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Andrew Cuomo walking down a hallway
NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo loses nearly half of New York Democrats.
One month ago, a Sienna College poll found that NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo had lost significant support among the Left, and would garner only 39 percent of the vote in a three-way race including a Working Families Party candidate. A Quinnipiac University poll now confirms those findings.
New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo has a 57 - 28 percent lead over his Republican challenger, Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino, but that lead drops to 37 - 24 percent if a more liberal or progressive candidate runs on the Working Families Party line, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. The unnamed progressive candidate gets 22 percent.
In a three-way race, Cuomo would only get 55 percent of the Democratic vote. Among young voters, both Cuomo and the hypothetical Working Families Party candidate would each get 31 percent. It's the seniors who would bail out the governor.

This should present WFP with a difficult choice. Rumor has it they plan on primarying Cuomo, which would be pretty f'n awesome, but an uphill climb at best. But if they run a credible general election candidate, they have a realistic opportunity to place second in the balloting to the Republican candidate (who doesn't exit the 20s in either a two- or three-way matchup). Even worse for the GOP, their candidate, Rob Astorino, is also on the Conservative Party ballot line, which means that the total for the GOP line will be even less than Astorino's total support.

And if that happened, the GOP would lose their seats on state commissions, election boards, and the like. Could you imagine that? The GOP could lose major-party status in one of the nation's biggest and most important states.

Originally posted to kos on Thu May 22, 2014 at 09:27 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos Elections, New York City, and Daily Kos.

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