetts: 33.5K QHPs as of 5/08, "Limbo" up to 305K

Maine: Estimating 90% QHPs paid based on Wellpoint testimony (UPDATE)

Alabama: 82% of Blue Cross QHPs paid in full

HHS data show quality improvements saved 15,000 lives and $4 billion in health spending

Hospital Readmissions Fall by 8 percent among Medicare beneficiaries

Today, the Department of Health and Human Services announced that new preliminary data show an overall nine percent decrease in hospital acquired conditions nationally during 2011 and 2012. National reductions in adverse drug events, falls, infections, and other forms of hospital-induced harm are estimated to have prevented nearly 15,000 deaths in hospitals, avoided 560,000 patient injuries, and approximately $4 billion in health spending over the same period.

The Affordable Care Act is also helping reduce hospital readmissions.  After holding constant at 19 percent from 2007 to 2011 and decreasing to 18.5 percent in 2012, the Medicare all-cause 30-day readmission rate has further decreased to approximately 17.5 percent in 2013.  This translates into an 8 percent reduction in the rate and an estimated 150,000 fewer hospital readmissions among Medicare beneficiaries between January 2012 and December 2013.

For starters. The ACA's euphemism reduction program is going to have ever greater effects in the next few years on diseases caught in hospitals, incorrect medications, incorrect surgeries and other procedures, and other "hospital acquired conditions", and on premature discharges from hospitals and lack of followup and continuing home care.

Breaking: Having Health Insurance Saves Lives!

An analysis of the Massachusetts Romneycare program suggests

an absolute decrease of 8.2 deaths per 100 000 adults
A simple but obviously inaccurate extrapolation from that suggests further
…assuming that similar ratios do hold true nationally, and considering that the recent Gallup poll indicates that upwards of 11 million people have (net) gained insurance coverage in the first 7 months of the ACA exchanges, this theoretically means that the ACA will save:

    11 million / 830 = appx. 13,250 lives per year at a minimum.

Of course, using that same logic, this also suggests that by denying 4.8 million people access to Medicaid, about half the states are causing about 5,800 unnecessary deaths per year. But that's just grim, so I suppose we shouldn't talk about it…

Yes, Republicans don't want to talk about it either. Have you heard the latest about #Benghazi?

Massachusetts scrapping current website; will either join HC.gov or replace w/different package

The state announced Monday that it would contract with Virginia-based hCentive for health insurance exchange software that has been used to power online marketplaces Kentucky, Colorado, New York and other states.
South Carolina: 71% of QHPs paid thru 4/30
I should also note that while 71% isn't very good, it's still 10% higher than the 61% that the GOP House Committee report claimed for SC last week.
How can you expect Republicans to get their job doneundone if even Red state Republicans won't go along with the story? Which brings us to

Teh Burning Stupid

One more thing about that GOP House Committee Report...

Take another look at their state-by-state breakout (which, again, only includes states on the Federal exchange...and even then, leaves out Idaho and New Mexico for reasons unknown), and there's several states which I find rather interesting:
  • Arkansas: 88%
  • Kansas: 87%
  • New Jersey: 86%
  • South Dakota: 87%

Yup. That's correct: According to the Republican party's own "data" which they've been desperately trying to tout as "legitimate", 4 states—two of which (Kansas and South Dakota) are dark red politically—were already beating the "concensus" payment rate of around 85%…over 3 weeks ago.

Furthermore, if West Virginia could move from 73% paid (according to the GOP report) as of 4/15 up to a whopping 94% paid as of 5/01, it seems to me that Arkansas, Kansas, New Jersey and South Dakota, all of which were at 86% or higher as of 4/15 according to the GOP, should theoretically be into the mid-90's as well by this point. Not saying this is the case, of course...

Well, we knew that they were so confident in their unskewing that they didn't read the written testimony from insurance companies submitted before the hearing, but now we see that they didn't read their own numbers.

On the other hand, some recent insurance company data seem to indicate a final payment rate of about 90%, not the 93% that brainwrap has been using in his projections. Maybe. We should know when we get the reports for all of May, some time in June.

No matter what that number turns out to be, that's still too many signups, too many paid, too many covered, and far too many alive and in better health to suit Republicans. And too many voters. Did I mention #Benghazi?

Followup on First Sylvia Burwell Confirmation Hearing

The Wire: Senate Republicans Wish HHS Nominee Sylvia Burwell Good Luck Steering the Titanic

WSJ: Sylvia Burwell, HHS Nominee, Answers Senators' Questions

Two Republicans Join Democrats in Backing Her for Top Health Post
NYT: Pick to Replace Sebelius Draws Senators’ Praise at Confirmation Hearing

WaPo: During Confirmation Hearing, Burwell Pledges Support For CHIP

Yes, that's how tame the hearing was in the evidence-based world. But if you poke a stick into the termite mound, you can find these.

Corrente: ObamaCare Clusterf***[expletive deleted]: Sylvia Burwell, Obama's HHS nominee, pleases Republicans by ruling out single payer

Conservative News: Meet Sylvia Burwell, The Titanic’s New Captain

Bunkerville blog: HHS Nominee Sylvia Mathews Burwell, Dumpster-Dived Dead Vince Foster’s Trash

Dumpster-diving. I see. How is that working out for you?

This is the best you have, and these are the best sites still standing on the Burwell nomination? LOL

Even Free Republic has given up. They have had nothing on Burwell for weeks, although they still have plenty of CT on Obamacare overall.

And so we come to

BENGHAZEEEEE!!!

in particular, #benghazi on Twitter. We are giving as good as we get on this hashtag. Feel free to retweet.

In the last hour more Americans died due to their governor blocking Medicaid expansion than died in Benghazi

OMG, they are connected!

You might be a Republican if you politicized Benghazi for months, then cheered when the sequester cut $79 million more from the Embassy security budget.

Meet your majority members of the Select Committee on Benghazi

All right. That's enough for today. We can dissect the committee and the pre-debunked talking points on their agenda another time.

Originally posted to Mokurai on Fri May 09, 2014 at 11:33 AM PDT.

Also republished by Obamacare Saves Lives.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (12+ / 0-)

    Back off, man. I'm a logician.—GOPBusters™

    by Mokurai on Fri May 09, 2014 at 11:33:42 AM PDT

  •  5800 excess deaths per year is only 15.9 per day. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Skyye

    The picture should read

    In the last 8 hours more Americans

    died due to their governor

    blocking medicaid expansion

    than died in Benghazi.

    Even then, it is a little premature. Some of the avoided deaths will be due to slower processes like screening and treating cancers.

    Feel free to correct my math, I might be missing something.

  •  Blue cross Blue Shield of OK (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Brainwrap

    Released their open enrollment totals the other day. 85k enrollees, some 25k of those off exchange, with around 90% having already paid their first months premium. The 25k off exchange enrollments should be enough to put the total statewide enrollments over 100k. Not bad for a deep deep red state. If the ACA can enroll 100k + in oklahoma then that is airtight proof that it's working and is only going to get more popular. Wait until word of mouth spreads the benefits by November open enrollment. Republicans worst nightmare is playing out before our eyes.

    •  Fantastic! I just found a link... (0+ / 0-)

      The grand total of exchange QHPs in OK was only 69,221, and BCBSOK claimed 60K of those.

      However, this link doesn't give a 90% figure for payment? Is there another link?

      http://newsok.com/...

      •  I thought I read (0+ / 0-)

        both the bc/bs of ok totals and premium paid info in the same story, but I must be mistaken. They all run together after awhile. Efforting a link for the premium paid percentage now. Will post here when I find it.

        •  BC/BS of OK is part of five state bc/bs group (0+ / 0-)

          run by HCSC...they released combined premium payment rate broken down by paid percentages based on coverage start date. All over 85% except for the policies due on 05/01 and 04/01. Here is a link to the document they prepared for the House Committee. Still thinking I read specifically that Oklahoma enrollees had paid at a better than 90% rate, but at this point I am not sure because I can't seem to find the story

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